March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

[snowgeek]

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Where does 700 track?

Hartford to Portsmouth. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

850 low really seems to slow down which prolongs the goods.   12z was a burp and we were smart to toss it.

Yea, even I saw right through that, and I can melt with the best of 'em

[dryslot]

Snow, Don't get better coverage over a region then this

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, snowgeek said:

Hartford to Portsmouth. 

Yikes....I'd I wouldn't go much over 1' in Boston metro with the track...

[weathafella]

Kevin's ULL snows is Wednesday-watch that feature.

[SR Airglow]

4 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said:

Are there p-type, dry slot issues for any places and if so where?

Cape has some substantial issues. Verbatim you'd probably taint at the height of it but still see 10"+ of snow.

[weathafella]

NYC folks climbing out of the Hudson....

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yikes....I'd I wouldn't go much over 1' in Boston metro with the track...

I'm not a huge fan of that run here.... seems like the best is well west of here and down into NYC....

[Randy4Confluence]

What am exciting period this is for you. Good luck SNE! 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'd go like 10-15" in Boston on that run...your crazy amounts will be out west.

I liked the 12z run better to be honest, though this would get the higher KU rating.

[FRWEATHA]

1 minute ago, SR Airglow said:

Cape has some substantial issues. Verbatim you'd probably taint at the height of it but still see 10"+ of snow.

There was a time that taint always seemed an issue here even with coastals. Been so spoiled over the last few years I wonder if this is another all snow deal.  We'll see.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'd go like 10-15" in Boston on that run...you're crazy amounts will be out west.

I liked the 12z run better to be honest, though this would get the higher KU rating.

Dude, I fail to understand your reasoning.  Inflow is sick and oh my on the OES. Let's not even count the ULL BONUS features 

[snowgeek]

Powderfreak approved!  Really spreads the wealth.  

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'd go like 10-15" in Boston on that run...your crazy amounts will be out west.

I liked the 12z run better to be honest, though this would get the higher KU rating.

Yeah... the 12z run was definitely better for most of eastern ma and RI.

Before anyone jumps on me for complaining... I'm not at all... just stating this run isnt as good as 12z here... but better for a larger area

id prob go 4-8 cape... 8-12 most of eastern ma... and 12+ as you get further west 

someone in SW CT prob scores 2'

[weatherwiz]

10 minutes ago, snowgeek said:

Hartford to Portsmouth. 

If that's the case forecasts for CT need to be tempered down 

[dryslot]

Pretty uniform

 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

If that's the case forecasts for CT need to be tempered down 

It's wrong and no bring um up

[ajisai]

What are ratios looking like? Too early?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Still really like my first call:

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah... the 12z run was definitely better for most of eastern ma and RI.

Before anyone jumps on me for complaining... I'm not at all... just stating this run isnt as good as 12z here... but better for a larger area

id prob go 4-8 cape... 8-12 most of eastern ma... and 12+ as you get further west 

How many beers have you had? 12z Looked nothing like 0z

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, dryslot said:

How many beers have you had? 12z Looked nothing like this

Right... but the end result of 12z was better than 00z for this area.

00z is a better run overall for more people 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Big storm here, but that QPF is slightly overdone if it takes that track.

[Ginx snewx]

With an 850 like this and you are going to bring down numbers in CT and Mass? Blame it on the Alcohol 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Right... but the end result of 12z was better than 00z for this area.

00z is a better run overall for more people 

Go look again, 0z Gives TAN more then 12z

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

It's wrong and no bring um up

Why is it wrong?  This isn't me arguing...just a question so if I'm completely overlooking something I want to know.  I just don't want to make a forecast b/c the QPF fields are juicy for everyone 

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

With an 850 like this and you are going to bring down numbers in CT and Mass? Blame it on the Alcohol 

Those put subsidence into CT

[40/70 Benchmark]

The concept of H7 RH is lost on a few.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Go look again, 0z Gives TAN more then 12z

QPF does, but who cares.....QPF output blows.

I'd rather the 12z for Taunton, but its splitting hairs.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

QPF does, but who cares.....QPF output blows.

I'd rather the 12z for Taunton, but its splitting hairs.

We agree to disagree on this but we do agree on the QPF aspect...too many people just look at QPF and base forecasts off that.  

[SR Airglow]

That RH map is for 12z Wednesday - everything is out by then for the most part. Things look fine on Tuesday.