JC-CT Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:47 PM, CoastalWx said: Meh!! Expand He's ridiculous. The NAM isn't coming west, it's always been west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:43 PM, powderfreak said: Gotta love the NAM... drives ya crazy. NYC area went from 2"+ QPF to under 1". Expand Looks less at LGA/PHL/BOS to me ... This run is impressive but it's not even a top 10 FRH grid from what I've seen from the FOUS over the years. I've seen 3" liq equiv in 24 consecutive hours of 04 or 05 wind at 30 + kts on that sucker a few times ..which is some three times more powerful than what this thing's numbers are on that particular technology, at this hour. Again, echoing my sentiments from earlier, the phase isn't good enough to make the grade. As is in this run, this is a midland coastal storm per our hardened NE standards and not much more - this run is impressive, but the totals and wind fields and temps make it middle of the road. Things could change, particularly if this thing corrects toward more proficient phasing - but this run hasn't shown that happening. We'll see what the globals do - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:48 PM, JC-CT said: He's ridiculous. The NAM isn't coming west, it's always been west. Expand Still thinking an elbow track until the big boys prove otherwise. The NAM can be punted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:48 PM, JC-CT said: He's ridiculous. The NAM isn't coming west, it's always been west. Expand erroneously so, hopefully! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:48 PM, JC-CT said: He's ridiculous. The NAM isn't coming west, it's always been west. Expand Up here that like 3 runs with it tracking along the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:48 PM, JC-CT said: He's ridiculous. The NAM isn't coming west, it's always been west. Expand lol, kid has no clue. Nam actually sunk se a bit from the insane dryslot to PF runs. Anyway, you want the nam nw of you and gfs se with the goods. Anyone who doesnt see that should stop posting and learn more, the attention grabbing has gotten way overboard now. It was fun and cute for a while, now it's just being a troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 For the queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:43 PM, powderfreak said: Gotta love the NAM... drives ya crazy. NYC area went from 2"+ QPF to under 1". Expand And the PARA gave NYC around 1.75, go figure. Such a crazy model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:48 PM, ORH_wxman said: Classic...this is phase two of the "lets freak out over some western outliers"...first was the GFS a couple days ago. Expand Yeah even with every swing, we still all know how this goes down in the end. At least the meat and potatoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:52 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: the attention grabbing has gotten way overboard now. It was fun and cute for a while, now it's just being a troll. Expand Amen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:54 PM, powderfreak said: Yeah even with every swing, we still all know how this goes down in the end. At least the meat and potatoes. Expand You know the corridor............................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Tip's put me in a downer mood, but he's right unfortunately. This is looking like a 1 in 2/3 year storm and not much more, by the last 10 years' standards of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Its not looked like a blockbuster for days, Its a good one though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:55 PM, JC-CT said: Amen Expand I think what's also attention grabbing is people who have to post pages of snowfall data, cutesy figures, poems, shopping lists, etc, as part of their signature so that everyone has to scroll through pages just to read a few posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:59 PM, JBinStoughton said: I think what's also attention grabbing is people who have to post pages of snowfall data, cutesy figures, poems, shopping lists, etc, as part of their signature so that everyone has to scroll through pages just to read a few posts. Expand I will second that as well. But you can't see them on mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:59 PM, JBinStoughton said: I think what's also attention grabbing is people who have to post pages of snowfall data, cutesy figures, poems, shopping lists, etc, as part of their signature so that everyone has to scroll through pages just to read a few posts. Expand Use mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 And there is a setting to close them if its annoying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:59 PM, dryslot said: Its not looked like a blockbuster for days, Its a good one though. Expand Timing is so critical when the flow is this fast...still well within the timeframe for a positive trend and better phase however. I think the risk is tilted towards better phasing going forward based on what OceanStwx has reported for obs in the PAC NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:59 PM, dryslot said: Its not looked like a blockbuster for days, Its a good one though. Expand It's a nice mid March coastal. Anyone expecting much more than that might want to step away a bit. For coastal areas, the wind is going to be memorable I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 3:02 PM, dryslot said: And there is a setting to close them if its annoying Expand Excellent. Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 3:02 PM, jbenedet said: Timing is so critical when the flow is this fast...still well within the timeframe for a positive trend and better phase however. I think the risk is titled towards better phasing going forward based on what OceanStwx has reported for obs in the PAC NW. Expand The phasing is what could bump this one up a few notches, But it has been a few days since we have seen a full phaser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:59 PM, dryslot said: Its not looked like a blockbuster for days, Its a good one though. Expand After the winter they've had, this will feel like a blockbuster for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 So now 12-24 isn't memorable.? Man are some dudes spoiled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Kind of March 93 appeal for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Man, the NAM just says congrats to Jeff. It's a Maine kind of winter (with the exception that it all melted the last 3 weeks). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 3:08 PM, moneypitmike said: Man, the NAM just says congrats to Jeff. It's a Maine kind of winter (with the exception that it all melted the last 3 weeks). Expand The NAM would probably be great from your area back through the Berks. That H7 low is way west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 3:05 PM, Damage In Tolland said: So now 12-24 isn't memorable.? Man are some dudes spoiled Expand LOL. Bit of a range there. 12-18" isn't but 18" plus it is. I'm not jumping on the 18"+ train yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 3:09 PM, CT Rain said: The NAM would probably be great from your area back through the Berks. That H7 low is way west. Expand but but but....the qpf is not there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 2:57 PM, JC-CT said: Tip's put me in a downer mood, but he's right unfortunately. This is looking like a 1 in 2/3 year storm and not much more, by the last 10 years' standards of course. Expand We had a 12" storm in February, I think we got that number in like 8-10 hours. This one is looking like a 10-16" storm maybe 20" in localized spots in 10-14 hours. The wind is probably going to be impressive, but this storm will be nothing like the others from prior years. Yes disruptive on Tuesday, but most will be back to normal by mid to late Wednesday. I am excited, but would be nicer to see a stalled out 24 to 30 hour monster.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 On 3/12/2017 at 3:11 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: but but but....the qpf is not there. Expand lol - take the way over NW of that low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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