dendrite Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Jesus I alway lose this link... Anyone have the link to the site for the std deviations for specific variables for ncep models? Like u-wind, pwat, etc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, DomNH said: I think this storm is as close to un-debbie-able as it gets outside of SE areas. When you have such an epic Gulf firehose slamming into the cold dome it's pretty hard to go wrong. There will be local nuances like always but it's going to come in as a wall of snow for all. I agree totally. I'm liking my more western Interior location in CT at this point. Not gonna worry about every lil Thing at this point. Going with the GFS/Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSBOX&e=201302092109 Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Great post, Ray. Love your writing style and how you express things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 This is a great summary page! https://www.weather.gov/media/box/03.13.17_PMBriefingEM.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I'm betting on 14-15 complaints from you about the storm.No, I'll take that title Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, White Rain said: You can view them here as well. Graph and PNS. Just go to previous event and a calendar will pop up. http://www.weather.gov/box/pastevents# Thanks again. This one is helpful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Cool You have steadily taken it up a notch. The thinking and writing have been on such an upward curve. You just need to hire a graphics designer and you could sell that. Is Sam available for maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I'm feeling decent about BOS. 12" is probably about the high end of what we could see but I feel decent about the odds of that happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherEmperor Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: This is a great summary page! https://www.weather.gov/media/box/03.13.17_PMBriefingEM.pdf That's great, thanks for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 13 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Just got a chance to look some stuff over... man... if this came in even a hair colder it could be huge here.... like the difference between 6" or 12-14" Model thermals often run warm. (silver lining?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: how I hope you are right There's going to be a foot in just 3-4 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: GUESS WHOOOOOOO'S BACK HOME THE SNOWMAN HE'S BACK B****ES! Sound the Alarms! Raise the Red Light for the Rare Blizzard Warnings! Barton The Hatches! Open the Hatches to Let the Weenies Fly! LET'S DO THIS!!!!!!! Nice man and heres your welcome back present: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 19 minutes ago, DomNH said: I think this storm is as close to un-debbie-able as it gets outside of SE areas. When you have such an epic Gulf firehose slamming into the cold dome it's pretty hard to go wrong. There will be local nuances like always but it's going to come in as a wall of snow for all. I feel like so many weenies here jumped on the old about to be retired NAM and just forgot the Euro/EPS etc etc.. It's almost like whatever the last model that ran is all they remember no matter what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Can someone explain why Upton's grid forecast is different from their map forecast is different from their WSW? For my backyard their forecast looks like this: grid: 11-15" map: 12-18" wsw: 8-12" Which one is it? Pretty big discrepancies there. Kind of makes it difficult for the public to trust them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 22 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I'm betting on 14-15 complaints from you about the storm. only 3 or 4 so far.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 BOX has lowered expected hi temp in ORH tomorrow to 26F. Wxunderground has 33, Accuwx has 31. Any reason why NWS would drop temp by a couple of degrees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: No, I'll take that title Meh your way to 22" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Meh your way to 22"I've been on weather sebattical. Time to start bitching. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: This is a great summary page! https://www.weather.gov/media/box/03.13.17_PMBriefingEM.pdf Yeah, nice job by crew at NWS Box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I feel like so many weenies here jumped on the old about to be retired NAM and just forgot the Euro/EPS etc etc.. It's almost like whatever the last model that ran is all they remember no matter what it is There was a quick and sharp change from Euro ecstasy to NAM chair tipping. FWIW I doubt the NAM goes east at 00z but I still wouldn't be too concerned about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 7 minutes ago, Mr. Windcredible! said: Can someone explain why Upton's grid forecast is different from their map forecast is different from their WSW? For my backyard their forecast looks like this: grid: 11-15" map: 12-18" wsw: 8-12" Which one is it? Pretty big discrepancies there. Kind of makes it difficult for the public to trust them. they should have just went with 24-36 and called it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Geezus the king of all Thumper the Dumpers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Geezus the king of all Thumper the Dumpers On the 24th anni of the king of dumps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/03/blizzard-of-march-14-2017-nuts-and.html Great write-up, Ray. The only problem I have with it is you have the line separating 18-32 from 16-24 running through my living room. I think it should be 5 miles SE of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, JC-CT said: they should have just went with 24-36 and called it a day. they will never live that one down lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 35 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Wouldn't be astonished if BOS ended up being 90%+ snow. If the rates are intense enough and 850's stay near/below 0 the column may cool enough to keep it snow. I think this is much like a SWFE here, just super amped. We'll see a foot but nothing insane. But the focus here shouldn't be totals. It should be impact. Impacts will be very high here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Any predictions on NESIS score? Or Category using the newer rating scale? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, dendrite said: On the 24th anni of the king of dumps. Yes , I would seriously not be surprised if some 6 to 8 pers happen. Hunchie you can get PNS from Box previous event calendar http://www.weather.gov/box/pastevents# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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