Juliancolton Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:02 AM, real said: Did the NAM come out yet? Expand http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 TY Julian,,,, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:21 AM, Juliancolton said: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus Expand Looking sweet at your 51 (note timing at night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 NAM did an excellent job inside 48hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Again this isn't a solution I'd get invested in at this point. The situation is very fluid and can fluctuate around based on the orientation of the upper low. The area of appreciable snow is also very narrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:42 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: ? Expand Billy, I couldn't tell if you were joking or not about posting 12k nam maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:44 AM, sferic said: Billy, I couldn't tell if you were joking or not about posting 12k nam maps Expand Not my rule On 3/16/2017 at 4:48 PM, forkyfork said: post snow maps in the banter thread and nowhere else. the end. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Not sure where Weather Underground is getting their data from, but they are forecasting 5-8" for me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:45 AM, JerseyWx said: Not sure where Weather Underground is getting their data from, but they are forecasting 5-8" for me lol. Expand Pick a Nam, it's probably got you there lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:48 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Pick a Nam, it's probably got you there lol Expand Yeah, the 3km NAM had the hills of western Morris jackpotting earlier. Not sure what the newest runs show since I'm on mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:48 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Pick a Nam, it's probably got you there lol Expand 00z 4km NAM is pretty for the metro lol...it shows an area on Long Island even getting a foot. Take it with a grain of salt as of now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:50 AM, JerseyWx said: Yeah, the 3km NAM had the hills of western Morris jackpotting earlier. Not sure what the newest runs show since I'm on mobile. Expand 4k Nam drops 4-7" widespread LHV, NNJ, and NYC, 10-14" over eastern Long Island lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:52 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: 4k Nam drops 4-7" widespread LHV, NNJ, and NYC, 10-14" over eastern Long Island lol Expand Each NAM likes to print out it's own solutions it seems. Most of the time they're not even remotely similar either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:59 AM, JerseyWx said: Each NAM likes to print out it's own solutions it seems. Most of the time they're not even remotely similar either. Expand Nope never the same lol, hi res ALWAYS shows more snow on maps... and usually concentrates it in a totally different location... instead of updates they need less Nams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 2:59 AM, JerseyWx said: Each NAM likes to print out it's own solutions it seems. Most of the time they're not even remotely similar either. Expand Yet they got everyone's attention cause they've been on fire. Especially the 12k edit: any word on the SREF's? And can you post them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:01 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Nope, hi res ALWAYS shows more snow on maps... and usually concentrates it in a totally different location... instead of updates they need less Nams Expand Yeah, I thought they would more or less cross check each other and have somewhat similar solutions, distribution of QPF, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Srefs are .5" for most here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:03 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Srefs are .5" for most here Expand Ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Para nam is 2-4 area wide less north and west, with 3- 5 on the island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:02 AM, WeatherFeen2000 said: Yet they got everyone's attention cause they've been on fire. Especially the 12k Expand Yeah, I mean it depends on location too. The NAM has done better in some areas than others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:05 AM, sferic said: Ratios? Expand I'm sure 10:1 at best, if that... temps are marginal and coast is actually 31-33F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Sref 3"> prob member map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:06 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I'm sure 10:1 at best, if that... temps are marginal and coast is actually 31-33F Expand Billy, your timelapse from your blizzard, what cam and software did you use? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 I'm not as concerned about this becoming a New England event because the pattern over maritime Canada or east of New England forces the track of this system south. I'm mostly concerned the IVT takes awhile to develop or as is customary it doesn't extend THAT far west and only LI and CT really see anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:09 AM, sferic said: Billy, your timelapse from your blizzard, what cam and software did you use? Expand It's nest outdoor cams... nonsoftware... everything's auto uploaded to their cloud system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Vendor thread for TV met, Accuweather, DT etc predictions, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:11 AM, SnowGoose69 said: I'm not as concerned about this becoming a New England event because the pattern over maritime Canada or east of New England forces the track of this system south. I'm mostly concerned the IVT takes awhile to develop or as is customary it doesn't extend THAT far west and only LI and CT really see anything Expand I forget, did we see anything significant with the Norlun last year (or was it the year before)? I kinda remember the hype, but if I recall, it was only flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:23 AM, WaPo said: I forget, did we see anything significant with the Norlun last year (or was it the year before)? I kinda remember the hype, but if I recall, it was only flurries. Expand I honestly don't remember. I only recall two events and both more or less busted. One was early January 2011 I think and nothing ever materialized. The other was maybe 2 or 3 winters ago, models til literally the day of had it over NYC. The day of the Euro came in with it over CNJ and ultimately that's where it hit. I think a few spots got 6/8, but up until 12 hours before every model had it over the metro for days on end. Now I do think I recall the event last year. It was in February and I think the trof never developed and again models were late on it. I think they showed 3-5 inches up til 24 hours out then kept backing off to basically nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 3/17/2017 at 3:32 AM, SnowGoose69 said: I honestly don't remember. I only recall two events and both more or less busted. One was early January 2011 I think and nothing ever materialized. The other was maybe 2 or 3 winters ago, models til literally the day of had it over NYC. The day of the Euro came in with it over CNJ and ultimately that's where it hit. I think a few spots got 6/8, but up until 12 hours before every model had it over the metro for days on end Expand 2015. Remember it perfectly the park got .9". I received 3" from it just 6 miles SE in brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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