dryslot Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 Everyone would rather have a wrapped up LP then some weak POS moving along a front with marginal temps and crappy rates this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 44 minutes ago, klw said: If the NAM verified it would be my most annoying storm since Dec 92. It seems to bring the snow to withing a few miles of me and then just stops coming any further NE. You'd like the Euro Ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You'd like the Euro Ensembles. Much better, thank you. I take solace in the knowledge that the NAM is way out in its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 28, 2017 Share Posted March 28, 2017 50 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol, Whatever the Nam has @hr84 won't be what it ends up at come verification time. Yeah I know but blind squirrels and nuts and all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Kevs moist so am I, that would make me so happy bc for that to happen there would have to be insane rates and probably thunder and lightening.....that would be paralyzing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 1 hour ago, klw said: If the NAM verified it would be my most annoying storm since Dec 92. It seems to bring the snow to withing a few miles of me and then just stops coming any further NE. 52 minutes ago, klw said: Much better, thank you. I take solace in the knowledge that the NAM is way out in its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 That's just terrible snow calculation. A lot of fake snow on there sw of the 12+ zone. Kuchera gets ripped in the cold months but in marginal airmasses it is the far better weenie map to use if you want to use one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 So reports are coming in of another fatal accident involving storm chasers. A pic of the wrecked vehicle was posted and I'm pretty sure it had The Weather Channel Logo on it which would make it storm chaser Kelley Williamson who always does live shots and call ins for TWC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That's just terrible snow calculation. A lot of fake snow on there sw of the 12+ zone. Kuchera gets ripped in the cold months but in marginal airmasses it is the far better weenie map to use if you want to use one. Yes. Kuchera actually excels when marginal air aloft is in the picture. Though it does struggle still when it's near freezing at the surface...like if a model shows 1" of qpf at 33F paste snow...it will often "punish" the accumulations a bit too aggressively. They could probably make it better if it went off maybe 950mb temps or something rather than model sfc temps which can sometimes have a warm bias in isothermal paste setups. But it still beats those 30 to 1 ratios it prints out in colder storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 50 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: So reports are coming in of another fatal accident involving storm chasers. A pic of the wrecked vehicle was posted and I'm pretty sure it had The Weather Channel Logo on it which would make it storm chaser Kelley Williamson who always does live shots and call ins for TWC I also read a report he was in that. Two other chasers as well. Sad day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 30 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: So reports are coming in of another fatal accident involving storm chasers. A pic of the wrecked vehicle was posted and I'm pretty sure it had The Weather Channel Logo on it which would make it storm chaser Kelley Williamson who always does live shots and call ins for TWC Looks like they ran a stop sign and got broadsided. Such a shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 It sucks, Kelley's vehicle was live streaming at the time. Kelley and his chase partner Randall died, and the storm chaser in the other vehicle died as well, who was only 25. I love weather, but ****, weather is not worth dying for!!! This type of crazy needs to stop! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 6 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: It sucks, Kelley's vehicle was live streaming at the time. Kelley and his chase partner Randall died, and the storm chaser in the other vehicle died as well, who was only 25. I love weather, but ****, weather is not worth dying for!!! This type of crazy needs to stop! No seatbelt and running stop signs. It's only going to get worse because of all the idiot chaser weenies converging out there more and more. It's terrible what happened, but this was reckless and avoidable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No seatbelt and running stop signs. It's only going to get worse because of all the idiot chaser weenies converging out there more and more. It's terrible what happened, but this was reckless and avoidable. That is what is so maddening! It was reckless and completely avoidable! Every time TWC ended a live shot with Kelley, they always said stay safe. And I've listened to a few interviews he gave about speeding while chasing, and how it's so common place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Nammy being Nammy. Nice hit N of the MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Man, that EURO clown map is nuts....I'm really leery of this going to $hit. Slight bump north, and its nuisance...stakes are high in these spring events, especially in the lower elevations. A minor reduction in dynamics limits snowfall exponentially whereas a good portion of this is during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 41 minutes ago, dendrite said: Nammy being Nammy. Nice hit N of the MA border. NAM looks good everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Uh oh....ncforecaster89 in the house.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 The latest NAM snow map is laughable. Showing about a foot over the entire region. Dont be fooled...There is very little snow south of the MA NH border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 gfs looks better and colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The latest NAM snow map is laughable. Showing about a foot over the entire region. Dont be fooled...There is very little snow south of the MA NH border Jesus....this looks ominous. 20th anniversary of my numero uno in style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Looking at H5, that has sne April fool written all over it (in a general sense, not an analog). Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 wow, thats a paster nw of 84. big improvements here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 That is an entirely different ballgame aloft....that is MECS like. H5 is much more robust and doesn't shear out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Uh oh....ncforecaster89 in the house.. Lol...Hi, 40/70! Just dropping by to catch up on you guys. I genuinely enjoy reading the discussions that take place in this subforum, as well as the comrodary shared amongst all of you. That aside, I'd be somewhat disingenuous if I didn't admit to being intrigued by the latest model runs...albiet, tempered by the mixing concerns associated with this setup. I don't typically chase winter storms without signigicant blizzard potential (due to the logistics and expense required), but I might be tempted to chase a large snowfall event, given the time of year. Regardless, I simply enjoy keeping up with you guys! And, I'm always rooting for you guys to do well, whether I'm there to witness it first-hand, or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 'Nuff said. Sound the alarms- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Can stop trending south, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Dang, thats 6+ like 15 miles away from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 How does the gfs look for the coast near Boston? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 29, 2017 Share Posted March 29, 2017 Need to keep trending south though. Just need to shutoff the waa swfe like warm surge on the onset and get more of the coastal cbb going. We see how tomorrow goes but the trends have been there for pike and nct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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