Juliancolton Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 11 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Correct me if I'm wrong but isn't the para Nam actually the new operational Nam now? I may be entirely off-base but I don't think the changes have been made yet... the DGEX was supposed to be discontinued yesterday as part of the NAM upgrade package, but it still ran at 6z today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I may be entirely off-base but I don't think the changes have been made yet... the DGEX was supposed to be discontinued yesterday as part of the NAM upgrade package, but it still ran at 6z today. Just saw this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: Just saw this: Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 The 700mb charts are pretty interesting on the NAM. There's a pretty long duration where the mid-levels are saturated and the mid-level low evolution looks pretty good for moderate wraparound precip. right along the coast. I'll be curious to see if the initial tenth or two of QPF materializes as widespread light precip. or if it ends up as localized banding. Same goes with the wraparound. This thing looks to move pretty slowly, so any heavy bands that set up over an area could be productive. Sat. could be snowy in the higher elevations of EPA and NNJ. But does any heavy precip. develop along the coast on Sat. night, and does it fall as snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 32 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Para nam has close to 1 inch of qpf for the area I dont see that? Thought it only goes out to hour 60? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 3 minutes ago, mikem81 said: I dont see that? Thought it only goes out to hour 60? That map does have almost an inch of precip for a good portion of NJ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 How was the RGEM past 48? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 22 minutes ago, weatherfreeeeak said: How was the RGEM past 48? You can check the extended RGEM yourself by going to the meteocentre interface, opening one of the frames in a new tab, and manually changing the url to obtain frames past 48 hours in 6-hour increments. While not quite as wet as 12z, it still looks very good. The city finds its way into a well-developed deformation band on the NW side of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I guess Julian just let the cat out of the bag but lol yea We keep no secrets from our fellow weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Just now, Juliancolton said: We keep no secrets from our fellow weenies. Lol I remember doing that on the ENV Canada site way back on those sh itty DIFAX charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Let's see tomorrow if Upton is Bullish or Bearish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 22 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs looks great Don't do this to yourself again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol I remember doing that on the ENV Canada site way back on those sh itty DIFAX charts Most people can't be arsed to even check the NAM for themselves. Put a little effort into finding maps and you're basically an expert hacker in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Most people can't be arsed to even check the NAM for themselves. Put a little effort into finding maps and you're basically an expert hacker in these parts. I used to run a script during active severe weather days that would check for the next WW by polling the URL that it would occupy and send me an alert when it finally stopped returning a 404. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 1 hour ago, weatherpruf said: Don't do this to yourself again.... Do what? We did alright with the last storm. Every model has this little storm. We track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 When is the last time in mid March that we had 2 snow events within 4 days of each other? Also being so cold now will the ocean temperatures normalize to what they should have been in this time frame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 1 hour ago, Juliancolton said: Just saw this: don't fix it if it aint broke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 42 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Most people can't be arsed to even check the NAM for themselves. Put a little effort into finding maps and you're basically an expert hacker in these parts. You stole that from twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mophstymeo01 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Don't do this to yourself again....But that's what we do. Otherwise we'd have taken up stamp collecting as our hobby.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 12 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: You stole that from twitter I did what now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 8 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I did what now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 1 hour ago, sferic said: When is the last time in mid March that we had 2 snow events within 4 days of each other? Also being so cold now will the ocean temperatures normalize to what they should have been in this time frame? Their pretty cold for this time of year after the warm weather we had before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 14 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Do what? We did alright with the last storm. Every model has this little storm. We track. Actually that last storm was pretty serious....there was A LOT of sleet in CNJ, not only were schools closed ours had a delay the next day....4-8 of sleet, ice pellets, is difficult to clean up and drive in....visibility is better than snow, other than that it's a real chore. I was referencing your obvious frustration last storm ( mine too ) which is now tempered because we realize it really wasn't that bad for us compared to parts of LI and the Jersey shore, or Philly. People were calling in to WNYC day of the storm from all over the area, with wide disparities in amounts, though several were thankful that it was just washing away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 41 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Their pretty cold for this time of year after the warm weather we had before. There have been reports of bluefish in S Jersey, so the water cant be too cold. Of course there are thermoclines, so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 hour ago, sferic said: When is the last time in mid March that we had 2 snow events within 4 days of each other? Also being so cold now will the ocean temperatures normalize to what they should have been in this time frame? March 1992 had two fairly close, during the era when decent snow was rare.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 hour ago, mophstymeo01 said: But that's what we do. Otherwise we'd have taken up stamp collecting as our hobby. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Cheaper than being a sneakerhead, at least....and doesn't clutter up the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Both the NAM and GFS agree on the idea of decent lift in the area. The forecast on the GFS is more favorable, however, as it concentrates VVs in the DGZ, unlike the NAM. The only problem I see are BL temps, but the timing of this snowfall may aid in that department. The RGEM is a good example of this, as the surface steadily cools to below 0C, flipping NYC to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 hour ago, weatherpruf said: There have been reports of bluefish in S Jersey, so the water cant be too cold. Of course there are thermoclines, so who knows. Bunkers were here 2 weeks ago now there like wtf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 6 minutes ago, real said: Did the NAM come out yet? Only out to HR 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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