WintersGrasp Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 May he R. I. P. He was on while he was still battling cancer.Yes Dave Schwartz and Paul Kocin were my favorites. I loved Dave's humor and relaxing tone. Whenever Paul came on, I knew we were in storm mode!! RIP Dave Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: 78 is still the benchmark for me. Been waiting for a redo first a long time. Maybe this is the one. Probably not but the possibility is still on the table. Snow and wind are a stunning combination. Being on the edge of the interior winds don't necessarily verify like they do along the Jersey coast and across Long Island. It's a rarity that separates the great ones from the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 18z GEM-LAM is pretty. thru hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Wow.. 30mm LE by 9 am Tuesday for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, nesussxwx said: 18z GEM-LAM is pretty. thru hr 48 And still snowing!! Man oh man, low is still cranking just SW of Long Island at hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, nesussxwx said: 18z GEM-LAM is pretty. thru hr 48 Where did you find this on meteocentre? I can't for the life of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: Where did you find this on meteocentre? I can't for the life of me So folks don't have to convert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: And still snowing!! Man oh man, low is still cranking just SW of Long Island at hr 48 Slower progression? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: Where did you find this on meteocentre? I can't for the life of me here is the link. have fun. http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=00&mod=cmc_hrdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: This is going to be all drifts if winds this high verify. I got my magnifying glass out and counted the colors. That's 80 MPH in NW Suffolk. Similar on south fork, but much less likely to mix in NW Suffolk. "Boxing Day" was the windiest of the Y2K+ run of blizzards, but nothing like what's on this Euro map. 78 winds weren't this high in the same area, although I think they were higher than in Dec 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Slower progression? Slower, deeper, pretty far west, more wound up, lots of wrap around, pretty much everything you could ask for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 SREF precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: SREF precip Havent really budged amount or spot all day. Nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Latest SREFS are amped up. Hope its a good sign of things to come with the 00z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Guys keep it focused on the storm. Use the banter thread for other stuff. Those posts will be deleted in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, swamplover56 said: Havent really budged amount or spot all day. Nice to see. Amazing consistency with most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Havent really budged amount or spot all day. Nice to see. I think that is from the older run? Newest run coming out now looks to be snowier NW, but cut down a bit areas closer to the coast. Newest plumes close to 10" in and around NYC. (Was close to 15" last run, by 10" the run before that) I still think a good range for the NENJ/NYC metro is 8-12" with 12-24" to the N Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Looks like the SREF actually backed down on snow for the metropolitan area. There must be some mixing involved. However up by Poughkeepsie the mean is up around 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 3 minutes ago, mimillman said: Looks like the SREF actually backed down on snow for the metropolitan area. There must be some mixing involved. However up by Poughkeepsie the mean is up around 18" I think the map just depicts precipation (liquid equivalent), so mixing would have no impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Hoping to get NAM'd tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 Just now, weatherfreeeeak said: Hoping to get NAM'd tonight Seems most times before the big ones we get that one insane nam run that is greater than all other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West of Town Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 1 minute ago, weatherfreeeeak said: Hoping to get NAM'd tonight Which would you think it most trustworthy at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: I think the map just depicts precipation (liquid equivalent), so mixing would have no impact. I was looking at the SREF plumes in particular, that do estimate total snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I think the metro is in for a lot of disappointment tonight regarding snowfall. I think the coast is at risk for major coastal flooding and very high winds. The mixing could be so significant that it turns to rain if models keep amping things up. This afternoons runs were a major red flag for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I think the metro is in for a lot of disappointment tonight regarding snowfall. I think the coast is at risk for major coastal flooding and very high winds. The mixing could be so significant that it turns to rain if models keep amping things up. This afternoons runs were a major red flag for that. What? Based on what? We are heading into the time where the models tend to correct slightly SE aka 2015. Next up is the high resolution models tomorrow where we can start to see where banding will setup. That will be the difference between 10 and 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I think the metro is in for a lot of disappointment tonight regarding snowfall. I think the coast is at risk for major coastal flooding and very high winds. The mixing could be so significant that it turns to rain if models keep amping things up. This afternoons runs were a major red flag for that. All afternoon models showed at least of foot of snow for the metro area. How is that in any way a major red flag? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 41 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: Where did you find this on meteocentre? I can't for the life of me Here you go bud. http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?mod=cmc_hrdps&map=qc&run=00&lang=en&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest It's next to the RGEM but only if you click the Quebec region on the top first. It's the HRDPS. This is the actual link to that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 SS energy is digging farther SW, and the PNA ridge is slightly more amped. Heights in the east are slightly lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 4 minutes ago, David-LI said: All afternoon models showed at least of foot of snow for the metro area. How is that in any way a major red flag? Because they were trending in a far less snowy direction, a couple more ticks west and your snowfall totals will be slashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 13, 2017 Share Posted March 13, 2017 I think the metro is in for a lot of disappointment tonight regarding snowfall. I think the coast is at risk for major coastal flooding and very high winds. The mixing could be so significant that it turns to rain if models keep amping things up. This afternoons runs were a major red flag for that. I think this afternoon's runs are an over correction west. This is normal. But time will tellSent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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