Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Big signals of INV trof over CT with this. We'll see if it's E CT or W CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Going to need a more coastal type evolution for ern areas. Otherwise it's more a NORLUN in western SNE. Doesn't look all that great, but maybe 12z helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sick call ey? lol. Next time Im out there playing poker, maybe you and the Moosup weenie would want to do keg stands. I dont work in Manchester anymore, so that ship has sailed. Definitely let me know. The casino is a good place to meet up. ...I will be getting my free drinks at the racebook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The GEFS mean is robust for the southern half of SNE especially the Cape Agree, good members in there for sema. Dont like it out this way when we have to rely on mid level vodoo. The better stuff is for you guys, enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Big signals of INV trof over CT with this. We'll see if it's E CT or W CT 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Going to need a more coastal type evolution for ern areas. Otherwise it's more a NORLUN in western SNE. Doesn't look all that great, but maybe 12z helps. Which system are you guys talking about? Weekend or next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: Which system are you guys talking about? Weekend or next week? Weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said: Which system are you guys talking about? Weekend or next week? Weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Weekend Did you get any mixing the other day with the last system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 9 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The GEFS mean is robust for the southern half of SNE especially the Cape Go big or go home. Amirite? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: lol!!! What a kick in the a.ss, completely missing most of the cape... And Ironic that even with this system Tolland wins. At least on that map. It's like Kevin was at the controls for this one. Funny sh.it. Aren't there 2 systems in play? One for the weekend, and one for early next week? 1 hour ago, weathafella said: You sure? Seasoned veterans making rookie mistakes, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Yeah Jimmy may do well here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 14 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Did you get any mixing the other day with the last system? Less than 2 hours of sleet mixing in.. it flipped back to snow @2:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Seasoned veterans making rookie mistakes, wow This and the previous maps are about Tuesday. What is out there for the weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Seasoned veterans making rookie mistakes, wow Looks about exactly as I described....dogs frolick, but up here NBD. Lots of south of pike specials over the past several years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 12 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: This and the previous maps are about Tuesday. What is out there for the weekend? I don't see any discussion about Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 19 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: This and the previous maps are about Tuesday. What is out there for the weekend? It's a snow total map valid Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 16, 2017 Author Share Posted March 16, 2017 The relay off the Pacific ocean took place overnight ...or a large amount of the momentum over the Pacific NW near WA/Oregan and the lower Canadian pacific coastal region. I've noticed the last 12 hours worth of runs have back off strength depiction re the wave mechanics that were destined in previous runs to quasi-close off as it passes over our area some 72 + hours later. It may very well be one of those scenarios where the physical sampling exposes a weaker system than the assimilation based upon satellite. Ocean' et al have discussed the data shadowing effects of the NE Pacific Basin as of late, and this next system really exercises that in my mind. It looks like there's just less actually coming off the Pacific with this. Whatever the exact cause, as is that's a weak/midland strength, mid level vortex passing over stale polar air. With a bit more confidence (for me) this appears like nuisance trivial inclemency. Tele's are trying to engineer another PNA rise a bit more than the more nominal appeal prior to yesterday, for beyond. There may yet be a bowling ball out there - seems we are also destined to some sort of convoluted (meridional) flow type over the last 10 days of the month. If the PNA rises and the hemisphere reels from the onrushing seasonal insolation tsunamis, it's why we have a "bowling season" - severing off these potent mid level cold pockets gains some probability for occurrence. But like we discussed yesterday ... we still need some thickness gradient underneath, or the organization of low pressure suffers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 As soon as I saw that Steve replied I accurately predicted the response..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Late next week is interesting too. Might be the last shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 15 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I don't see any discussion about Tuesday. Guess I thought that was a Monday Tuesday system vs. a Saturday night system. I have not been completely following. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Just now, Cold Miser said: Guess I thought that was a Monday Tuesday system vs. a Saturday night system. I have not been completely following. Thanks. If the GFS is correct it would start late Saturday in Western areas and go thru Sunday in Eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 34 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The relay off the Pacific ocean took place overnight ...or a large amount of the momentum over the Pacific NW near WA/Oregan and the lower Canadian pacific coastal region. I've noticed the last 12 hours worth of runs have back off strength depiction re the wave mechanics that were destined in previous runs to quasi-close off as it passes over our area some 72 + hours later. It may very well be one of those scenarios where the physical sampling exposes a weaker system than the assimilation based upon satellite. Ocean' et al have discussed the data shadowing effects of the NE Pacific Basin as of late, and this next system really exercises that in my mind. It looks like there's just less actually coming off the Pacific with this. Whatever the exact cause, as is that's a weak/midland strength, mid level vortex passing over stale polar air. With a bit more confidence (for me) this appears like nuisance trivial inclemency. Tele's are trying to engineer another PNA rise a bit more than the more nominal appeal prior to yesterday, for beyond. There may yet be a bowling ball out there - seems we are also destined to some sort of convoluted (meridional) flow type over the last 10 days of the month. If the PNA rises and the hemisphere reels from the onrushing seasonal insolation tsunamis, it's why we have a "bowling season" - severing off these potent mid level cold pockets gains some probability for occurrence. But like we discussed yesterday ... we still need some thickness gradient underneath, or the organization of low pressure suffers. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 3 hours ago, weathafella said: No one is paying attention to the mid levels. The is a mid level magic setup if I've ever seen one. Maybe, but the trend of phasing in energy from yesterday's ULL is actually hurting us...if we kept it more separate like guidance showed 1-2 days ago, then it would be a lot better IMHO. We need to see improvement on this 12z suite, or it's not gonna happen for us...outside of nuisance 1-3" type snows. Maybe someone in W CT gets lucky with an IVT...but I'm speaking synoptically here. The IVT stuff won't be known until late in the game anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Looks like weeklies try to warm weeks 3 and 4. Verbatim cooler than normal, but ridging nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Surprised Ginxy comes in with a snow map to put up a stance on the snowy solution, I expect more from him. This is for east of 91 and south of BOS. If you are there, congrats on an advisory type or maybe you can pull out a 6" weenie if shes good enough. west have to hope for magic and vodoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 She's a beaut Clarke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 Too bad there's too much interference from the ULL up over NE Canada...otherwise that would be a legit miller B warning snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: She's a beaut Clarke. Gonna need him to fly to Krypton to shove the ull south some more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 This may be decent for SE MA on NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 16, 2017 Share Posted March 16, 2017 If that stupid ULL left...a big hit for many. Lets get that out of the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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