nyblizz44 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If the low really does make it to Cape May or north of there, I doubt NYC sees that kind of snow before a changeover. I think it would be 8-10" max. Still very nice but 50 miles west would see double. But there is nothing in any current solution that indicates that option. You are looking , or more like fearing, a trend that isnt there. We are very fortunate tobe where we are in my humble opinion. Enjoy the ride #JustSaying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, Franklin0529 said: Gfs running? 10 mins or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If the low really does make it to Cape May or north of there, I doubt NYC sees that kind of snow before a changeover. I think it would be 8-10" max. Still very nice but 50 miles west would see double. A lot of models are like this. Nam also gives NJ rain while snowing in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 the RGEM is still at least a foot for everyone, relax. if it goes just slightly east it'd be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, F5TornadoF5 said: Thanks for this wow nnj does amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 17 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: RGEM mixes up to city/long island, NNJ just survives... rockland county jackpot Lock this in! For the love of god..PLEASE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 This should clear some stuff up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3/13 00z Guidance Summary QPF range NYC area / Snow SREF: 1.50 - 1.65 / 12 - 18" NAM : 1.50 - 1.75 / 15 - 20" P NAM: 1.50 - 1.75 :/ 15 - 20" GFS: GEFS: RGEM: 1.65 - 2.00 / 12 - 18" GGEM: GGEM-ENS: UKMET: ECM: ECM-EPS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Much of NYC proper - with exception of southern Queens - does not taint per those RGEM panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, SnowBlitzkrieg said: the RGEM is still at least a foot for everyone, relax. if it goes just slightly east it'd be perfect. Leave it right there, thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Gotta smell the rain to see the heaviest snow. 10/20 miles north and west of the mix line will see just insane rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, NJwx85 said: Leave it right there, thanks in advance. My thoughts exactly we've been on the western fringe so many storms the rgem track is ridiculous for northern nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, ILoveWinter said: Much of NYC proper - with exception of southern Queens - does not taint per those RGEM panels. Yep but little wiggle room for any more westerly shifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 If the low really does make it to Cape May or north of there, I doubt NYC sees that kind of snow before a changeover. I think it would be 8-10" max. Still very nice but 50 miles west would see double. Didn't the March 93 storm do this? Rather shift west in the final day? And before anyone jumps on this post, I'm not saying that's what's going to happen. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Wait a second that's not a bad run, I thought it would be much worse than that. Looks like the low tends to jump more to the east despite it starting so far west similar to what the Nam just showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 the rgem is no more west with mixing than the 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Yep but little wiggle room for any more westerly shifts Lows don't typically run into land can't really go much further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Leave it right there, thanks in advance. lol.. Its a thing of beauty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: Didn't the March 93 storm do this? Rather shift weather in the final day? And before anyone jumps on this post, I'm not saying that's what's going to happen. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk I don't think so but it tracked right over the jersey shore and up over Newark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: the rgem is no more west with mixing than the 18z run Exactly, I thought it was a solid run, not sure what the fuss was about with mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, USCG RS said: Didn't the March 93 storm do this? Rather shift west in the final day? And before anyone jumps on this post, I'm not saying that's what's going to happen. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk No clue. I just remember the icebergs floating down the street with the coastal flooding from that storm in my town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 The RGEM's snow accumulation map (through 48 hours): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 New banter thread. Please dont be afraid to use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I don't think so but it tracked right over the jersey shore and up over Newark and was forcast to do so days in advance, that storm for KNYC was not forcast, at least 4 days prior, to be an all snow event. Mind you the air mass was even colder than the current one but it was known we would go to heavy taint, I remember it like it was yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 GFS is more amped through hour 30 This will be coming west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Water vapor loop is a thing of beauty as you see things come together. Northern stream currently diving in while the gulf opens up. Regardless of what happens this is going to be a monster storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 and was forcast to do so days in advance, that storm for KNYC was not forcast, at least 4 days prior, to be an all snow event. Mind you the air mass was even colder than the current one but it was known we would go to heavy taint, I remember it like it was yesterdayThanks brother. I was but four yrs old at the time. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, BxEngine said: New banter thread. Please dont be afraid to use it. That includes any of the stupid interior/coast bs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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