CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 23 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It's April 2nd. Not June 2nd. To be honest 55F would feel like a heatwave. 55 and sun is hammock weather lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: The rain this week will be a mess. We have old snow remaining from the entire winter, a lot of snow remaining from 3/14, well over an inch of liquid in the pack from yesterday, and the ground is already saturated. The only saving grace is that it should be cold rains. At least the coc ks and hens will stay hydrated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: At least the coc ks and hens will stay hydrated Brush fire season cancelled! Sultan SOS signals on the horizon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Might get some Tippy nape tanning 11-13 or so? Then we trough again after that. Very wet week coming with a river flood warning already in SE MA. taunton river was running high downstream yesterday. Not surprised. That area is prone to flood in Bridgewater FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 427 AM EDT Sun Apr 2 2017 ...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in Massachusetts... Taunton River Near Bridgewater affecting Bristol and Plymouth Counties The Taunton River Near Bridgewater continues to rise thanks to as much as 3 inches of precipitation haven fallen in the last 24 hours. The river will continue to rise into through the morning, reaching just over minor flood stage. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety Message...A Flood Statement providing the latest information in this flood event will be issued within the next 8 hours, or earlier if needed. Safety Message...Do not allow children to play near swollen rivers, streams or culverts. Swiftly moving water can pose an imminent threat to life. && MAC005-023-030827- /O.EXT.KBOX.FL.W.0003.170402T0924Z-170403T1200Z/ /BDGM3.1.ER.170402T0924Z.170402T1800Z.170403T0600Z.NO/ 427 AM EDT Sun Apr 2 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Taunton River Near Bridgewater. * until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 3:45 AM Sunday the stage was 7.9 feet. * Flood stage is 8.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise to near 8.3 feet by this afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by after midnight tonight. * Impact...At 8.0 feet...Backwater flooding from the Taunton River will cause flooding of lower Purchade Brook in Middleboro. This will cause Woloski Park to become impassable by most vehicles. Beware of the dangers of crossing flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 4182 7119 4202 7097 4194 7087 4177 7110 $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: You guys up there need to watch those mtn valleys and gorges... With all this rain coming ...and all that pack and melting...things could ugly quickly. Definitely. Theres an obscene amount of water to melt at least on the mountain. 30-36" of dense snowpack at the base (there's this split rail fence that's 36" tall around our demo zip line in the base area and you can just barely make out the tops of the posts) of the mountain and the upper elevations are 80-100". Coop back up to 102" depth as of yesterday evening. Could be pushing two feet of water in the snow at 3,000-4,000ft. The snowpack is pretty nuts right now in the hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Definitely. Theres an obscene amount of water to melt at least on the mountain. 30-36" of dense snowpack at the base of the mountain and the upper elevations are 80-100". Coop back up to 102" depth as of yesterday evening. Could be pushing two feet of water in the snow at 3,000-4,000ft. The snowpack is pretty nuts right now in the hills. Whatever happened to the famous sauna by the stream up there? The torture shed built above that stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Whatever happened to the famous sauna by the stream up there? The torture shed built above that stream. Ha that's my buddy's in Huntington. You wanna talk about a sick spot for a sauna...I mean it's like something you see out of those country living home magazines. Its still there...made it through Irene so probably ok. But water gets real close ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 lol...NAM starts as snow here Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 If H75 wasn't torched this run would be another paste bomb. Looks like snow to sleet/zr/cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: If H75 wasn't torched this run would be another paste bomb. Looks like snow to sleet/zr/cold rain. Paste bomb, Looks like we stay cold enough here the entire run up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Paste bomb, Looks like we stay cold enough here the entire run up this way. LEW gets up to +1C at 750 at 60hr, but most of the precip has fallen by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Another mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 2, 2017 Author Share Posted April 2, 2017 4 hours ago, dendrite said: If H75 wasn't torched this run would be another paste bomb. Looks like snow to sleet/zr/cold rain. Obviously it's a laughable model ...but the GGEM collapsed the column hugely after threatening a warm sector and plunged the 850 t to and below 0 C ...almost down to the NH border. This can be fascinating time of year. I'm always touched by amazement when warm resurgence ..insolation et al, butts up against stubborn patterns to really make the sensible weather