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March 13-14 Storm Nowcasting/Obs


nj2va

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  On 3/14/2017 at 3:02 AM, Bob Chill said:

I don't think that area of sleet is the official changeover. You can see it dying off with snow behind it. Whew! First warning shot missed the bow I think

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I think you're good for at least til 2-3am. You are far enough north. These yellowbands are fun, you get about an inch in like 15 minutes.

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Once these yellow deathbands reach you, central and north Marylanders, its going to get very enjoyable. Some of these bands may present 3-4 inch an hour rates. They will be all snow for you, all night long and well into Tuesday. Enjoy em! Let's see, how much snow is about twelve hours at 3-4 inches an hour from deathbands........

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  On 3/14/2017 at 2:35 AM, Bob Chill said:

Looking at the 1z hrrr seems like the model is showing colder air in the mid levels getting drawn down into the deepening low pressure so the sleet line meets a little more resistance in MD. That battleground is going to be pretty wild to watch. A couple more nudges and a million extra snow weenies get some solid totals. 

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You can see the feature that showed up on the Euro today (and a couple models yesterday, I think) showing up on the 01z HRRR.  Here are the 22z-01z runs.

EcTSzYf.gif

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