B Dawk 20 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 They might look like Bolaris hanging on to this. NWS numbers I think are still reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, B Dawk 20 said: They might look like Bolaris hanging on to this. NWS numbers I think are still reasonable. Too late now, they even expanded the blizzard like conditions further west. Two years ago they got burned by not checking soundings on a storm, I cant imagine they are going by map rain snow lines. Maybe they have access to that "panasonic" model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 They didn't check the NAM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Violentweatherfan said: Too late now, they even expanded the blizzard like conditions further west. Two years ago they got burned by not checking soundings on a storm, I cant imagine they are going by map rain snow lines. Maybe they have access to that "panasonic" model That site is the worst. They hype everything. Dreadful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 13, 2017 Author Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, hazwoper said: That site is the worst. They hype everything. Dreadful It's odd since they do have a skilled met, this must be just to drive subscriptions. All else fails, blame the weather it's not their fault right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 27 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: This has mega bust potential....wow final call issued today. I noticed that the official Facebook page for Harrisburg Airport (MDT) shares the forecasts from EPAWA versus official NWS forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 18 minutes ago, hazwoper said: That site is the worst. They hype everything. Dreadful I disagree with you. I love following and hearing what EPAWA has to say. Now, they can go over the top at times, but I've also seen them bust too low at other times. I like NYNJPA weather better anyway with Steve D. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CRB Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Newman that's thousands of Canadian geese saying where the heck do we go now. We have several hours before the snow moves in. It is snowing lightly in southwestern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 So general consensus is I should wake up around 2-2:30 for the start of the good stuff here in East/Central Montco? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jsdphilly Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 When are we going to know if the storm is gonna make that ~25 mile bump east? What should I be looking at...or at this point is it just now casting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Snow reported in PA, DE, sleet near Salisbury, MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 19 minutes ago, Jsdphilly said: When are we going to know if the storm is gonna make that ~25 mile bump east? What should I be looking at...or at this point is it just now casting? Watch the hourly hrrr updates. If they start tick west we're in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 East Nantmeal Pa (NW Chester County) Very Light Snow Temp 31.6 Wind NE 4 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 25 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Watch the hourly hrrr updates. If they start tick west we're in trouble And just like that the 0Z HRRR begins to show a mix in SEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 9 minutes ago, hazwoper said: And just like that the 0Z HRRR begins to show a mix in SEPA When do you think they will drop the blizzard warnings....I'd say by 12;00 noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 One last sleet middle finger (or other appendage) on it's way out. Thankfully the last few hours the R/S ticked SE for the most part, so this run ticking west had a bit more leeway. Still, the area +/- 10 miles of the river is a crap shoot for totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Dont look at the 0Z NAM......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMB78 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Light flurries with a slight breeze. Hoping for the best here in Claymont. Gonna be a close one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 NYC forum posted that the nam is west and rain in phl by 4am I might not even get the day off. So pissed right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, hazwoper said: Dont look at the 0Z NAM......... game over not even a day off ....i am livid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, DMB78 said: Light flurries with a slight breeze. Hoping for the best here in Claymont. Gonna be a close one Its gone rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, hazwoper said: Its gone rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: game over not even a day off ....i am livid It looks like 850s crash after the initial rain at 4am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Do not worry about the NAM so much! 850s do crash. It is nowcasting and HRRR time. Getting to freezing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, mattinpa said: Do not worry about the NAM so much! It is nowcasting and HRRR time. Getting to freezing here. The NAM in this range is superior to the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: The NAM in this range is superior to the HRRR Ehh.. not that much of a NAM fan. I don't think it does well in storms like these - always over amping things. Even then, look at how it cools off quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 14, 2017 Author Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, mattinpa said: Ehh.. not that much of a NAM fan. I don't think it does well in storms like these - always over amping things. Even then, look at how it cools off quickly. I didn't see, I lost it when i got conformation of the nam being west in two forums. Thanks, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: I didn't see, I lost it when i got conformation of the nam being west in two forums. Thanks, No problem. I am trying to be positive, but am realistic also. There is some bust potential even here not so much with rain but sleet. Sometimes it's hard investing so much energy into these storms, but I still do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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