tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I know this is am saying for ny state as a whole this me be worse with more widespread higher totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Even better George. LOL. You keeping me honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Anyone else worried about the HRRR? It's considerably less aggressive than the NAM editions despite a favorable track. On a more optimistic note, anyone got some more of those sweet, sweet Kuchera maps for the new NAM runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I'm only about 40 miles NNW of the top corner of the blizzard warning counties (delaware/broome) so it will be interesting to see if another western jog affects my backyard, at 1450 elev. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: Anyone else worried about the HRRR? It's considerably less aggressive than the NAM editions despite a favorable track. On a more optimistic note, anyone got some more of those sweet, sweet Kuchera maps for the new NAM runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4k Nam has 2" liquid as well, 33" using kuchera.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: OMG i'm dead center of that lollipop in Madison county! if only! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Never thought I'd see something like this a few hours before the onset of a storm, but here we are. It's not going to happen, but still amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 That is some crazy ****. God Damn! My happy number is less than half of that. Way less. What other models can we pour over tonight? Will GFS be out of range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Ukie. German out soon I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 12km Para NAM precip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 my bad old map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 This is the one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I like the way this looks! Come on Ty....That's old!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I cant for the life of me believe the Nams output! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I reposted it George or are you just messin with me, lol, I think its the latter, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 SNE crew threw the Nam out but wholeheartedly verbatim kept the HRRR, which isn't even in its wheel house? Why do I care right? I don't and will never mention that thread again, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 That board is insane. Fights all the time. Lol but I love the pasion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 7 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I reposted it George or are you just messin with me, lol, I think its the latter, lol! Keeping you in line!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 RGEM has about 1" of qpf for SYR....and about 1.2" for ROC.... .5" for BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 This is just a thing of beauty! With an incredible influx of ATL moisture along with the H700 which is almost identical to this as it becomes a stacked low is about as good as it gets for the HRV so congrats to Albany finally but also a congrats to all of WCNY as we were all due for a stinger and it looks like Stella might be the one, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 8 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: SNE crew threw the Nam out but wholeheartedly verbatim kept the HRRR, which isn't even in its wheel house? Why do I care right? I don't and will never mention that thread again, lol! I think they ran out of models to throw out!!! ....Hopefully, they didn't throw out their toasters!! (J/K SNE crew!!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, LakeEffectKing said: RGEM has about 1" of qpf for SYR....and about 1.2" for ROC.... .5" for BUF That's not good as I believe that was showing a lot more, no? I may be wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 But even 1" at 16-18/1" is still a nice event. Does that include the LE George? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just for sh*&ts and giggles, I'll throw out a guess for high/low storm totals: High - tough call, but I'll go with the scenic village of Hamilton. thinking they'll get a piece of the deformation band plus some wraparound lake enhancement. With a storm total of 31". Low - easy call, WNash's backyard in Buffalo. Sorry man, you're the only one who had a Debbie moment on our board today. You come in with 4" of sugary snow that accumulates over 61 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Rgem has been steady at its output overall but it's only goes out to 48 hours. But it has increased roc totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Nah, RGEM and GGEM have had a more tightly wrapped QPF shield this whole time despite a favorable track similar to the rest of the models. I wouldn't worry about it too much IMO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: But even 1" at 16-18/1" is still a nice event. Does that include the LE George? It's a little less than 18z...and, no, not all the LES....but remember, by then the ratios will be 18+:1.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I don't think we are gonna like the GFS ppl as it is East of 18Z so it didn't follow its sister, the NAM! Unless I am premature? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Bumble yes If I had to pick a area locally I'd say Brockport Hamlin area. On west side then on East side my town of Walworth. But overall roc area is the Hotspot in western ny. Widespread 18 to 24. A few lucky ones may get 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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