lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 4, 2017 Share Posted April 4, 2017 Surprised no ones said anything about Friday's potential storm. Looking pretty good for 3-6" across WNY according to NAM, GFS, and Euro. Obviously the more elevation you have the higher the totals but I wouldn't be surprised if even the Buffalo metro area picked up a couple inches of concrete Friday evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 4, 2017 Share Posted April 4, 2017 Too bad the pics didn't go throughSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 4, 2017 Share Posted April 4, 2017 For now, the forecast will only carry a few inches of accumulation across higher terrain, but there is a chance snow accumulation will be more widespread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 4, 2017 Share Posted April 4, 2017 I don't know about anybody else, but if it is going to snow, I hope it's elevation dependent.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 So I guess the chance vanished, LOLSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 16 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: So I guess the chance vanished, LOL Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 16 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: So I guess the chance vanished, LOL Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Not really, at least it doesn't look that way to me. Looks the same as it did 2 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Interesting. Is the Euro still the most bullish of the globals? KBGM has no mention of any frozen precip, so we'll see what happens. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 I can see a mix with temps 35-38F so we'll see what happens Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 3 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I can see a mix with temps 35-38F so we'll see what happens Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I think the hills south and east of BUF and ROC over 1500' could see a 6" paste job Friday into Friday night. I think this ones all gonna come down to elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 5, 2017 Share Posted April 5, 2017 Sounds good to meSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Can't believe nobody is talking. This could be interesting if trends just a touch colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 26 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Can't believe nobody is talking. This could be interesting if trends just a touch colder I think it's interesting now, could it trend warmer still? Sure, but as you said it could trend colder too, and it would only take a degree or two (F) to make the difference between a half inch of slop and 4 or 5". The local mets here are only calling for a sloppy dusting in the BUF metro and lower elevations but I wouldn't be so sure of that yet. All the models look to flip far WNY (lower elevations included) over to snow by 2am or so Friday morning. I think we could pickup a couple inches of slop even here at lower elevations before the April sun puts an end to the accumulations during the daylight hours before things may become a little more orographically enhanced Friday evening in the higher elevations. Find this a pretty interesting and intriguing set up that has a lot of potential, but that potential can definitely work both ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 C NY is pretty much out of the running with this save maybe an inch or 2 on the hills south of SYR. Otherwise this is a WNY event if there is 1 to be had at all. Euro had a sloppy 1-3 from the western finger lakes westward with some 3-7 amounts in the ridges near and parallel to lake erie. I don't see more than that happening given the time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Ok, so I'll be the poster. This storm has potential!! I'm calling it. I think buf sees 4-6". I think Rochester sees the same. Obviously, if that happens, some higher elevation areas see a foot or so. Kevin Williams is intrigued- our local snow lover in Rochester. And the models are trending colder (cooler). My experience is that snow in spring is easier than in fall. Idk why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 And this storm could be much more. A 986 L moving over Bing (hopefully) would create upper level havoc and dump the cold down to the lower levels. If it tracks over Rochester or even Syracuse it's off. So we are talking 75-100 miles. But if this big spring low tracks just a touch more South and east- the western thruway town's will get a foot. It IS possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 In the fall, or even mid winter, I'd say the storm would track over the path of least resistance- the Lake Erie plain. Placing Roc and Buf in warm sector. And it might. But god damn. I've seen spring storms reinvigorate over central PA. I'm hoping this one follows suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Bullish nam 12k. That would be over a foot of snow for Rochester airport. I think it is in the ball park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Don't have euro access anymore Free Image, could be nice for the guys out west.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 NAM and Canadian both seem pretty intent on the snow at least showing up for Buffalo and far western NY. How much it accumulates to is the big question. 1" of qpf would probably result in what, 4-8 inches across the lower elevation metro, before the sun gets up high and puts a stop to that. Would be pretty surprising to see kbuf end up over 80" on the winter, given how poor the winter was in that area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Definitely more excited for Monday this time of year! You just can't beat sunny and 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 I'd rather not... 6-12 for western ny from the nam, higher in the hills! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, southbuffalowx said: I'd rather not... 6-12 for western ny from the nam, higher in the hills! That would be a heck of an April paste job. Not counting on that but definitely feeling confident for more than a dusting, even at lower elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Where was this the last 3 months lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Haa! Right. A 984 low over Albany!! It would be a two foot deal in January. As is, we still might get a plastery 6" from Rochester West. Its fun! It's real marginal and damn if a lot of it isn't during the day!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Not over here, lol. We don't want any more slop, had enough during the Winter.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 I'm ready for mid-to-upper 70s with a nice breeze out of the Southwest with the sun shining with my fishing pole in the water waiting for a biteSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 I'd want a foot of snow in July.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017040612&fh=33&xpos=0&ypos=391 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Temps @850 get down to -6, that's marginal, especially in April.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 I'd want a foot of snow in July.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017040612&fh=33&xpos=0&ypos=391Not meSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 6, 2017 Share Posted April 6, 2017 Dynamic cooling can really surprise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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