March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:15 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I thought that last nite but didnt know how they do on ENE flow

Expand  

Woodford is the crest...so they get smoked on both E and W flows events...one of the reasons it is such a weenie spot.

[weatherwiz]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:15 AM, ORH_wxman said:

You might be thinking of Plainfield...on the east slope of the Berkshires pretty high up.

Expand  

ahh yes...that's the city I was thinking off.  I keep confusing with Pittsfield b/c I used to go there a couple times every summer

[SnowHole413]

Windsor or Savoy mass, either one

[dryslot]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:12 AM, Ginx snewx said:

PSF is not a snow place for this Savoy or go visit Pete. GGEM is a holla crush job, even warm it still gets most everyone except the Cape to a foot

Expand  

Poor Jimmy

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:16 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Woodford is the crest...so they get smoked on both E and W flows events...one of the reasons it is such a weenie spot.

Expand  

I guess if you wanted to get really picky, Searsburg would be slightly better on E flow since they are a few miles E of Woodford. I think there's a couple motels between Wilmington, VT and Searsburg. Good elevation though not as high as Woodford or downtown Searsburg.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Will not to put you on spot but what areas do you think have best shot for 2'

Elevations in NE PA E NY Berks etc

[ROOSTA]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:16 AM, weatherwiz said:

Can frontolysis be considered like subsidence or is just much weaker (or weakening) frontogenesis?

Expand  

frontolysis

1. The dissipation of a front or frontal zone.

2. In general, a decrease in the horizontal gradient of an air mass property, principally density, and the dissipation of the accompanying features of the wind field.

Must give credit to:
http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/Main_Page

[weatherwiz]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:21 AM, ROOSTA said:

frontolysis

1. The dissipation of a front or frontal zone.

2. In general, a decrease in the horizontal gradient of an air mass property, principally density, and the dissipation of the accompanying features of the wind field.

Expand  

 

trying to perhaps make a connection that with the decrease in the gradient and features of the wind field if this nets towards establishing lower divergence and upper convergence

[ORH_wxman]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:20 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Will not to put you on spot but what areas do you think have best shot for 2'

Elevations in NE PA E NY Berks etc

Expand  

Highlands NW of ALB, Poconos, Catskills, and prob Greens...Berks def in play too though they won;t get the deformation goods like further W...but they get a bigger piece of the WCB.

[ROOSTA]

Winds at HSE gusting in the mid 30's from ESE- 64F.
I think we have the makings of the coastal forming.

Amazing the blossoming Precip.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:25 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Highlands NW of ALB, Poconos, Catskills, and prob Greens...Berks def in play too though they won;t get the deformation goods like further W...but they get a bigger piece of the WCB.

Expand  

That poster at 2100 Just Se of Scranton is gonna be demolished.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Harvey took em down again Boston area and SE 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Yea ok hrrr, We dont rain out here. Sleet, sure...but not wet. 

[bboughton]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:44 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Harvey took em down again Boston area and SE 

Expand  

how low?

[CT Valley Snowman]

I'm going with a 15-20 range for this part of CT into Springfield MA.  I would love to see 24 but unless the banding is absolutely perfect I would have to favor the high terrain in NW HFD and NE Litchfield and up the East slopes of the Berks just west of the valley.

[Berlin1926]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:30 AM, ROOSTA said:

Winds at HSE gusting in the mid 30's from ESE- 64F.
I think we have the makings of the coastal forming.

Amazing the blossoming Precip.

Expand  

Yes, friend on the OBX at Ocracoke noted 45 mph gust in heavy squall.  Ocean temps 59 south OBX / 47 north OBX.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Need OceanWx to report on current obs compared to where guidance had it. 

[ice1972]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:49 AM, CTValleySnowMan said:

I'm going with a 15-20 range for this part of CT into Springfield MA.  I would love to see 24 but unless the banding is absolutely perfect I would have to favor the high terrain in NW HFD and NE Litchfield and up the East slopes of the Berks just west of the valley.

Expand  

God bless you in Enfield....Wiz has me down.....

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/14/2017 at 12:14 AM, HoarfrostHubb said:

You have steadily taken it up a notch.  The thinking and writing have been on such an upward curve.  You just need to hire a graphics designer and you could sell that.   Is Sam available for maps?

Expand  

Thanks. All because of this place.

Who is Sam? Lilo?

[codfishsnowman]

  On 3/14/2017 at 5:10 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Need OceanWx to report on current obs compared to where guidance had it. 

Expand  

you have to worry about rain and sleet back there?

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:46 AM, bboughton said:

how low?

Expand  

8-12

[FSUIZZY]

  On 3/14/2017 at 4:44 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Harvey took em down again Boston area and SE 

Expand  

You mean from the 11pm ish forecast? I think Harvey is asleep. Big day ahead of him tomorrow. Still says 8-12 inches for Boston area, which most local forecasters are shooting for.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 3/14/2017 at 5:16 AM, codfishsnowman said:

you have to worry about rain and sleet back there?

Expand  

Not really, a little sleet wont hurt though if the really amped solutions verify. I'm interested to see if the nw trends today were an over correction.  

[FSUIZZY]

Here are all the maps from all the stations tomorrow. Nobody has lowered anything since 11pm. 

 

 

[Hoth]

People were making it sound like the GGEM rained to Hartford. That was a pretty darn good run in my book. 

[codfishsnowman]

  On 3/14/2017 at 5:23 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Not really, a little sleet wont hurt though if the really amped solutions verify. I'm interested to see if the nw trends today were an over correction.  

Expand  

they show a lot of maps in the nyc forum and everyone has cut back by several inches in my area, I am terribly worried. Best of luck to you

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 3/14/2017 at 5:25 AM, Hoth said:

People were making it sound like the GGEM rained to Hartford. That was a pretty darn good run in my book. 

Expand  

We should be good for a foot. But i think those 15-25, 16-24 amounts are insanely high for us imo.

[Hoth]

Codfish, you're gonna get crushed. I can't imagine being worried up there.

[Hoth]

  On 3/14/2017 at 5:29 AM, The 4 Seasons said:

We should be good for a foot. But i think those 15-25, 16-24 amounts are insanely high for us imo.

Expand  

YEah, I'm fine with that. 2 12 inchers on the season is nothing to sneer at. I just want this damn subsidence hole by Bridgeport to get out of here so I can see some flakes!

[Hoth]

Also, that baroclinic leaf is about as awesome as I've ever seen.