ErinInTheSky Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: Which one again? 18z, I'll get a gif up soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 18Z HRRR looks great. This is QPF through 12Z Still plenty more to come after this. Everything I've seen says there's very little after 12z for us out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 NAM looking a lot less thumpy for the western areas this evening through 8 hours. Big area of 0.25 QPF at 02z is now 0.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 That sleet middle finger intrusion shows up! http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=refcmp_ptype&rh=2017031318&fh=loop&r=us_ma&dpdt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Everything I've seen says there's very little after 12z for us out here. HRRR would have another 2 hours or so of snow for us. Obviously more east. We will end up right about where I thought. An inch of qpf. Maybe a foot. Maybe a little less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, DCTeacherman said: NAM looking a lot less thumpy for the western areas this evening through 8 hours. Big area of 0.25 QPF at 02z is now 0.1. As in out toward the I-81 corridor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 DC loses 850s at 04z on the NAM. Not much QPF before that, looks like 0.1-0.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TERPhD Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 7 minutes ago, supernovasky said: HRRR Develops that weird Euro feature at 17h Interesting that they both have it, since this seems like a fragile characteristic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Considering we'll never see the 12k nam again shortly, I saw we start now by never seeing it again today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Good thing for most of our subforum is the 850 line doesn't make much progress NW of DC. Still draped right across DC and BWI at 09z. i-81 crew getting destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Lol the NAM has 4" per hour rates in the 81 corridor at 09z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The NAM is certainly wet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The sleet line is farther SE than 12z throughout the whole run basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The NAM is a a HUGE run out this way. Wow. QPF Through 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Considering we'll never see the 12k nam again shortly, I saw we start now by never seeing it again today. I'll be honest, if we are going to bust on this, I want to go out like the 18z NAM. 1.5" qpf of almost all sleet. edit - more like 1.8". That was a qpf NAMing for old times sake. Goodbye, dear friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The Para gets the mix line really far west. Much further west then Regular NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Nam loves Winchester! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, MN Transplant said: I'll be honest, if we are going to bust on this, I want to go out like the 18z NAM. 1.5" qpf of almost all sleet. That would be one for the ages I suppose. It would be glacial overnight tomorrow...yea, I can get into something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Considering we'll never see the 12k nam again shortly, I saw we start now by never seeing it again today. I'm really pretty done with models at this point TBH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Deform looks sweet on Nam at 14z for a lot of places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 989 off of Ocean City. Kaboom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Nam loves Winchester! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 On the 12K the 850 freezing line is only west of me for 2 hours... close the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 12K NAM (Bottom), 12K Parallel NAM (Top) - Both through 24 hours. - EDITED to fix images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Wow I ride the mix line on the 12K NAM. Those just to the left of the line will be crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 FWIW, the HRRR has been amazingly accurate on all of our "winter events" or attempts at them this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 what's different about this event from prior events this year is that the HRRR seems to be snowier than the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4K is warmer than 12K. It's a sleet crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: Our Round Hill and Purcellville friends are loving the HRRR. I resemble this statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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