MJO812 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Like I said prepare to be disappointed tonight. With some more time to trend further west this may end up being a heavy rainstorm for the metro. or further east This still gives us a lot of snow Euro has the lowest totals for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, KeithB said: Yea...but how is everybody supposed to sleep now?? ambien works good. nite all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 11 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Interior gets hammered on euro, NNJ, Hudson valley and NEPA 30-40" from Orange county back all the way to BGM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, sferic said: Is there wiggle room to correct east by the 12z run or is this etched in stone ? Of course or it's not done trending west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: Mix line might be similar to the 10/28/11 storm and also similar to March 1993, I don't believe this is done trending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, sferic said: Is there wiggle room to correct east by the 12z run or is this etched in stone ? Always room even on the day before the storm. My area looks in the bullseye on that map, but I hope the model goes east so more can get into the big totals for a historic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: or further east This still gives us a lot of snow Euro has the lowest totals for the area Trend is west though, not east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Sophisticated Skeptic said: ambien works good. nite all. lol you might not want the side effects of doing dangerous things while sleepwalking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: and also similar to March 1993, I don't believe this is done trending. Where did March 1993 cross Long Island at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 10 minutes ago, USCG RS said: For this reason, I would expect, if they upgrade, a WSW vs a Blizzard Warning for the area. They may keep the blizzard watch, but I wouldn't expect a warning at this time. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk you can still have a Blizzard Warning with a change to rain- a la March 1993 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Gefs came west too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, Pequest said: Sounds like I'm in a sweet spot now 70 miles west of NYC in Warren County? omg...YES, you are!!....wanna do a house swap from now until Wednesday?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, sferic said: Where did March 1993 cross Long Island at? It didn't. It actually passed over eastern NJ This one doesn't look to be done trending west either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Interior will get it's revenge finally. I hope some of you guys gets 30"+. Trend has been for a more amplified/further west system, why would that stop now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Gefs came west tooWest of op? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sportybx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Still on the hunch the models are glitching due to the power of the event. Things are still all over the place. The euro just put up numbers in the 40" range. I can bet my last two cents this thing is going to be more east and stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, KeithB said: Haha....if the rain/snow line is inbetween rockland and Middletown...that just might happen You will be fine in Rockland. If I lived in Westchester I would be concerned about tainting though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Like I said prepare to be disappointed tonight. With some more time to trend further west this may end up being a heavy rainstorm for the metro. This run was fine for NYC. 15"=. NYC is NOT going to mix with a low going east of LI. Common sense guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, USCG RS said: West of op? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Yea and previous Gefs cluster, majority lean west like euro.. just off jersey toward twin forks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, weatherfreeeeak said: Trend is west though, not east. As others have pointed out several times, it's not uncommon for models to have an over-correction to the west, only for them to shift back a bit east again right before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Paragon said: It didn't. It actually passed over eastern NJ This one doesn't look to be done trending west either. Got 17" in western Essex county with 5" of cement sleet frz rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, weatherfreeeeak said: Trend is west though, not east. Today Tomorrow is another day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: Interior will get it's revenge finally. I hope some of you guys gets 30"+. Trend has been for a more amplified/further west system, why would that stop now. Sure it can stop. I doubt it goes way east, but the models can do a correction for going too far west. Everyone should relax and just get a good sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, nzucker said: This run was fine for NYC. 15"=. NYC is NOT going to mix with a low going east of LI. Common sense guys. Shhh it's fun watching the freakoutsfreak outs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, snywx said: You will be fine in Rockland. If I lived in Westchester I would be concerned about tainting though God...I hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, RutgersWx92 said: As others have pointed out several times, it's not uncommon for models to have an over-correction to the west, only for them to shift back a bit east again right before the storm. I agree.... I think ukie and euro come back 30-45 miles, I love the track but trough orientations looks odd to me for a LP that close... however I'm still favoring a jackpot from NEPA, NNJ, HV, NWCT, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 9 minutes ago, Sophisticated Skeptic said: you guys in NYC should chill....it's def not a doom-over scenario. 850's will be crashin Actually they have NO room to complain. They got the best snowstorm that/this area is ever capable of getting last year. 3" LE all snow, nothing could ever match that. So to complain about this is just petty lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, USCG RS said: The writing may be on the wall for long island with this one. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk That I may agree with at least for seeing the huge totals. If euro was a mere 25 miles east NYC gets 2 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, USCG RS said: The writing may be on the wall for long island with this one. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk More than just Long Island my friend. This storm was typical of the early 90s and being very experienced with those storms, more than just Long Island changed over. And the models didn't pick up on it until it was nowcasting time either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, swamplover56 said: That I may agree with at least for seeing the huge totals. If euro was a mere 25 miles east NYC gets 2 feet lol it's more likely to trend further west than it is to go east. At this point if you were to give me a bet on 50 miles west or 25 miles east.....I would pick the 50 miles west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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