Manny Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Now the GFS is the middle ground after being the more west and the Euro east after being the middle ground, NAM most west I presume on this run? And I mean OP runs. The EPS definitely was a good sign on the OP maybe being an extreme eastern scenario which still brings snows to many areas, unfortunately not for NW areas as before but more changes yet to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 sim radar hour 60 from the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Nam keeps the far interior hopes alive, from the awful euro run for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Wow, watches already up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Wow, watches already up foot or more up to Rochester NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Nam actually tracks west of last run... really far western outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Blizzard Watch for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Wow, blizzard watches for NYC and 12-18" the forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Share| Blizzard Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 338 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2017 ...Potential for a Major Winter Storm Monday night into Wednesday... CTZ007>012-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-120900- /O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.A.0001.170314T0400Z-170315T0400Z/ Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-Southern Fairfield- Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London- Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk- Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk- Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 338 PM EST Sat Mar 11 2017 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Blizzard Watch, which is in effect from late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * Locations...New York City, Long Island, Southern Westchester, Southern Fairfield, Southern New Haven, Middlesex, and New London counties. * Hazard Types...Snow, and strong and gusty winds. * Snow Accumulations...12 to 18 inches. * Timing...Late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * Impacts...Hazardous travel and potential for power outages due to moderate to heavy snow and gusty winds. * Winds...Northeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts 40 to 50 mph. * Temperatures...In the upper 20s. * Visibilities...One quarter mile or less at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Blizzard Watch means there is a potential for falling and/or blowing snow with strong winds and extremely poor visibilities. This can lead to whiteout conditions and make travel very dangerous. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 BREAKING BLIZZARD WATCH ISSUED for Immediate NYC area for 12-18 inches of snow http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ075&warncounty=NYC047&firewxzone=NYZ075&local_place1=4 Miles SW Ridgewood NY&product1=Blizzard+Watch&lat=40.6508&lon=-73.9393#.WMRhQYErK00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Crazy for the NWS to put out such high numbers this far in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, danstorm said: Crazy for the NWS to put out such high numbers this far in advance Yea...Buffalo NWS has watches for over a foot of snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Nams much slower this run also, but came back to reality with snow totals for interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, danstorm said: Crazy for the NWS to put out such high numbers this far in advance Yeah I really think they'll have to lower those numbers. I'm not sure we'll have enough of a block should the storm phase late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, danstorm said: Crazy for the NWS to put out such high numbers this far in advance the only time I remember it this far in advance-BIG GULP here- was for March 5 2011! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, WaPo said: Yeah I really think they'll have to lower those numbers. I'm not sure we'll have enough of a block should the storm phase late. I'm not saying they'll be wrong, I've just never seen a forecast of 12-18 when 60-72 hours out... Usually they say "significant", "6+", etc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, danstorm said: Crazy for the NWS to put out such high numbers this far in advance Yeah a little shocked. That's aggressive. Why not wait until at least after 0z? It's not like people still wouldn't have plenty of time to get ready. The hype machine will be in full effect now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, danstorm said: Crazy for the NWS to put out such high numbers this far in advance I'm still waiting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Dan76 said: I'm still waiting Ya sadly this is exactly what I thought of too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, danstorm said: I'm not saying they'll be wrong, I've just never seen a forecast of 12-18 when 60-72 hours out... Usually they say "significant", "6+", etc... Dan, how far in advance did they issue those high forecast totals for January 2015? And what were the totals they forecast for that storm? I remember they went conservative after that storm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Dan76 said: I'm still waiting THAT was the one I was thinking of- that one takes the crown for high forecast totals lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 5 minutes ago, danstorm said: I'm not saying they'll be wrong, I've just never seen a forecast of 12-18 when 60-72 hours out... Usually they say "significant", "6+", etc... I am surprised by their high numbers so early, and honestly that a watch was issued already as well. I figured they would have done it in the morning and at least have gotten through the 00z model runs before issuance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Not sure why it posted the old map. Here's the link. http://www.weather.gov/okx/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Alb cwa just issued watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, tdp146 said: Yeah a little shocked. That's aggressive. Why not wait until at least after 0z? It's not like people still wouldn't have plenty of time to get ready. The hype machine will be in full effect now. Actually it should have been after the 12z runs tomorrow which is the first set of runs within 48 hrs of the start of the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 1 minute ago, sferic said: That was the same numbers, right? I think so but I never actually saw the forecast map for that storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: This is quite bullish this far out especially with the east leaning euro. we shall see Albany really bullish for interior? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 Just now, Paragon said: Actually it should have been after the 12z runs tomorrow which is the first set of runs within 48 hrs of the start of the event It was already posted, 72h is the watch window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 11, 2017 Share Posted March 11, 2017 18z NAM total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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