Chinook Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The new precip-type feature in GRLevel3 software (v2.60) uses the HRRR precip type analysis. (Or so the GRLevel3 owner forum says). This is getting pretty interesting right now to see different colors mostly (but not entirely) lining up with the observed precip types. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 22 minutes ago, Jebman said: I cant believe I stayed up all frikin night............ for RAIN. What's your temp? It could be freezing rain. At least it turns into something frozen. I've been zr for hours now, I feel your pain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, mdhokie said: It might end up close with the QPF. I think a met said you cant trust the snow maps because it counts sleet and frzn as snow. Yeah QPF was good. I wasn't looking at the snowfall maps so much as I was looking at the precipitation maps showing it really beating back against the advancing sleet line and putting up a fight around 95. We didn't get any of the heavy snow and the line blew through 95 well to the west and shows no signs of retreating. I knew the snowfall maps would be off unless the precip maps showed the snow/mix line staying southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just swept the board at the six hour mark. 3.7" with the heaviest snow of the night falling now. Visibility a little over 1/4 mile. Winds have come up considerably. 29 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ltrain said: What's your temp? It could be freezing rain. At least it turns into something frozen. I've been zr for hours now, I feel your pain. 29 or so, I guess if its ZR that could be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Pinging here in Leesburg. Hopefully not for long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 7 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Just swept the board at the six hour mark. 3.7" with the heaviest snow of the night falling now. Visibility a little over 1/4 mile. Winds have come up considerably. 29 degrees. Congrats, a lot heavier snow in western Maryland than most models had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 24 minutes ago, Wxhoov said: Im in north york at around 1000ft and its pouring snow! at about 7" already wouldnt be surprised to see 2 feet as long as we dont mix I see that you have just joined so I will throw some friendly advice your way. Many on here don't take kindly when those outside their region come in with observations of how well they are doing especially when many of them are getting semi-screwed. Now if everyone was enjoying in on the fun it would probably be a different story but in this case many will see this as nothing more then gloating. So you may want to refrain from posting your obs or at least tone them down quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: I see that you have just joined so I will throw some friendly advice your way. Many on here don't take kindly when those outside their region come in with observations of how well they are doing especially when many of them are getting semi-screwed. Now if everyone was enjoying in on the fun it would probably be a different story but in this case many will see this as nothing more then gloating. So you may want to refrain from posting your obs or at least tone them down quite a bit. I don't see the issue. York is pretty much in the Mid-Atlantic. It's not like he's in Philly or Burlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Hang in, conditions around DC to BAL should improve as low is now dropping 2 mbs an hour and this warm air aloft should begin to pour northwards up and over the cold dome over the northeast. Your sleet will probably be an issue for NJ soon. Meanwhile, could see p types changing back to snow in MD next 2-3 hours. Diamond Shoals off NC just ramped up to 50 knot southerly winds and track of low currently 996 mbs near NC-VA border appears to be across VA beach towards a position off Ocean City then northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I knew the score when I tracked this storm. My mid March climo is 1 inch. I received 2 inches of snow and one inch of sleet then rain, so I am content. I cant complain, I am way over my climo for March in Dale City. I hope everyone in the west and north parts of the Mid Atlantic gets 2 feet of snow, and I will cheer em on all the way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Still pouring sleet in Rockville. Has been going for hours now. Pretty impressive in its own right. It looks like a big sheet of ice out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Ripping fatties here, sleet line is very close. Have about 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, AlaskaETC said: I don't see the issue. York is pretty much in the Mid-Atlantic. It's not like he's in Philly or Burlington. There are many that feel as you do. But it still doesn't change the fact that there are many that don't. As i said before it is only friendly advice and nothing more. He can do with it what he will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Been sleet since 1:15 - still pouring sleet. 29 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Welp I guess I officially went above 32 because the rain stopped freezing on contact and is now melting the snow and ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I'd argue we have seen the sleet/mix line go as far north as it will go now. With the coastal low now beginning to bomb out the mix line may wobble a bit, but the bleeding might be coming to an end soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Been sleet since 1:15 - still pouring sleet. 29 degrees. How much sleet you got? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, showmethesnow said: There are many that feel as you do. But it still doesn't change the fact that there are many that don't. As i said before it is only friendly advice and nothing more. He can do with it what he will. I've been asleep for a bit - short range models change any of this back to snow in the cities still at some point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, North Balti Zen said: I've been asleep for a bit - short range models change any of this back to snow in the cities still at some point? There is a chance we might get into the deform for a while later this morning, maybe 8 or 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Jebman said: How much sleet you got? At least an inch is my guess - maybe more - hard to tell, it's a deluge of sleet at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HGRSnowMan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Close to 5" driving snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Sleet here now, northern end of the line still charging back west on CC, but collapsing near front royal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 We may be seeing colder air beginning to funnel in from the north on the surface. Held steady at 27 from 1 am to 3 am but within the last 45 minutes or so I have seen a 2 degree drop. Of course part of this drop may be attributed to slightly higher rates that I have seen. It may also be an indication that the warm layer may be withdrawing back to the south as the flakes have gone from icy to a more typical snowflake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Absolutely pouring snow...best rates of the storm so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Feds are on a 3-hour delay, with an option for unscheduled leave or unscheduled telework. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: I've been asleep for a bit - short range models change any of this back to snow in the cities still at some point? To be honest I haven't really looked to hard into the mesos yet been busy with some other things. But from what little I have seen I think there will be a flip and those Baltimore and north east may do fairly well as it pivots. But that is more just a gut call on my part then anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: This is a pretty hellacious sleet dump, but look at that legit deathband around Baltimore? Gravity waves and all.. Greatest rate of sleet I have personlly ever seen, but I didn't live here in 2007. This was so close to being an amazing snowstorm for my part of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HGRSnowMan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, poolz1 said: Absolutely pouring snow...best rates of the storm so far. Hopefully the sleet stays on the other side of the mountain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: To be honest I haven't really looked to hard into the mesos yet been busy with some other things. But from what little I have seen I think there will be a flip and those Baltimore and north east may do fairly well as it pivots. But that is more just a gut call on my part then anything else. Thanks - will cross fingers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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