Winter Wizard Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 FWIW, the HRRR completely missed the precipitation SW of Altoona: it had that area completely dry at this hour while that area is experiencing moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said: FWIW, the HRRR completely missed the precipitation SW of Altoona: it had that area completely dry at this hour while that area is experiencing moderate snow. Think the NAM scooped this storm and they hit the big time snows too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just got off the phone with a wx friend back in north jersey who tells me that the GFS has caved to the NAM regarding the low being an extreme coastal hugger practically up to Sandy Hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 24 minutes ago, pasnownut said: while I've tried to be non biased in my input.....cant help but want to bring this home. Great Map! I want to so bad pull an all nighter. Coastal Hugger happening. You can see radar trends to our south tell us this could be record breaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Just got off the phone with a wx friend back in north jersey who tells me that the GFS has caved to the NAM regarding the low being an extreme coastal hugger practically up to Sandy Hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Rate & flake size are picking up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 This is just pregame right now folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Rate & flake size are picking up here. Im getting better rates, then it waines. starting to see the wind pick up, so I'm thinking we are about to get into the more dyamic stuff. this is fun. Im officially not discounting March until further notice as a winter month....no matter what happens prior. Nice stretch of winter coming up. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Im getting better rates, then it waines. starting to see the wind pick up, so I'm thinking we are about to get into the more dyamic stuff. this is fun. Im officially not discounting March until further notice as a winter month....no matter what happens prior. Nice stretch of winter coming up. Nut it will pick up as the MA forum is seeing some tremendous rates. That is all moving up to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, paweather said: it will pick up as the MA forum is seeing some tremendous rates. That is all moving up to us. yeah...saw that. We need them to overpreform.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Im getting better rates, then it waines. starting to see the wind pick up, so I'm thinking we are about to get into the more dyamic stuff. this is fun. Im officially not discounting March until further notice as a winter month....no matter what happens prior. Nice stretch of winter coming up. Nut and this right now is with the low down in the Carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The GFS is beautiful for the LSV. The QPF is 1.8, which of course shows as 18 inches of snow at a 10 to 1 ratio, however the Kuchera ratio is showing tremendous rate of almost 20 to 1, because it is showing through 6z tomorrow night, 34 inches at MDT. If that somehow verifies, say hello to #1 all time storm at MDT !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, djr5001 said: and this right now is with the low down in the Carolinas Low is still east of Charlotte with incredible moisture feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The GFS is beautiful for the LSV. The QPF is 1.8, which of course shows as 18 inches of snow at a 10 to 1 ratio, however the Kuchera ratio is showing tremendous rate of almost 20 to 1, because it is showing through 6z tomorrow night, 34 inches at MDT. If that somehow verifies, say hello to #1 all time storm at MDT !!! That would be insane, but I can see that happening just looking at radar trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Snowing nicely in Lititz. Approx 2 to 2.5 inches. 1 mile visibility.waiting for the ripping to begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Snowing the heaviest rate of the storm now with a good moderate rate. At midnight measured 1.0" of snowfall. Temp down to 27.9 degrees. Streets / sidewalks now all white as well. I think the MA crew around DC are getting a surprise with heavy snow. Friend told me the forecast had been lowered all the way down to only an inch there? Hard to believe. They'll have to start re-upping the amounts there soon...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Latitude helps right now that is for sure. Sleet in MD/DC I don't think we come close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Courtesy of the MA forum: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Courtesy of the MA forum: Incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 10 minutes ago, paweather said: That would be insane, but I can see that happening just looking at radar trends. There is heavy precip stretching all the way down to the gulf coast of Florida. There is heavy precip feeding in from off the Atlantic along with the precip building in from the old Midwest low. Here we go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 its starting to really come down nicely here. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 just measured 2" - road covered - driveway just starting to get covered (south facing on hillside) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I'm headed to bed but it's beautiful out with mod snow and about 1.5" already on the ground. Those overnight bands look legit. Interested to see what it's like when I wake back up. It really is a Works of difference between us and D.C. weatherwise despite being so close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: There is heavy precip stretching all the way down to the gulf coast of Florida. There is heavy precip feeding in from off the Atlantic along with the precip building in from the old Midwest low. Here we go! This may not be an official triple phaser but it looks like it from the sources we are getting SN+ Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Good luck guys! Im now going cry in the fetal position while watching your reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 MD seeing sleet tells me how strong this storm is. This is a record breaker or close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Comparing the current radar to the 0z NAM, it looks pretty spot on for the Eastern 2/3 of PA, whereas the HRRR at 0z was way too far SE with the precipitation. Take it for what it's worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Snow just starting here and 30ºF. Radar looks pretty decent just off to the east of I-99. Should get accums going quick if it can get established a little bit more west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Again, from the MA forum for those who like pretty colors... >>> This is precip totals only through 9:00 AM Tuesday Morning <<<< Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 That sleet is coming north too fast for my liking. Hope it stops soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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