mackerel_sky Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Poor DCA area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 32 minutes ago, blueheels2 said: My truck says 32 degrees coldest rain possible in North Raleigh. Left the house a half hour back and it was pouring the sleet. Nice size pieces. Started driving south and lost the sleet totally by the time I reached NC-98. Car temp briefly fell to 31 but as you said then stayed at 32 all the way in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Here it is: Special Weather Statement SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 536 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017 NCZ007>010-026-141230- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FRANKLIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BUSHY FORK, CONCORD, ROXBORO, SURL, OXFORD, BUTNER, CREEDMOOR, DABNEY, HENDERSON, NORLINA, WISE, AFTON, WARRENTON, LAKE GASTON, PILOT, INGLESIDE, LOUISBURG, AND FRANKLINTON 536 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017 ...No icing expected early this morning... Temperatures early this morning along the Virginia border are at or slightly below freezing. With areas of rain occurring, one would expect a thin glaze to develop on exposed surfaces. Reports from Granville County shortly after 5 AM indicate that the tops of cars and fences are just wet with no indication of a glaze developing. As temperatures hover near or slightly below freezing through 8 AM, it is possible that a thin glaze may develop on top of cars or on the fence in a few spots. However, icy patches on bridges and overpasses are not expected. The cold rain will be tampering off later this morning, with a few peeks of sunshine possible after 2 PM. Temperatures will remain well below normal, reaching the upper 40s later today. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
27596WXNUT Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Reading the MA forums this morning is about as entertaining as the SE forums were during our storm in January. Not near as much snow as predicted up there and the warm nose is causing way more mixing and sleetthan expected. A lot of those guys are not happy. Someone should tell themwelcome to southern storms. Ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Anybody up in Oxford (Granville County): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Current radar. Looks like it's hit and miss but definitely that punch of colder air pushing into North Central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Looks like Chris made the right call. They got to Mt Pocono at 2am. 12"+ and lots more on the way. He will post pics soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 10 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: Looks like Chris made the right call. They got to Mt Pocono at 2am. 12"+ and lots more on the way. He will post pics soon. Someday I would love to chase storms. I just need to be able to retire first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 hour ago, 27596WXNUT said: Reading the MA forums this morning is about as entertaining as the SE forums were during our storm in January. Not near as much snow as predicted up there and the warm nose is causing way more mixing and sleetthan expected. A lot of those guys are not happy. Someone should tell themwelcome to southern storms. Ha ha im convinced the historic warm ssts are the culprit for our jan screwjob and theirs. models just undersold the warm nose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 17 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Someday I would love to chase storms. I just need to be able to retire first. You should,it's a blast. I'm 10 days into a full knee replacement or I would be right there w him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Sleet and rain Mix in Randolph county this morning. I call that a win. Interested in the pics from mt Pocono later. Maybe I can do that someday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 there looks to be a huge area of energy bringing snow out of the plains that looks like it will pin wheel thru wnc later this evening, maybe some of us will get an inch or two around Asheville also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I guess the Mid Atlantic understands the last minute N/W trend a little better today! Sprinkles and 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: I guess the Mid Atlantic understands the last minute N/W trend a little better today! Sprinkles and 41 Lessons learned for this year: the south trend is as real as the north trend, but look out for the last second NW adjustment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Snow quester , part deux! Man, we bust hard a lot, but man, the DCA d NYC busts= epic! NYC was under blizzard warning for 16-24" last night, downgraded to WWA and getting about 1-3" of sleet! Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 NYC is the new Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 10 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Snow quester , part deux! Man, we bust hard a lot, but man, the DCA d NYC busts= epic! NYC was under blizzard warning for 16-24" last night, downgraded to WWA and getting about 1-3" of sleet! Ouch wow that is an ouch, whewwww. