RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 17 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: He'll never learn He had a terrible winter. That happens when you follow weenie mets who call for mega nao blocking everytime they see higher heights over Greenland on the 384hr op gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He had a terrible winter. That happens when you follow weenie mets who call for mega nao blocking everytime they see higher heights over Greenland on the 384hr op gfs. It turned into a 3 day transient ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It turned into a 3 day transient ridge. Right, so as long as the nao chart goes into the negative, it verified lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Right, so as long as the nao chart goes into the negative, it verified lol. On the GEFS stuff, it didn't even register negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 15 hours ago, Hoth said: Just north of the Great Lakes. Highest I can remember seeing in this part of the country. No doubt we've hit the end of winter when we've started tracking high pressure systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 Hopefully that low stays north and we can salvage a nice weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 Any warm ups in sight? Would be nice to get some ridging in here. Just some snow in the woods I'd like melted off so I can get my path cut to the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He had a terrible winter. That happens when you follow weenie mets who call for mega nao blocking everytime they see higher heights over Greenland on the 384hr op gfs. This winter wasn't terrible Over 30 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 Fwiw, 6z GFS does shoes a rain to wintry mix scenario next Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 21 minutes ago, Snow88 said: This winter wasn't terrible Over 30 inches of snow Your calls, not your snow. You'll do better next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 19, 2017 Author Share Posted March 19, 2017 3 hours ago, Hazey said: Any warm ups in sight? Would be nice to get some ridging in here. Just some snow in the woods I'd like melted off so I can get my path cut to the lake In Halifax, Nova Scotia ? ...yeah, probably around June 3rd - j/k.. Relative to your climatology for late March, I wouldn't venture to guess. But, down this way, as is typically the case, we could flip pretty dramatically either direction in this pattern. We have a 'curved' flow type, with lots of undulations modeled, ...neither of which is appreciably deep or tall (trough and ridges) but, can direct temperature anomalies nonetheless. Toward the end of this week ... the models are unilaterally agreeing that the SE ridge will re-exert (or continue to exert), but not hugely so. Enough that the wave train rides NW of New England. Not sure what that will mean for NS (up your way) but for us, we could end up either very balmy for late Friday through early Sunday, ...or, we could have a polar high originating over southern/SE Canada due to migrating confluence up that way, ... then we wedge out and BD down to D.C.. The former would result in 60 + F conditions down our way on Saturday, with more of a standard west-east oriented fropa bringing us back to reality late in the weekend. Or, the latter would give just cause in putting one's home on the market and fleeing the mirth killer climatology that offers up more ways than one to ruin late March through early May. Just taking the models as is... it's probably a painfully slow seasonal recovery week. You have gaining sun angles (tomorrow is the first day of spring!) and that can off-set bite episodes and help whittle back snow pack and start melting the edges around ponds and lakes that aren't already hypothermic death traps ...but there's no indication that I'm seeing that offers huge warm departures. This is the time of year of "fake warmth" ... It's like if your front door faces south on a sunny day at 41 F, with calm winds...circa 1:45 pm, the air shimmers slightly when you step out and peer around at the brilliance finally bright enough to actually make you squint a little. That air mass in that pocket belies the 41 F by a goodly margin. You'd think it's 66 or something. The sun hits the 4:30 angle, and the super-adiabatic parcel exchanges do manage to cook up a breeze, and then your reminded that it might have nicked 43 F but it's still chilly. 7 pm and it's 32 F with frost glistening on car tops. Of course, that cold shot on Wednesday trumps everything...for 24 to 30 hours, that's pointless annoyance - egh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 3 hours ago, moneypitmike said: No doubt we've hit the end of winter when we've started tracking high pressure systems. Hey man, with pressure that high you might bulge a disc to two! Chiropractors rejoice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 Euro loses the snowstorm for mid week and now the cmc brings it back lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 59 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Euro loses the snowstorm for mid week and now the cmc brings it back lol Not gonna happen. Would have been nice because I would have been praising Steve for days if if it did, because he called it out about 20 days ago. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 Looks like models are hinting at something this far out. Of course that means very lottle, but in the season of weird cutoffs and fluky things...maybe something to keep a loose eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: Not gonna happen. Would have been nice because I would have been praising Steve for days if if it did, because he called it out about 20 days ago. lol Euro bringd it back for central New England northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 3 hours ago, Snow88 said: Euro bringd it back for central New England northward. Meh. Does nothing for SNE, but good luck to the north. Eventually climo is the factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 19, 2017 Share Posted March 19, 2017 37 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Meh. Does nothing for SNE, but good luck to the north. Eventually climo is the factor. Normals akin to around 11/20 at that point but obviously heading rapidly in the other direction. I'd bring in my Roy Orbison link but I'd want another week to go by at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 2 hours ago, weathafella said: Normals akin to around 11/20 at that point but obviously heading rapidly in the other direction. I'd bring in my Roy Orbison link but I'd want another week to go by at least. I dont know why I was thinking 10/20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 5 hours ago, weathafella said: Normals akin to around 11/20 at that point but obviously heading rapidly in the other direction. I'd bring in my Roy Orbison link but I'd want another week to go by at least. Hangin on for something akin to 10/29......oh man that would be epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 It's not over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 Thread to explode in 3...2....1 Three downsides: 1. This includes sleet 2. It is the 6Z run 3. It is 174 hours out but when has that ever stopped the weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 Euro is similar just adjusted a hair north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 Actually, with one more chunk of severe cold coming down this late week it is somewhat logical that we would have something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 Nice se ridge on ens in the extended, almost there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nice se ridge on ens in the extended, almost there. They stay in the trunk for quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They stay in the trunk for quite some time. Agree Too early for warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Agree Too early for warmth too late for brooklyn snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 Anything above 40F is game, just need to melt it and dry it out. This possible system is for the pike north crowd, happy for them to keep it for the slopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2017 Share Posted March 20, 2017 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: too late for brooklyn snow Most likely but I wouldn't rule out anything just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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