very black and white. I remember one random day in the late 1990s, we had a weak warm boundary draped NW-SE through the region, and right along it, ..there was this interesting parallel line of dense cirrus that had those virga fingers dangling. As it came overhead ... large rain drops with occasional big pellets were bouncing enough to partially in all make the roads half wet, while the sun shown corpuscular rays along southern edge. It was 55 F when those pellets were mixed in, but the DP was like 12 of something... not a-typical to get large spreads like that in early spring. Anyway, that line of denser 'cast moved off and the sun took over...and the temp edged to the low 60s with richer DP by late afternoon... Anyway obviously we know that we can get short-duration weirdisms around here in spring. Don't get us started on 93 to 39 F BDs... I've seen that before - But the GGEM also bring 70+ weather by D7.5 on that run too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: LEW gets up to +1C at 750 at 60hr, but most of the precip has fallen by then. 750mb GPH (m): 2436 2439 2449 2449 2439 2420 2408 2389 2361 2327 2321 750mb Temp (C): -4.7 -4.2 -3.7 -2.8 -2.5 -2.1 -2.1 -3.3 -3.4 -1.3 1.3 750mb Dewpt(C): -32.0 -24.6 -23.2 -24.8 -19.5 -3.0 -2.7 -3.7 -3.7 -1.5 0.8 750mb RH (%): 10 19 21 17 26 94 96 98 98 98 97 750mb Dir: 324 320 318 294 273 251 211 192 186 196 248 750mb Speed(kt): 31 26 20 15 14 11 23 32 44 43 17 Yeah, Heaviest precip was over by then, Looks like 1.20" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 I'm not kidding when I say you guys are setting up for a big river flood event. Maybe we have a dry second half of April into May, but all the deep snow liquid equivalent with either more snow or rain on top of it? Yeesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Monday Night A chance of rain and snow between 1am and 2am, then snow likely. Increasing clouds, with a low around 31. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Tuesday Snow and sleet before 8am, then rain, snow, and sleet between 8am and 11am, then rain after 11am. High near 39. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. omg. it's actually 4-8" for the point about 1 mile south of me. grids are a little wacky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: Monday Night A chance of rain and snow between 1am and 2am, then snow likely. Increasing clouds, with a low around 31. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Tuesday Snow and sleet before 8am, then rain, snow, and sleet between 8am and 11am, then rain after 11am. High near 39. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. omg. it's actually 4-8" for the point about 1 mile south of me. grids are a little wacky. Winni still locked up good I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: Winni still locked up good I see. Yep. Plenty of snowcover and lots of cloudiness should give us an average ice-out this year... I'm going with April 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Bring a shawl to the Masters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 34 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: Yep. Plenty of snowcover and lots of cloudiness should give us an average ice-out this year... I'm going with April 23rd. Impressive given the warmth in January/February. But often it is March and April that decide when ice out occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 GFS cold and mostly snow here on the front end, but I think we've seen that song and dance recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 2 hours ago, dendrite said: GFS cold and mostly snow here on the front end, but I think we've seen that song and dance recently. FAIL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 1 hour ago, dryslot said: FAIL Fail as to no frozen up here? Still looks interesting to me for higher elevations of C/NNE from my area northeastward! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 Euro has snow showers under the cold pool next weekend in SNE. Torch today and tomorrow and then one hell of an ugly stretch. Lord how we hate this season . Just FF to June please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 5 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Fail as to no frozen up here? Still looks interesting to me for higher elevations of C/NNE from my area northeastward! It was to cold in the mid levels for the April fools storm, So i don't trust it for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro has snow showers under the cold pool next weekend in SNE. Torch today and tomorrow and then one hell of an ugly stretch. Lord how we hate this season . Just FF to June please It is the worst. Is SNE pretty much out of it for snow from here on out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 2 hours ago, dryslot said: It was to cold in the mid levels for the April fools storm, So i don't trust it for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 The high res rgem has some snow accums right down to the NH/MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ah, The 18z RGEM Hr84 snow map, I wonder if it has verified any of these last few events? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 3, 2017 Share Posted April 3, 2017 59 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ah, The 18z RGEM Hr84 snow map, I wonder if it has verified any of these last few events? The accums start inside 48hr though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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