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 11 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Lessons learned for this year: the south trend is as real as the north trend, but look out for the last second NW adjustment. I think some were counting on the NE jog the GFS showed late. Chris and I talked about it late last night and figured it was not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Took way longer than I expected to changeover here. Looks like we got a long period of freezing rain and sleet -- Finished off with a 0.5" of wet snow. The true definition of slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: Poor DCA area I know it's horrible and maybe it makes me a bad person to wish a screwjob on anyone but man i love it when dc gets screwed. It's the next best thing to to actually getting a winter storm here. For any of the noobs, the reason being is years ago it was all one forum and it was absolutely intolerable for the few of us that didn't live inside the center of the weather universe. Even after all these years, i still have that chip on my shoulder having to watch every model discussion and every trend being centered around what it means for dc.... along with how the actual posters there acted toward everyone else. of course, if someone sees or hears me cheering (or complaining) about dc...they sure look at me like i'm a nut...so i have to watch myself around anyone 26 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Snow quester , part deux! Man, we bust hard a lot, but man, the DCA d NYC busts= epic! NYC was under blizzard warning for 16-24" last night, downgraded to WWA and getting about 1-3" of sleet! Ouch Yeah that is about as bad as it gets. I feel for the nws...i'm sure they hate it worse than anyone and are going to catch hell for it. It really is wise to always...and i mean always...count on the warm nose being further north and stouter than predicted. i never had ill will toward nyc or new england like i do dc/the mid atlantic so i have to feel a little bad for them...although it's hard to feel too bad for them considering how much snow/big storms they normally get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 hours ago, frazdaddy said: Looks like Chris made the right call. They got to Mt Pocono at 2am. 12"+ and lots more on the way. He will post pics soon. Yeah just talked to him and he's getting hammered right now with that death band of 35+ dbz returns and it's all snow. Said it will prob meet the blizzard warning criteria next few hours. He sent me a few pics but I'll let him have the honor of posting them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 37 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: I think some were counting on the NE jog the GFS showed late. Chris and I talked about it late last night and figured it was not going to happen. Can't blame them, we would be doing the same thing. One thing for sure, you don't want to be on a modeled transition line right as the storm is coming in. At least not this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, FallsLake said: Can't blame them, we would be doing the same thing. One thing for sure, you don't want to be on a modeled transition line right as the storm is coming in. At least not this year. Feast or famine for sure. What a bad position for the mets to be in on this one. They couldn't win unless h forecast was perfect down to 30-50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Looks like the NAM once again nailed the killer warm nose crushing dreams around the NYC metro. They were quick to dismiss it as we once did in Jan. I think it's time to start taking the NAM seriously folks.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, wxdawg10 said: Looks like the NAM once again nailed the killer warm nose crushing dreams around the NYC metro. They were quick to dismiss it as we once did in Jan. I think it's time to start taking the NAM seriously folks.. As somebody stated in the MA forum, the NAM is the new King. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 52 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: Yeah just talked to him and he's getting hammered right now with that death band of 35+ dbz returns and it's all snow. Said it will prob meet the blizzard warning criteria next few hours. He sent me a few pics but I'll let him have the honor of posting them! Yeah , the pics are crazy. Hate I had to miss this one. Tugg Hill next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 30 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Can't blame them, we would be doing the same thing. One thing for sure, you don't want to be on a modeled transition line right as the storm is coming in. At least not this year. He was in the thick of it trying to make Mt Pocono. The jog would have meant he could stop and ride it out where he was ATT. Just didn't look legit so he punched through. Last 60 miles took 2 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Is this report from WeatherNC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Nope, I wouldn't even know how to measure this man, we did flip to IP for about an hour at the height of it, back to fatties but the wind and rates have dropped off. Eating lunch and then going for a Jeb walk. There was a couple hour period where we pushed near whiteout , I will see if Ted can post some picks/video. It it took us 2.5hrs to get the last 60 miles here, the last 20 or so miles once we got off the PA turnpike were straight hairy, could not see the road and twisting and turning, I had to at times take it mailbox by mailbox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, WeatherNC said: Nope, I wouldn't even know how to measure this man, we did flip to IP for about an hour at the height of it, back to fatties but the wind and rates have dropped off. Eating lunch and then going for a Jeb walk. There was a couple hour period where we pushed near whiteout , I will see if Ted can post some picks/video. It it took us 2.5hrs to get the last 60 miles here, the last 20 or so miles once we got off the PA turnpike were straight hairy, could not see the road and twisting and turning, I had to at times take it mailbox by mailbox. Send them. I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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