March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I'm trying to think if I have ever been under a blizzard warning here in the Hubb.  Those are rare in the interior.   Good call by you

First time for me at the Pit.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

31 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I will ride a Euro/GFS blend until I fall on my sword.

Thats the way to go. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I will if this is the furthest extent that it comes west.

Either you're cocked or you need to start drinking 

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

3K is totally ludicrous speed.

They've gone to plaid

[BRSno]

Half of SNE weenies right now

 

EURO or bust at this point of eastern folk!

[The 4 Seasons]

6 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

Albany just upped to Blizzard warning for us! woo hoo, very hard to verify this far inland, so we'll see, first time since 78 that Blizzard warning has been to Litchfield cty? Im not sure.

Jan 2015 blizzard warning..

[moneypitmike]

BOX is going 17-20 tomorrow, 3-5 tmorrow night at the pit.  I take and run.

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 of our 4 districts have cancelled.  My wife's Super is still hoping to salvage tomorrow morning.   That is not a good idea

[SR Airglow]

I don't get the exclusion of coastal zones from the blizzard warning - it's not about how much snow you get, it's about winds and visibility which arguably will be lower on the coastline due to paste and stronger winds in general. Arguably it has a better chance of verifying at BOS and PYM than at CEF and BDL even if the totals end up lower there. Not that it matters in the end, but it's weird to me and confusing to the public as they think a WSW means a less intense storm than a blizzard and prepare accordingly even though that's not the case.

[Damage In Tolland]

Hopefully this munk that popped up out of the tunnel here gets buried alive . Time for the bucket 

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

For DXR, this is gonna make a run at Jan 11 total of a 25 spot. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Hopefully this munk that popped up out of the tunnel here gets buried alive . Time for the bucket 

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Nice pack

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

BOX is going 17-20 tomorrow, 3-5 tmorrow night at the pit.  I take and run.

13-19 plus 2-4 here

how's your qpf looking?

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, SR Airglow said:

I don't get the exclusion of coastal zones from the blizzard warning - it's not about how much snow you get, it's about winds and visibility which arguably will be lower on the coastline due to paste and stronger winds in general. Arguably it has a better chance of verifying at BOS and PYM than at CEF and BDL even if the totals end up lower there. Not that it matters in the end, but it's weird to me and confusing to the public as they think a WSW means a less intense storm than a blizzard and prepare accordingly even though that's not the case.

Duration. Maybe they don't think there will be 3 hours of those conditions, before the flip. 

[SouthCoastMA]

My totals have been lowered to 4-8".. 

I'd be thrilled with that range verifying.

[tavwtby]

8 minutes ago, Hoth said:

I really like where you are. Shot at a jack there potentially.

yeah, been watching that for a couple runs now, pretty consistent with the best forcing and lift right in this general vicinity, points south, gotta watch where 700 goes, right now I'm sitting on a bullseye, been a while since we jacked over this way, so I'll take... ALY also upped the max potential to 30" for here... insane, I don't believe we will verify blizzard conditions though, like I said, very hard to do, even on coast...

[Hoth]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

For DXR, this is gonna make a run at Jan 11 total of a 25 spot. 

You are gonna get shellacked there. I'm about as certain as I've ever been. Congrats! 

[BRSno]

[mahk_webstah]

 I never actually make real prediction  but WTF! I say Kevin gets 23, will get 25, Ray gets 21, Jerry gets 14, Brian get 28, money pit bags 32, and J Bennett day and I get 24 and I think Jeff bags 25

[BRSno]

3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

My totals have been lowered to 4-8".. 

I'd be thrilled with that range verifying.

I'm legit surprised they kept BOS @ 12-18" but I guess they're riding the EURO/GFS and not the NAM/RGEM 

[The 4 Seasons]

BOX and OKX has 18-24 all the way back to new haven, thats a bit much, but well see. Exciting times tomorrow, just going to try to enjoy this as it could be the last one for many many months

[tavwtby]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

 I never actually make real prediction  but WTF! I say Kevin gets 23, will get 25, Ray gets 21, Jerry gets 14, Brian get 28, money pit bags 32, and J Bennett day and I get 24 and I think Jeff bags 25

what about me man?? I'm sitting under a gold mine??

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BOX and OKX has 18-24 all the way back to new haven, thats a bit much, but well see. Exciting times tomorrow, just going to try to enjoy this as it could be the last one for many many months

Years even

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BOX and OKX has 18-24 all the way back to new haven, thats a bit much, but well see. Exciting times tomorrow, just going to try to enjoy this as it could be the last one for many many months

Or until Sunday

[bboughton]

5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BOX and OKX has 18-24 all the way back to new haven, thats a bit much, but well see. Exciting times tomorrow, just going to try to enjoy this as it could be the last one for many many months

Doesn't NAM still have 1.5" QPF as snow? 

[bboughton]

[wxsniss]

12 minutes ago, SR Airglow said:

I don't get the exclusion of coastal zones from the blizzard warning - it's not about how much snow you get, it's about winds and visibility which arguably will be lower on the coastline due to paste and stronger winds in general. Arguably it has a better chance of verifying at BOS and PYM than at CEF and BDL even if the totals end up lower there. Not that it matters in the end, but it's weird to me and confusing to the public as they think a WSW means a less intense storm than a blizzard and prepare accordingly even though that's not the case.

Agree, and not (just) for some thrill-seeking headline, it objectively is inconsistent.

Especially if they are sticking to 12-18 on their map (which is 10-16 in the WSW text).

They've called Blizzard warnings for less, and the 12z Euro would very likely have us meet criteria.

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

BOX and OKX has 18-24 all the way back to new haven, thats a bit much, but well see. Exciting times tomorrow, just going to try to enjoy this as it could be the last one for many many months

 

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Or until Sunday

Hasn't seen the Euro has he, and lol there are 3 chances in 10 days

[rnaude241]

SE weenies holding out hope for a 3K Nam Para and GFS-Para coup

[JC-CT]

Should be a fun day of correlation coefficient watching...