psuhoffman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 5:03 AM, Bob Chill said: Yes, I think both. Especially the upper levels. The southern vort goes neg tilt at the perfect time. Even though it's not a huge vort, it goes neg right around va beach so there is rapid deepening of lp off the coast. We seem to be right in the cross hairs of a sick deform band nw of the low as it goes nuts off the coast. That plus the ns low seemingly wanting to give up earlier keeps the damage to the surface and midlevels to a minimum. I can't think of a single analog storm to this one. It's really more a tale of 2 separate storms that do a little dance right at a perfect spot. Expand Feb 72 has some similarities but this has better anticedent cold and the coastal track is better. Jan 22 87 also has some similarities. But your right this is a different beast then our typical hecs threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Gefs mean precip up and down 95 increased to 1.4". Rock solid. Western extent of the 1" line shifted east though. Western folks still look good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Guessing it's been mentioned a few times already, but haven't been able to read every page. So it seems some of us in the DMV are going to hit the thundersnow jackpot? Maybe under some sick deform bands? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 5:23 AM, Bob Chill said: Gefs mean precip up and down 95 increased to 1.4". Rock solid. Western extent of the 1" line shifted east though. Western folks still look good though. Expand Now the gfs is back it it's comfortable spot of being a little southeast of most guidance. The world is right again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Ukie qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 5:31 AM, cae said: Ukie qpf. Expand NE CT screw zone, love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 capital weather gang's first accumulation map looks good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 4:48 AM, Bob Chill said: Someone should do a multi model run over run comparison of slp readings off of OC. Seems like most if not all models are trending deeper right now. Expand Same animation below cropped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 5:23 AM, Bob Chill said: Gefs mean precip up and down 95 increased to 1.4". Rock solid. Western extent of the 1" line shifted east though. Western folks still look good though. The wizards make think we are going to get a special storm. Crazy win..crazy winter Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 JMA looks like a bit more than 1" QPF for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Through 36 the northern stream system is a little south and weaker. And already talking some better stj moisture. Minor changes overall though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 00z EURO at 48 DC is at -4/-5 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Euro def more amped then 12z thru 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 5:58 AM, Hurricanegiants said: Is the euro rolling? Or is this where daylight savings kicks in Expand It's rolling . Should be in range in 5 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 5:58 AM, Hurricanegiants said: Is the euro rolling? Or is this where daylight savings kicks in Expand They run it by ztime which doesn't change regardless of what time we say it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Euro has a low over FL at 48hrs that I think is fake. The northern low on the edge of the warmfront will be dominant that's how EC storms work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 .3-.4 along 95 by 6z. Over .5 around Fredericksburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 lol euro. I'll let you all give the analysis and PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 6:04 AM, Bob Chill said: .3-.4 along 95 by 6z. Over .5 around Fredericksburg. Expand But by far the warmest of the whole suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 Euro is definitely a kick in the nads. I'm not ignoring it...just odd considering everything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Heh, precip shield is spotty. Around 1" in general by 12z but the nuking takes place in se pa/nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 6:07 AM, Cobalt said: How's it looking? Expand The low is over Tampa when the last 3 prior 0z runs had it off the coast of SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Deform goes a little west of DC with a dryslot up the bay. Less precipitation overall, except for western areas and slightly warmer surface temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Not a good run considering everything else tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Weakest of the suite with the low off the coast. 999 off of OC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohwxguy Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 6:07 AM, Cobalt said: How's it looking? Expand Least juicy. Shows 0.9" at DCA through 72 hours. Thermals look borderline, but perhaps stay just cold enough along 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 6:07 AM, Cobalt said: How's it looking? Expand It's very taint, snow map shows 6-10 for hoco and moco north, and more like 4-8 for D.C., but the surface and mid levels are very sketchy if not toast for some time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Spotty precip shield, keeps heaviest in PA/SNJ. 1" for DC more up north along the MD border. Interesting given the rest of the suite tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Low doesn't get its act together in time... 15-20" philly and ne. Complete kick back to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.