LakeEffectKing Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 So, new Nam, RGEM, and 21z SMRF's all west...as stated, when watching this develop....look at the H7 analysis to see where the H7 low is going....the surface LP is just the pump into the atmosphere...H7 (to the NW) is where you want to be!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Can u post the GGEM as I cant see those B&W maps George posted, lol. Colored isn't out yet....and it's the RGEM.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, LakeEffectKing said: So, new Nam, RGEM, and 21z SMRF's all west...as stated, when watching this develop....look at the H7 analysis to see where the H7 low is going....the surface LP is just the pump into the atmosphere...H7 (to the NW) is where you want to be!! And that is where we are, lol, for the 850 as well so we're in great shape I think, sans the GFS going nuts at 00Z and going East, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, LakeEffectKing said: Colored isn't out yet....and it's the RGEM.... oh ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: oh ok Precip type one is out....note the rain over TAN.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 RGEM in color... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Thats showing a mix for the whole event in and around NYC, WoW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Sorry, cut the scale. Roc is .8 for reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 H7 LP over eastern NY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The precip differences this close is just nuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Been away a bit how we looking dave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Been away a bit how we looking dave Better. Take a scroll. Lots to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 GFS west and looks better through hr 36 from what I can see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Ridge axis out West is in C NV right up through C OR up into WA state and amplifies so how does this thing not hug the coast or even head a bit further inland as that ridge axis is way west for an EC system. IMO she comes further West, not much but enough to help out WNY for sure! o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Yeah GFS is a bit west of 18z (probably 25mi) and a couple mb stronger but not a significant jump. Its stubbornly going to remain the most eastern piece of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 GFS still the eastern most of the models.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: Ridge axis out West is in C NV right up through C OR up into WA state and amplifies so how does this thing not hug the coast or even head a bit further inland as that ridge axis is way west for an EC system. IMO she comes further West, not much but enough to help out WNY for sure! o Well, the coastal front is what will drive the LP....where that sets up is the key to the location of the SLP...but the best dynamics will be where the H7 LP runs.....sometimes a LP can ride up into Long Island and give us nothing....other time an LP can be east of there and we get great snows.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 GFS still east but significant improvements in snowfall for the forum. Every model now advertising double digit snowfall across CNY (factoring in ratios). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Yeah GFS is a bit west of 18z (probably 25mi) and a couple mb stronger but not a significant jump. Its stubbornly going to remain the most eastern piece of guidance. Crushes South and East of ALB, down to NYC, and through SNE. Even if it happened as is per this run of GFS, it should throw better snows to the north and west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, Stash said: Crushes South and East of ALB, down to NYC, and through SNE. Even if it happened as is per this run of GFS, it should throw better snows to the north and west of there. What else is new,lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Huge improvement on gfs. 12 to 18 on gfs for all of western ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, tim123 said: Huge improvement on gfs. 12 to 18 on gfs for all of western ny Between the ULL, coastal, and/or favored lake enhanced areas, someone in WNY should do very very well with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Definitely converging on a solution, thank God! Just need the Euro to hold serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Really sucks the time change had to be this weekend and not next. Hanging around to see what the GGEM and UK come in with. I might have to set my alarm clock to see what the Euro puts out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Im tossing the GFS as its completely on its own! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Now big question does euro come farther west or does it hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 10 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Are those the 0z srefs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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