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March 13-14 Storm Nowcasting/Obs


nj2va

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  On 3/13/2017 at 10:43 PM, showmethesnow said:

Kind of expected to see it up our way. At least during the lighter rates when they can't overcome the warm layer that will probably be there.

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Historically we shouldn't mix with a low taking this track at that intensity. Usually for us to mix when there is cold in place ahead, the low has to be weak (above 995) or track inside Norfolk. A track over va beach then tucked in right along the coast is perfect for us. That's evident by how qpf drops off fast west of us. This will test historical climo vs models. 

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