moneypitmike Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: The odds this will be a nuclear meltdown day for americanwx are increasing i'm sure weenies will find solace its the WCB pelting them (lol) but really is anyone in mass safe from the taint by 4pm? I'm hopeful. But this steady eastward trend is a b**ch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 You can see the wall of snow beginning to develop down in LI and srn CT/RI. No shredded radar today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Feels like this storm is going to suck here. Good luck to inland folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: measuring this will be a b**ch. This is not man snow. It's powder and blowing around, but it's definitely on the more dense side so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 So are mets thinking the Euro is too cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Those who stay all snow are going to get pummeled. Going by the thermal profiles most of the three SNE states will flip (save NW corner of MA) It's just the way it is. Sleet fest incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, moneypitmike said: My sister in Brooklyn just posted that it's a bust. Heavy snow here....waves of it lowing in the wind. Time to rock, I guess. Trying to decide whether the 18-24 inch forecast from yesterday is more embarrassing than the 24-36 inch forecast from 1/25/2015. OKX has not had any luck with big snow forecasts. When they go high, we go low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Really coming down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Guidance has been pretty consistent at sending taint to a lot of people by 20-21z. It's what happens between now and then that matters. That's where the 12-15" in 6 hours is coming from. the problem in my opinion is not that the heavy rates won't be there but that guidance is notoriously slow in bringing in Warm air aloft. When every hour is 3" of snow and we know forecasts are too slow to bring in warm air aloft and with the ground truth to the South west, its time to take em down by at LEAST 1/3, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Clesnimg the roofs if the cars might be easy....wind, ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So are mets thinking the Euro is too cold? aloft it has already proven so to your SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Well, good news thus far is that this heavy stuff is all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 My sister in Brooklyn just texted me "rain, maybe some sleet". Down to 17.9 here at the Pit. sn+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: the problem in my opinion is not that the heavy rates won't be there but that guidance is notoriously slow in bringing in Warm air aloft. When every hour is 3" of snow and we know forecasts are too slow to bring in warm air aloft and with the ground truth to the South west, its time to take em down by at LEAST 1/3, no? Take it down by 1-3"? I dunno if I'm that confident that mixing will happen in ORH at 19z vs 21z...are you? I'd keep my range fairly wide....like 10-16" or something. That should cover a 2 hour wiggle room for mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: aloft it has already proven so to your SW That doesn't necessarily mean it translates all the way up..if 95% of the precip is snow.. does it matter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Actually, it is pounding. Good sized flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The odds this will be a nuclear meltdown day for americanwx are increasing i'm sure weenies will find solace its the WCB pelting them (lol) but really is anyone in mass safe from the taint by 4pm?Me?Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, ROOSTA said: Those who stay all snow are going to get pummeled. Going by the thermal profiles most of the three SNE states will flip (save NW corner of MA) It's just the way it is. Sleet fest incoming. No way it makes it that far hartford south probably maybe to springfield at the very end but they do great before that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Um wow it's pure whiteout conditions, Upton drops the bliz warning and I immediately start seeing blizzard conditions. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So are mets thinking the Euro is too cold? Did anyone ever say what the euro had for H7 temps? It wasn't talked about really since this isn't a SWFE, but with a monster WCB it's a similar deal with the warm tongue way aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 If north of the Pike taints it's probably late enough as to where the thump is already about done. I doubt N or Rt. 2 and W of 495 taints outside of snizzle/crap when the dryslot moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Take it down by 1-3"? I dunno if I'm that confident that mixing will happen in ORH at 19z vs 21z...are you? I'd keep my range fairly wide....like 10-16" or something. That should cover a 2 hour wiggle room for mixing. i think ORH mixes by 2-3pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, snowman21 said: Trying to decide whether the 18-24 inch forecast from yesterday is more embarrassing than the 24-36 inch forecast from 1/25/2015. OKX has not had any luck with big snow forecasts. When they go high, we go low. They consistently get burned for being too bullish on snow. In last night's disco they cited the GEFS as a reason to keep everyone all snow. Sometimes, it's hard to buy what OKX wants to sell you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said: Um wow it's pure whiteout conditions, Upton drops the bliz warning and I immediately start seeing blizzard conditions. lol Yeah, geez. This is really heavy now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Um wow it's pure whiteout conditions, Upton drops the bliz warning and I immediately start seeing blizzard conditions. lol Because you're unlikely to see it for 3 or more consecutive hours. Getting some decent flake production here now, but it's about 50/50 snow and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: Did anyone ever say what the euro had for H7 temps? It wasn't talked about really since this isn't a SWFE, but with a monster WCB it's a similar deal with the warm to gue way aloft. I saw an early AM met post that had Euro keeping even HVN snow .. I forget what he said thermals were , but it was borderline there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 It's pretty ridiculous outside right now crazy winds heavy snow looks like at least 2-3 per hour, whiteout conditions. Approaching 6". Be very very lucky if we see a foot here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NB-Weather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: It's pretty ridiculous outside right now crazy winds heavy snow looks like at least 2-3 per hour, whiteout conditions. Approaching 6". Be very very lucky if we see a foot here. Did you have any sleet when the heavy band first came in? I'm just to your south in North Branford (12 miles from water). Sleet mixed in on approach of band, all snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Did anyone ever say what the euro had for H7 temps? It wasn't talked about really since this isn't a SWFE, but with a monster WCB it's a similar deal with the warm tongue way aloft. At 18z it has the -4 isotherm over the pike. -2 over TOL but 0c is still offshore to the south. Looks like by 00z it gets the cape and maybe even scooters digs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I saw an early AM met post that had Euro keeping even HVN snow .. I forget what he said thermals were , but it was borderline there I guess. I don't have any ec temps above H85...not sure if wxbell has them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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