osfan24 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The high could have been stronger and in a better spot, but it wasn't the problem. Most everyone around and west of 95 was well below freezing. The northern stream being so far NW and the coastal low basically going right over Ocean City was the problem. Move the low 100 miles east and you probably could have done pretty well. HRRR probably overdid precip a bit and definitely overdid the cold air. NAM was really jumpy leading up to event but pretty much nailed the final outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Once the wind picks up later, we're going to have more power issues. I've got a good bit of ice on the trees and they're already swaying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haudidoody Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Getting bright out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I know the HRRR hasn't been fantastic but has anyone noticed it's setting up a significant back end thump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: The high could have been stronger and in a better spot, but it wasn't the problem. Most everyone around and west of 95 was well below freezing. The northern stream being so far NW and the coastal low basically going right over Ocean City was the problem. Move the low 100 miles east and you probably could have done pretty well. HRRR probably overdid precip a bit and definitely overdid the cold air. NAM was really jumpy leading up to event but pretty much nailed the final outcome. The high would have cooled the upper levels much more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, osfan24 said: The high could have been stronger and in a better spot, but it wasn't the problem. Most everyone around and west of 95 was well below freezing. The northern stream being so far NW and the coastal low basically going right over Ocean City was the problem. Move the low 100 miles east and you probably could have done pretty well. HRRR probably overdid precip a bit and definitely overdid the cold air. NAM was really jumpy leading up to event but pretty much nailed the final outcome. The NAM was horrid IMO. It gave me 1.6 and 1.5 inches of QPF in the last 2 runs before the storm. The HRRR will end up just about nailing my QPF numbers which is gonna be around .8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Melting has begun. Down to light snow showery stuff now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, supernovasky said: I know the HRRR hasn't been fantastic but has anyone noticed it's setting up a significant back end thump? People have noticed, but I'm having a hard time buying into it. We'll see. It looks worse then it did last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, supernovasky said: I know the HRRR hasn't been fantastic but has anyone noticed it's setting up a significant back end thump? People have been discussing it for many hours now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, supernovasky said: I know the HRRR hasn't been fantastic but has anyone noticed it's setting up a significant back end thump? It also seems like it wants to dump another 12-18 up by York. That seems highly unlikely. Storm is pulling out pretty quick in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 The light ZR/IP/snow mix ended here. Looks like I may miss out on the pivot based on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Down to very light snow now...almost flurries. 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, snowfan said: People have been discussing it for many hours now. Looking at radar it's pretty clear to me it's setting up much further north and east that depicted on those models.. I suppose I could be wrong.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 27.3/25 sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, snowfan said: People have been discussing it for many hours now. Its experimental twin has much lower, so this could be a good test. https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_jet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Doesn't look like anyone west of DC has much of anything left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 30.9 and about 2.5-3" and still snowing. It seems every system we expected more from this year, we got a lot less. Disappointing, but it's beautiful outside and I'll take what I can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 After a week of watching and waiting, in the end, the models did a horrible job with this storm. We got about 2 inches of snow before it changed over around midnight. It is starting to change to very light snow again in Fairfax County (near the city). Can anyone tell me if we are likely to get any more from the coastal low as it pulls north? I read the NWS, but it doesn't look very good on radar. I'm concerned that it is too far north to get west of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
33andrain Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Still all sleet here in the Cromwell valley/Towson area. Just f*#+€£# end it already! Backside will only disappoint like the rest of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Yeoman said: Looking at radar it's pretty clear to me it's setting up much further north and east that depicted on those models.. I suppose I could be wrong.. I don't think you're wrong. 95 and east may be the best spot with the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Still sleet - maybe a few flakes mixing in? Sleet for eight hours now - that's a first for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 This last band out here is nothing to excited about. Just light snow. Was a fun storm to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Straight snow in Gaithersburg now, actually not too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 You can practically see the pivot starting with the naked eye. Look up, pretty cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Went out to take some pictures. The gate was frozen shut. Cut my finger trying to get it open. Went I went out the roads were slushy and wet. The slush is starting to freeze now. All sleet is now falling and is accumulating on the local plowed roads. Some branches/limbs are breaking under the ice. Temperature has dropped to 31.7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Time to stop looking at the H3R and watch what the radar is doing. Seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Measurement with evidence. Haven't been on the board since the start. Hope all got a decent event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Light flurries in Germantown, but radar is collapsing and the sky is brightening with the lumpiness of the clouds visible. This one is over. Gonna say about 3.5-ish on the ground, which given the 8-12" for my zone as of yesterday afternoon is a total failure. It is the cherry on top of the crap sundae that this winter was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Three hour pressure fall is beautiful. Sent from my VS995 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Looking at radar it's pretty clear to me it's setting up much further north and east that depicted on those models.. I suppose I could be wrong.. Yeah. The radar is pretty ugly for most of us. Maybe you guys NE of Baltimore can score a few inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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