March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Man, the NAM is super amped again.

Some are not going to like this unless it gets a kick E late

[snowgeek]

EPS Mean 1.9" here with even 12:1 ratios is 23".  15:1 would be 28.5".  Hard to wrap my head around here in sucker hole Albany.  I'm trying real hard not to get to excited.

[Morch Madness]

I feel like this could be an all-timer for CT and W MA

[BRSno]

10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I'm thinking BOX may just move its highest possible map to the most likely slot and call it a day.

Doubt we're getting 21" here lol maybe for you western guys (which seem pretty doable!)

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

Some are not going to like this unless it gets a kick E late

I feel like it is about to run up the hudson valley

[sankaty]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

NCAR live updating

http://ensemble.ucar.edu/images.php?d=2017031312&f=snowacc_mean&r=CONUS

What product is this?

[ORH_wxman]

NAM looks a bit west through 18 hours vs 12z.

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

I feel like it is about to run up the hudson valley

Tossed. As always.

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I feel like it is about to run up the hudson valley

That's more then a tic

[snowgeek]

I think the precip is gonna come in like a wrecking ball tomorrow morning.  

[JC-CT]

Just now, Hoth said:

Tossed. As always.

Multi-run trend, not tossed as much as I'd like to

[moneypitmike]

LOL at NAM

[sankaty]

Slightly west, but not actually any warmer on the NW flank of the precip shield in the mid atlantic.  We'll see how that translates up here.

Edit: More than slightly west through 20 hours.  Hope it's just NAM being NAM.

[dryslot]

GYX went Blizzard Warnings York & Cumberland Counties

[The 4 Seasons]

21 hrs NAM is tucked in west again, this trend just wont stop.

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Multi-run trend, not tossed as much as I'd like to

 

Agreed.  I wouldn't buy it, but I suspect the final track will be somewhere between this and the EC.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

21 hrs NAM is tucked in west again, this trend just wont stop.

LOL..what are you talking about? What trend

[sankaty]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

21 hrs NAM is tucked in west again, this trend just wont stop.

Yeah.  We're going to run out of rope if this keeps up.

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I feel like it is about to run up the hudson valley

Looks like it is already mixing in your hood by noontime on this run.

[Hoth]

I will ride a Euro/GFS blend until I fall on my sword.

[snowgeek]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

21 hrs NAM is tucked in west again, this trend just wont stop.

About 50 miles west.  Looks like it slowed down at 500mb, allowing the shortwave to turn up the coast quicker.

[Chrisrotary12]

GYX even put me under the Blizzard warning.  There is something satisfying about being under a Blizzard warning versus a Winter Storm Warning.

[Mr. Windcredible!]

if NAM verifies it's a toaster bath for many

[Morch Madness]

Good thing they're retiring this model Wednesday

[DomNH]

Yeah I wouldn't head for the nearest bridge over the NAM being overamped. When have we ever seen that before? The Euro has locked in and that rarely fails. 

[SouthCoastMA]

If these trends don't stop, I'll be starting as rain. The duration of the front end thump continues to diminish. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, Mr. Windcredible! said:

if NAM verifies it's a toaster bath for many

Yeah its bad, the trend that has started last night continues. NAM is pretty ugly for CT. I was looking at the 12Z run bufkit and there was a lot of IP for that run for a lot of CT and this will be even worse.

[Hoth]

Toss it, Trebek. Toss it long, toss it hard.

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, Hoth said:

Toss it, Trebek. Toss it long, toss it hard.

Ride the GFS train to grace land?

[The 4 Seasons]

SLP goes over SE CT at hour 27.