Interstate Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: Agreed. It felt like "there's a chance so..." lol. We almost always flip early to sleet when it's a guaranteed part of a storm. My yard will hold ZR longer than models show but rarely holds snow longer when there's sleet involved. I'm 100% sleet now. Hopefully it piles up when the bands rotate in. I am hoping when the heavy banding comes in it switches back to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just lost .2 more... 26.4/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2.25" in EC, now all sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3" of snow in my part of Gaithersburg. Lots of sleet now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 H3R refuses to back off the obscene QPF totals. I'm as skeptical as the next guy but it's showing it so I'm posting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Jeb whats it doing in those yellow bands south of DC? Heavy sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Don't get me wrong - this is a lot of fun (esp after the winter we have had) - but watching the stunning look of the radar is going to make me bitter about what this could have looked like if it was all snow. I'm pretty convinced we could've made a solid run at Two Feet+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Bob can you compare what the HRRR was forecasting for QPF up to this point and see if it matches what has fallen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: H3R refuses to back off the obscene QPF totals. I'm as skeptical as the next guy but it's showing it so I'm posting it. FWIW RAP agrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 Yellows incoming to Alex/Arl/DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, mdhokie said: Jeb whats it doing in those yellow bands south of DC? Heavy sleet? It's either Sleet or ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, mdhokie said: Jeb whats it doing in those yellow bands south of DC? Heavy sleet? Sleet and some freezing rain. It's just band after band after band, storm is really cranking up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Heavy snow. Looks to be about 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 7 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: I think many of us - myself included - got sucked in by the super short terms that showed a later flip. to NAM's credit, they showed flip at 4-5z for me... Maybe the NAM will be right about the band of snow tomorrow as well. The 3k says I should get about 2" after the flip back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: H3R refuses to back off the obscene QPF totals. I'm as skeptical as the next guy but it's showing it so I'm posting it. Those 1.3 liquid/hr totals are causing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I can't even begin to imagine in my wildest snowgasmic dreams, what that deform is gonna do to places like N MD and farther NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Agreed. It felt like "there's a chance so..." lol. We almost always flip early to sleet when it's a guaranteed part of a storm. My yard will hold ZR longer than models show but rarely holds snow longer when there's sleet involved. I'm 100% sleet now. Hopefully it piles up when the bands rotate in. Latest RAP is showing 3" Liquid IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3" liquid as sleet is 6-9" of accumulation lol. Snow totals may verify as sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
genya Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Sleet mixing in in Owings Mills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 13 minutes ago, HighStakes said: I'm really worried were going to flip or at least mix a good deal and lose a good 2-4 hours what would be 1-2 inch rates. I'm a little worried about that too but we're on the edge and heavy rates should overcome a small warm layer. I almost can't believe we have major mixing problems out here given the track and intensity of the storm and where we were all week. Not a single run had mixing anywhere near us until today really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3z RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, psuhoffman said: I'm a little worried about that too but we're on the edge and heavy rates should overcome a small warm layer. I almost can't believe we have major mixing problems out here given the track and intensity of the storm and where we were all week. Not a single run had mixing anywhere near us until today really. RAP has 4" Liquid for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: Latest RAP is showing 3" Liquid IMBY So far in general the HRRR is verifying with QPF but it's early it it never had a ton of qpf for anyone except SE of DC through 1am. Dale City was forecast for .4 or so and they probably got close to it if I had to guess. It had my in the .3 range through 1am for a few runs in a row and I'm pretty sure I"m close to that. The big rates are on tap so we'll how it does overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Heavy sleet now... roads/sidewalks turning white again. Temp is staying steady at 28 degrees. Have about 1.5 inches on the ground in SE DC. Looks like we'll be adding some sleet on top over the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: So far in general the HRRR is verifying with QPF but it's early it it never had a ton of qpf for anyone except SE of DC through 1am. Dale City was forecast for .4 or so and they probably got close to it if I had to guess. It had my in the .3 range through 1am for a few runs in a row and I'm pretty sure I"m close to that. The big rates are on tap so we'll how it does overnight. I'm getting borderline torrential sleet right now....30/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theproftw Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Sleetfest here in Rockville. 29/28 Can't say I enjoy this too much, I'd prefer straight snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 If only the upper levels would have worked with us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 We might see PD2 sleet rates.....albeit at much higher temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, theproftw said: Sleetfest here in Rockville. 29/28 Can't say I enjoy this too much, I'd prefer straight snow. We have a long way to go. Put it this way, if we get the liquid we are expecting in the form of sleet, even then this will be a storm to remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: So far in general the HRRR is verifying with QPF but it's early it it never had a ton of qpf for anyone except SE of DC through 1am. Dale City was forecast for .4 or so and they probably got close to it if I had to guess. It had my in the .3 range through 1am for a few runs in a row and I'm pretty sure I"m close to that. The big rates are on tap so we'll how it does overnight. That was about 1.8 inches of very wet snow, may have been .4, plus we have had a good deal of sleet and some zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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