UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 My main concern is the trough staying neutral too long over the Ohio valley, the SW riding the troughs neutral tilt kicking it east towards benchmark.. we absolutely need for that trough to go neg a bit quicker and pull this west otherwise interiors looking at fringe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 ^^ Be careful with that F word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 gfs: 0.90 ggem: 2.12 ukmet: 1.88 qpf ecm: ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Atl_tab.shtml OPC 48hrs surface issued 12:24am EST RI with Hurricane Force Winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Who's volunteering to do euro PBP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, nyblizz44 said: But why is it one extreme or the other why doesn't the Ensemble show partial phase camp ? I would think some members would have a partial phase or at least some version of. I just think that in that 6 hour timeframe it reflects that if the phase occurs during that time than we'd be talking about being in line with some of the OP guidance so far this evening. On the other hand if it doesn't than those members agree that in that 6 hour timeframe that is where the low would escape to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Euro is more amped than 12z so far through 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 7 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: My main concern is the trough staying neutral too long over the Ohio valley, the SW riding the troughs neutral tilt kicking it east towards benchmark.. we absolutely need for that trough to go neg a bit quicker and pull this west otherwise interiors looking at fringe Yeah that's still a concern of mine and I'm in NENJ. As crazy as it sounds I really feel that a benchmark track really only benefits SNE the most because they stick out into the ocean relative to the rest of the eastern seaboard. With all these coastals the last 5-6 years it seems that there is always a sharp cutoff north and west. Inside the BM like what the CMC is showing is the perfect spot for all with the very cold airmass to keep it all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Euro is digging a lot this run. Should be a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Through 54, euro is more west and really digging down south. I think this will be a great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I'll do pbp, sorry my Wxbell wasn't loading... too many people on it prob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Our shortwave much stronger so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 much further west with the heavy precip than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 10 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: I would think some members would have a partial phase or at least some version of. I just think that in that 6 hour timeframe it reflects that if the phase occurs during that time than we'd be talking about being in line with some of the OP guidance so far this evening. On the other hand if it doesn't than those members agree that in that 6 hour timeframe that is where the low would escape to. Judging by the much improved upper levels GFS, CMC, UKIE, and what looks to be a strongly improved Europe which would likely lead to a strongly improved EPS I think many will sleep well today- including this tired soul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 The. Euro. Just. Did. The. Thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: much further west with the heavy precip than 12z Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: much further west with the heavy precip than 12z Thanks Forky,,keep the good news coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: much further west with the heavy precip than 12z Better ridge out west, earlier phase, deeper trough, better heights.. west for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 everything looking way better in every aspect (trough, phase,etc) on the euro than 12z will be west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Looking amazing thru hour 72.....Billy...take us home... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
husky0101 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, NortheastPAWx said: The. Euro. Just. Did. The. Thing. ahhhh i can't bear the suspense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Lets go!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Euro looks like ggem.. only better imo... Nam ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Talk about a blizzard. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, husky0101 said: ahhhh i can't bear the suspense ITS WORTH THE WAIT!!!..I PROMISE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, forkyfork said: much further west with the heavy precip than 12z 91 members on at 107 am are very happy to hear that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Porn... major cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 18-20 inches for NYC area with more in LI on the 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, nyblizz44 said: 91 members on at 107 am are very happy to hear that 103* lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 mixing issues into eastern li and snj this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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