stormtracker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I even broke character and 1) melted and 2) went off on a poster who said I was wishcasting. I guess I'm ready for war too and I'm on the other side of heaven's gate lol. Wx is fun. Yeah, unusual for you...good, in an evil way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Kinda sucks being the guy everyone asks, "how much is it going to snow" or "is school going to close tomorrow?" I end up taking the fall if it goes wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 28 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah I remember that fondly. I'm maybe two miles away and I got a T. I managed 2"... and I'm lower elevation than you. Weird. It was all gone by afternoon of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, snjókoma said: I managed 2"... and I'm lower elevation than you. Weird. It was all gone by afternoon of course Possible I'm misremembering. All I know is that when I woke up, there was maybe some white patches on the mulch and on people's roofs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Better to sleet than to (freezing) rain. Better to snow than to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I even broke character and 1) melted and 2) went off on a poster who said I was wishcasting. I guess I'm ready for war too and I'm on the other side of heaven's gate lol. Wx is fun. Lol. You took care of it. Don't apologize. If mods can jump in and just delete that kind of bs it would be great. We are in storm mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I love you, NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: Better to sleet than to (freezing) rain. Better to snow than to sleet. Golden rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, mattie g said: Better to sleet than to (freezing) rain. Better to snow than to sleet. Where does graupel fit in? It's like Dippin-Dots snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Golden rule. I can't stand sleet, but a flip to rain is the f'ing hate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Can I have the last 2 days back please? I am so sorry I wasted so much time tracking this incredible rainmaker for Dale City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Lol nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Damn, Jeb. I'm so sorry. Need to buy a burial plot? Ha ha ha lol, no, we will get more snow later this month. Thanks for your concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 "Thanks, but we don't need some ne'er do well from NC giving us updates on a terrible ensemble model." One of two extremely rude quotes by Stormtracker to Packfan98. The other one was something along the lines of if we need an assist for a pbp we wouldve asked. I mean how freakin much of a d*ck can you honestly be? The guy truly enjoys weather and you act like a teo year old? Ive been studying and watching this for days and find it ridiculous people act like this. We just had this issue the other day with ers. Cmon fellas we are most def better than having our arrogance show like this. Wth did the guy do wrong? He posted analysis of a model, regaddless of how sh*tty it may be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Jebman said: Can I have the last 2 days back please? I am so sorry I wasted so much time tracking this incredible rainmaker for Dale City. Don't give up, Jeb; you've come this far. I have a feeling this will be better for you guys than you think right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Lol nam But which one tho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I really wish people would follow meteorology and not modelology. I could very well be eating crow tomorrow but things have trended almost exactly as I was expecting them to just based on the synoptic pattern. I will do an after thought post if things fully end up as I expect as to why the models had such a hard time with the sensible weather even with the correct synoptics. Use the tools available to you. I'd love to see forecasting threads more than model analysis threads once this storm wraps up. Models are only a tool to a good forecastSent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, vinylfreak89 said: I really wish people would follow meteorology and not modelology. I could very well be eating crow tomorrow but things have trended almost exactly as I was expecting them to just based on the synoptic pattern. I will do an after thought post if things fully end up as I expect as to why the models had such a hard time with the sensible weather even with the correct synoptics. Use the tools available to you. I'd love to see forecasting threads more than model analysis threads once this storm wraps up. Models are only a tool to a good forecast Sent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk If you don't mind me asking, what do you expect the final solution to end up looking like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Where does graupel fit in? It's like Dippin-Dots snow Graupel is annoying as hell, but at least it's white. It sits above sleet in the fail list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: But which one tho? The DGEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 So many models with many solutions. Just pick the one that is the best for your area and hug the he!! out of it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Idk, ZR is pretty nice. Snow on ice on snow is high impact S. I grew up in the flip zone in South Jersey, which has scarred me for life. It's all about maximum snow for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I love that LWX never caved after last night's terrible runs and are still sticking to much of the same forecasts they had since issuing the warnings. That's what the real pros do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: MN Transplant always has really sad obs in storms like this. Accurate, but sad. He'll be reporting mixed precip and then rain within a couple hours of the event starting. I try. I really hope we don't go to rain though. 1 hour ago, snjókoma said: He had 4" in Snowquester... thats not bad compared to most. March 2013 is where my elevation has really stood out since I moved here. Not sure it'll be much of a benefit on this one since the problem is at 800mb and not in the near-ground boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 This place is so funny. Good model run: Bad model run: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, H2O said: This place is so funny. Good model run: Bad model run: Hi! You must be new here. I'm WxUSAF. What's your name n00b? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Hi! You must be new here. I'm WxUSAF. What's your name n00b? I'm from NC and posting maps to tell you guys things that you already know but need to see again to really KNOW it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 If you don't mind me asking, what do you expect the final solution to end up looking like?Probably something pretty close to the 3k nam... maybe slightly colder... maybe a little bit more formed CCB than currently modeled.Sent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 If my back yard stays frozen precip the whole storm I will buy everyone a round of drinks if we ever have another MA gtg at a local watering hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I love you. I like your posts. I agree with you. But you're not going to get majority "meteorology" posts here when most have less than 2" on the year and this is our first only last chance to have anything halfway decent. Just not gonna happen. I'd love more sounding plots too but half the battle around other very sick people is having unrealistic hope. I think that's a fair statement, but it's not just this board, it's the industry as a whole, and its one reason this is no longer a career path for me, but instead a hobby (I'm 27 working as a software engineer and have been on Eastern/AmWx on/off since 2005 or so).Sent from my HTC 10 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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