swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Northern stream looks good on the nam be nice to get some overrunning pad those totals a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I think the metro is in for a lot of disappointment tonight regarding snowfall. I think the coast is at risk for major coastal flooding and very high winds. The mixing could be so significant that it turns to rain if models keep amping things up. This afternoons runs were a major red flag for that. I think your forgetting that a major model from the suite has consistently brought this further offshore and eliminates mixing for even most of southern New Jersey. Also, a more dynamic system would most likely translate to more dynamic cooling. I think the bigger risk here is the dryslot, not so much mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sportybx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Because they were trending in a far less snowy direction, a couple more ticks west and your snowfall totals will be slashed. And a few ticks east and the metro is going to be buried... On a hunch with all the models being thrown out being most of them so different. This thing is going to blow up and become a monster we haven't seen in a long time. Full moon with the tides being 2.5 ft higher then norm . 70 MPH winds things are going to be nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Honestly we still do have to get through the 00z runs tonight. Nothing is a lock yet but if the Euro, Ukie and the Canadian still show those widespread 18"-24" amounts for the metro I'd say at least a foot is a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Through 21, the SS energy looks to be deeper, but more positively tilted. There looks to be even more STJ energy out ahead of the trough, and EC heights are slightly higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Energy is really holding back, digging much deeper, this should be a much stronger solution, more precip on western shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Energy is really holding back, digging much deeper, this should be a much stronger solution, more precip on western shield Further west at hour 30. Onshore in NC Hour 36 looks gorgeous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Nams well west, Better hights, and western ridging, along with a slightly slower timing do our southern energy gives our storm steering tools to come up the coast as oppose to slip east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Gonna get namd! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Nam should look pretty similar to RGEM... only looking at 500, haven't looked at surface/precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Our LP isn't actually that far west, just a tick, mid level and intensity blow up precip however N+W of low unlike before.. GFS will follow this tonight or tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 NYC crushed at hour 39 with a huge CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Our LP isn't actually that far west, just a tick, mid level and intensity blow up precip however N+W of low unlike before.. GFS will follow this tonight or tomorrow I'm not concerned about the GFS-the tucked in model consensus makes that far likelier than the GFS runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Last 5 Nam runs... talk about improved dynamics and a trend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: NYC crushed at hour 39 with a huge CCB Well then. Keep the pbp coming. This could be the sign of the 0z final multi-model consensus needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 5 minutes ago, F5TornadoF5 said: Are my eyes deceiving me, or is that a retrograde between hours 35 and 36? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Huge CCB still over NYC at hour 42 What a run for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Entire areas crushed.. looks identical to RGEM imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 NAM-Para looks like UKIE. Rides the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Eduardo said: Are my eyes deceiving me, or is that a retrograde between hours 35 and 36? Not deceiving. I noticed that yank back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 This 700mb setup means serious business. Talk about a deathband. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: Huge CCB still over NYC at hour 42 What a run for the area Eastern LI has mix issues like RGEM... before people look at surface and the panic sets in.. DONT!.... look at mid levels... Long Island not flipping under those conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, nesussxwx said: NAM-Para looks like UKIE. Rides the coastline. All snow for NYC west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Holy Mother of God! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 lol.. check out the NAM-Para. Looks x2 better. Looks like LI mixes though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Dramatic improvements all around.. The HV is crushed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: This 700mb setup means serious business. Talk about a deathband. Death "swath" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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