Morris Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 You folks are really lucky! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Very light snow last few hrs in Irondequoit. 4.5". getting a bit worried on western cutoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 More effective phasing has really done this in for far western areas. The bigger totals in buf and southern ontario were predicated on the lakes shortwave staying a robust and mainly separate entity. Ive watched the models decrease qpf over southern ontario over the past few days as the coastal intensified and came back west. Roc and especially east of roc will do well since they get the coastal and lake enhancement goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I screen shotted this to show when hovering over Madison county, you get 55" (through T+33) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 2:57 PM, rochesterdave said: Very light snow last few hrs in Irondequoit. 4.5". getting a bit worried on western cutoff Expand I think we can stick a fork in this one synoptically for Rochester. Lake Enhanced snow is our only chance to hit double digits now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Guys calm down for one buf radar is out and having issues. This is expanding westward now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:07 PM, tim123 said: Guys calm down for one buf radar is out and having issues. This is expanding westward now Expand Ill take the under on the 22 for buf on the srefs. Man what a garbage product. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:04 PM, DeltaT13 said: I think we can stick a fork in this one synoptically for Rochester. Lake Enhanced snow is our only chance to hit double digits now. Expand That freaking wall of snow just stops at Wayne/Monroe County line. Pretty disappointed too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:07 PM, tim123 said: Guys calm down for one buf radar is out and having issues. This is expanding westward now Expand I'm looking at radars and satellites. I just dont see it happening. The pivot point is near Syracuse, not much will make it further west. We can all stop looking at models and look at whats really happening now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Models say it should be dumping. It ain't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:04 PM, DeltaT13 said: I think we can stick a fork in this one synoptically for Rochester. Lake Enhanced snow is our only chance to hit double digits now. Expand I disagree...everything is pivoting to the NW and eventually westward...if you look at the TYK radar, you can see the returns blossoming just to the east of ROC and moving westward... and the intense returns over SE PA are detaching from the "circular" returns of earlier....many of the SREF members had this zooming up through CNY....I'm watching that closely...could lay down a quick 8" over a couple hours.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 haha #fakenews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Yeah we'll be lucky to break 6" at BUF with this one, what a bust. Skies are super light here and can see pokes of sun peaking through with flurries falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 And for the record, I'm not trying to be a debbie downer, its just not ideal for Anyone Rochester West. I took off tomorrow in preparation for snowboarding some amazing powder. I had plans to hit up either Bristol or Greek Peak. It's looking like Greek Peak will be off the charts! Sucks I have to make the longer drive though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:12 PM, LakeEffectKing said: I disagree...everything is pivoting to the NW and eventually westward...if you look at the KYX radar, you can see the returns blossoming just to the east of ROC and moving westward... and the intense returns over SE PA are detaching from the "circular" returns of earlier....many of the SREF members had this zooming up through CNY....I'm watching that closely...could lay down a quick 8" over a couple hours.... Expand This is one of those odd scenarios where I will gladly be wrong if we can get dumped on, I'm really hoping youre right. I do see a nice push westward on the montague radar, just can't tell if its too little too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Buffalo radar is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 How does buf radar link go down now? Seriously? That's a good one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:12 PM, WesterlyWx said: Yeah we'll be lucky to break 6" at BUF with this one, what a bust. Skies are super light here and can see pokes of sun peaking through with flurries falling. Expand This ain't no LES lol, it will take time trust me man when all set and done BUF records close to a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 That's why radar looks so bad. It's snowing hard in Walworth. You should be seeing it pick up very shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Here's a better perspective of the westward push. BGM in for more S++. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BGM-N0Q-1-48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:15 PM, DeltaT13 said: This is one of those odd scenarios where I will gladly be wrong if we can get dumped on, I'm really hoping youre right. I do see a nice push westward on the montague radar, just can't tell if its too little too late. Expand Here's Syracuse's channel 9 locally owned radar....pretty good, except their animations stink!! It's located in SW Onondaga Co. in the hills...shows some of the bands moving toward ROC.... http://www.localsyr.com/livedoppler9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 If you look at the radar the 4km NAM has this storm down pat. And for you Rochester people, it doesn't have appreciable accumulations out there until 3 or 4 PM this afternoon, yet you still end up with over a foot including ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 SN+ in Schenectady. Took a look outside on a break. No idea what accum is but i'd say there was 4-5" on ground at 9 a.m. vis is def 1/4 mile or less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Rocs snow will get heavier over the next few hours. It wont be heavy...but heavier than whats going on right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 It will be heavy with lake enhancement. Low is off NJ coast. Once it gets to nyc game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:22 PM, Syrmax said: SN+ in Schenectady. Took a look outside on a break. No idea what accum is but i'd say there was 4-5" on ground at 9 a.m. vis is def 1/4 mile or less Expand Are you still drinking!! lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 And I am willing to bet sleet is mixing in in the catskils Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Closed 700mb low right over Philly. Lovely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:26 PM, tim123 said: It will be heavy with lake enhancement. Low is off NJ coast. Once it gets to nyc game on. Expand It never gets into nyc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 3:26 PM, tim123 said: And I am willing to bet sleet is mixing in in the catskils Expand U got some evidence of that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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