husky0101 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, larrye said: I still think that you can't hug models ... especially in March. I'm not even a Met and I can sense that. Where are the people who insisted that the NAM's 30"-40" snow accums were realistic a day or so ago? Some of the models (if memory serves) also starting trending west in the past day or so ... that should have been a warning to people. And honestly, last night, Upton and the TV mets began to adjust. It's just that we didn't because we all want to see a lot of snow. but at the same time, don't you have a feeling that the nws is overreacting? Latest HRRR run shows NYC and points west will remain frozen precip still with 12"+ accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Parterre said: Had the same bottlecap-sized snowflakes not too long ago here on the UWS... now back down to more normal size but still falling briskly. I'm starting here a little of the tit-tat of sleet (or ice) on the window again, though. Reports of back to sleet now in Mid town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3.75" snow and sleet otg now, impressive sleetstorm the last couple of hours. Very little rain mixed in so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 All out snowstorm here - 1/8 mile visibility. 8" OTG. Winds backed around to the NE over the past 1 - 2 hours. Doing the dance with that sleet line which is being held back about 20 - 30 miles south of me. 25 / 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, Parterre said: Had the same bottlecap-sized snowflakes not too long ago here on the UWS... now back down to more normal size but still falling briskly. I'm starting here a little of the tit-tat of sleet (or ice) on the window again, though. How far up are you? Mostly snow on 120 and broadway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 NWS not thinking straight? They just reissued the blizzard warnings for 18-24" of snow for Somerset, Hunterdon, Upper Bucks and Upper Montco and all PA/NJ counties north of there, as per below. Ok, I can live with that if they stay snow. But how can they do that and still have Middlesex/Mercer/Monmouth and lower Bucks/Montco in a 4-10" range? Completely discontinuous. Also, note the risk of 0.1-0.2" of freezing rain in this area and down towards Philly. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Mount Holly NJ813 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Western Chester-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,Flemington, Somerville, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading,Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Honey Brook, Oxford, Collegeville,Pottstown, Chalfont, and Perkasie813 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THISEVENING...* LOCATIONS...Eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey.* HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snow and strong winds.* ACCUMULATIONS...Snow accumulation of 18 to 24 inches, alongwith around a trace of ice.URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Mount Holly NJ813 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery-Lower Bucks-Including the cities of New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook,Trenton, West Chester, Kennett Square, Norristown, Lansdale,Morrisville, and Doylestown813 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING......BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a WinterStorm Warning for snow and ice, which is in effect until 6 PM EDTthis evening. The Blizzard Warning has been cancelled.* LOCATIONS...Parts of southeastern Pennsylvania across centralNew Jersey.* HAZARD TYPES...occasionally heavy snow...sleet and freezing rainalong with strong wind to at least 45 mph.* ACCUMULATIONS...Snow accumulation of 4 to 10 inches, along witharound a tenth or two tenths of an inch of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Really nasty out. Huge flakes mixed with sleet mixed with maybe a touch of rain. When the sleet becomes somewhat dominant, it's falling as wind-driven clumbs that sting your face. Unfortunately, in the city, none of this appears to be adding to existing accumulation but is leading to compaction. Still, was smart to cancel school. It's hard to walk in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 After some huge flakes back to sleet/snow mix. Hoping snow emerges as depicted from duo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Reports of back to sleet now in Mid town Heavy snow in Harlem. Going to midtown in a few I'll report back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Dual pole starting to slowly move mix north again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The NWS offices seem to be struggling with the nowcast situation. Winds are picking up significantly by me. Ive got close to 7 inches on the ground in Kenilworth/RP area in Union County NJ. Straddles the GSP at Exit 137. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Heavy snow in nw suffolk, 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Straight pingers in Jersey City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just flipped back to sleet here. 6" down.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Back to mostly sleet again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I'd never pick this over a blizzard -- especially when it means a busted blizzard -- but this is pretty damn fun, like some weird form of meteorological sport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadocane Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Center looks to be 25-50 miles off the coast already. Precip is filling in along the VA, DE, MD, and NJ coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 There should be a winter storm warning in the city straight snowing with a few lingers here in midtown. Central Park looks like 6 inches of slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: I'd never pick this over a blizzard -- especially when it means a busted blizzard -- but this is pretty damn fun, like some weird form of meteorological sport. I like to watch the mix line move in some storms. But agree a straight blizzard is much more fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Critical moment here. Low is starting move NE. You can see the main convective band setting up. How far east can the low tick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Rain/sleet here. Haven't went out and measured yet. Been at/above freezing for the past 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Looks like blizzard warnings dropped for a lot of locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parterre Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The "cockroach" snow is back. And the mix line appears to be holding, but I am hearing some more annoying noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Parterre said: The "cockroach" snow is back. And the mix line appears to be holding, but I am hearing some more annoying noise. Dual pole shows the mix line moving north across the region fairly quickly again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Sleet mixing with just plain rain here in SW Suffolk and 33 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Rittenhouse said: Critical moment here. Low is starting move NE. You can see the main convective band setting up. How far east can the low tick? A nice jog east and pivot would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: There should be a winter storm warning in the city straight snowing with a few lingers here in midtown. Central Park looks like 6 inches of slop And LGA reported 5.9" at 8am. That's already WSW criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowjoe99 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said: I'd never pick this over a blizzard -- especially when it means a busted blizzard -- but this is pretty damn fun, like some weird form of meteorological sport. I think between 6 am and 7 am, I had about 6 switches between sleet and snow (I was panicking betweem each changeover lmao). Since 7:30, I've been heavy heavy snow with huge flakes (1"+ at times). The constant watching and panic has been rewarding. Actually one of the more fun storms I've ever experienced, even if the totals come up on the lower end! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Heavy Sleet now. This may not end up as historic by me but a very fun winter event. Precip rates are very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Somerville isnt getting 18-24 inches anyway in Belle Mead...sleet and rain mix, coming down pretty heavy, we had about 4-4.5 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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