colonel717 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, Stinkbugspecialist said: NOAA said this said this setup mimics the 93 superstorm It can mimic dynamics of 93 all day but unfortunately wont mimic the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 000NOUS42 KNHC 121738REPRPDWEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTSCARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.0130 PM EDT SUN 12 MARCH 2017SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z MARCH 2017WSPOD NUMBER.....16-102I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS1. FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71A. A62/DROP 7 (39.1N 67.0W)/ 14/0000ZB. AFXXX 03WSA TRACK62C. 13/1830ZD. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK IN REVERSE ORDERE. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 14/0200ZF. COUNTERCLOCKWISE2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:POSSIBLE A61/DROP 5 (38.6N 66.7W)/ 15/0000Z3. REMARK: THE WINTER STORM MISSION TASKED IN WSPOD 16-101 FORTHE 13/0000Z CONTROL TIME WILL NOT BE FLOWN TODAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Keep this nudging west until the end. If this is going to be a storm of historic proportions wouldn't be surprised if we squeaked out double digits. I am done worrying about jackpots at this point. Someday I will chase for a jackpot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Advisories to our left and watches to our right. I wonder when something is going to be issued for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 7 minutes ago, colonel717 said: It can mimic dynamics of 93 all day but unfortunately wont mimic the track. How do you know that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, southpark said: Advisories to our left and watches to our right. I wonder when something is going to be issued for us I doubt we get any. It will be a long duration of about 4 inches of snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, colonel717 said: I doubt we get any. It will be a long duration of about 4 inches of snow showers. 8 minutes ago, dj3 said: Keep this nudging west until the end. If this is going to be a storm of historic proportions wouldn't be surprised if we squeaked out double digits. I am done worrying about jackpots at this point. Someday I will chase for a jackpot lol There too much model huggin going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, colonel717 said: I doubt we get any. It will be a long duration of about 4 inches of snow showers. I just saw their twitter feed where they said advisories will probably be added (didn't say where) but that they don't do it as early as watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Stinkbugspecialist said: How do you know that? The same way I know that a supermodel will not come knocking at my door in the next 30 hrs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, Stinkbugspecialist said: There too much model huggin going on. No one on here is hugging any model. NONE show a track like 93. If you can show me any support from anything that shows a track like 93, then post it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, colonel717 said: The same way I know that a supermodel will not come knocking at my door in the next 30 hrs.... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Noaaa said in there discussion yesterday. There paid meteorologist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Stinkbugspecialist said: Noaaa said in there discussion yesterday. There paid meteorologist What exactly did they say pertaining to 93? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 It says nothing of an apps runner track like 93. They are not expecting same inpact and reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, colonel717 said: What exactly did they say pertaining to 93? I guess when they compare it to 93 and they even put it in there discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, colonel717 said: It says nothing of an apps runner track like 93. They are not expecting same inpact and reach. What dagree of education do u have ?in this feild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Out of 50 Euro ensemble members, zero are showing a '93 snowfall in this area. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 16 minutes ago, Stinkbugspecialist said: There too much model huggin going on. It's not "hugging" when there are 5 or 6 of them showing a similar solution. The evolution of this is nothing...nothing like '93 in terms of this area. That storm was already deep and huge when sitting in the western gulf. This is more of a late, explosive developing storm. The latter might lead to some uncertainty, which could be good. But.... i can't think of any double digit Pgh snow analogs in the last 40 years that explosively develop at this latitude Go look these up: the Jan '78 storms, April '87,Dec '92, march '93, jan '94, jan '96, feb '03, dec '03, feb '10 storms, even feb '11 and March 12 which were close. Look at the tracks You will almost always see a huge swath of moisture from the SW, and closed 500 low. if this is more than 6" over most of our area, it will be quite different. But there are always storms like nov 1950 that are unique Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Winter Weather Advisory is up! OHZ049-050-PAZ014-020>022-029-073-075-WVZ001>003-130345- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WW.Y.0014.170314T0000Z-170315T0300Z/ Harrison-Jefferson-Butler-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-Washington- Westmoreland-Fayette-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio- Including the cities of Cadiz, Steubenville, Butler, Aliquippa, Beaver Falls, Ambridge, Monaca, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Kittanning, Ford City, Washington, Canonsburg, Murrysville, Greensburg, New Kensington, Uniontown, Weirton, Follansbee, Wellsburg, and Wheeling 331 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 11 PM EDT TUESDAY... The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for snow...which is in effect from 8 PM Monday to 11 PM EDT Tuesday. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 to 6 inches. * TIMING...Monday evening through early Tuesday night. * IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions. * WINDS...Northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. Please report snowfall by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Mailman said: Out of 50 Euro ensemble members, zero are showing a '93 snowfall in this area. lol. That's not the issue. The issue he saying the setup don't analog 93. And I'm saying noaa says it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Mailman said: Winter Weather Advisory is up! OHZ049-050-PAZ014-020>022-029-073-075-WVZ001>003-130345- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WW.Y.0014.170314T0000Z-170315T0300Z/ Harrison-Jefferson-Butler-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-Washington- Westmoreland-Fayette-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio- Including the cities of Cadiz, Steubenville, Butler, Aliquippa, Beaver Falls, Ambridge, Monaca, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Kittanning, Ford City, Washington, Canonsburg, Murrysville, Greensburg, New Kensington, Uniontown, Weirton, Follansbee, Wellsburg, and Wheeling 331 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 11 PM EDT TUESDAY... The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for snow...which is in effect from 8 PM Monday to 11 PM EDT Tuesday. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 to 6 inches. * TIMING...Monday evening through early Tuesday night. * IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions. * WINDS...Northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. Please report snowfall by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH Last night it was over now it's back on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 12, 2017 Author Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: It's not "hugging" when there are 5 or 6 of them showing a similar solution. The evolution of this is nothing...nothing like '93 in terms of this area. That storm was already deep and huge when sitting in the western gulf. This is more of a late, explosive developing storm. The latter might lead to some uncertainty, which could be good. But.... i can't think of any double digit Pgh snow analogs in the last 40 years that explosively develop at this latitude Go look these up: the Jan '78 storms, April '87,Dec '92, march '93, jan '94, jan '96, feb '03, dec '03, feb '10 storms, even feb '11 and March 12 which were close. Look at the tracks You will almost always see a huge swath of moisture from the SW, and closed 500 low. if this is more than 6" over most of our area, it will be quite different. But there are always storms like nov 1950 that are unique I think it is best if we all just avoid stinkbug because I am pretty certain that it is a troll account created by a certain poster on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, colonel717 said: It says nothing of an apps runner track like 93. They are not expecting same inpact and reach. Ok we agree to disagree. U do a good job of being on top of the new model postings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, KPITSnow said: I think it is best if we all just avoid stinkbug because I am pretty certain that it is a troll account created by a certain poster on here. I don't have 6 accounts like u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: I think it is best if we all just avoid stinkbug because I am pretty certain that it is a troll account created by a certain poster on here. Kpitt u need a girl and a life. Any time u wanna meet up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I always love when all the warnings go up and I'm basically in the only county (or 1 of 3) without anything. Who is ready for a road trip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, jwilson said: I always love when all the warnings go up and I'm basically in the only county (or 1 of 3) without anything. Who is ready for a road trip? It's not a far haul to Deep Creek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 9 minutes ago, Stinkbugspecialist said: Kpitt u need a girl and a life. Any time u wanna meet up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.