jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 No idea what to say about NYC with this storm given the model divergence. 02z HRRR still has 12"+ throughout the city, maybe 15-16" on the Hudson. NAM- GFS looks decent, and GGEM with a nuke. Hopefully we get some nice table scraps on the Island. It should be an obscene morning and early afternoon along I-287 and up towards Albany and through the Poconos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 when does it really get cranking ? Should I stay up or set the alarm and wake up the crack of dawn ? do any of you guys know where I can take a look at the radar from the South ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: when does it really get cranking ? Should I stay up or set the alarm and wake up the crack of dawn ? do any of you guys know where I can take a look at the radar from the South ? Wake up around 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: when does it really get cranking ? Should I stay up or set the alarm and wake up the crack of dawn ? do any of you guys know where I can take a look at the radar from the South ? You can use any outlet for the radar. Something like accuweather.com, etc.... If you are going to get 4-5 hours of sleep...yea, get that sleep now and wake up by 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: when does it really get cranking ? Should I stay up or set the alarm and wake up the crack of dawn ? do any of you guys know where I can take a look at the radar from the South ? http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USVA0659 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 22 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 00z GGEM is gorgeous. And it keeps mixing confined to E LI. huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Dual pol radar-the yellow area is where the mixing starts. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: when does it really get cranking ? Should I stay up or set the alarm and wake up the crack of dawn ? do any of you guys know where I can take a look at the radar from the South ? http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said: No idea what to say about NYC with this storm given the model divergence. 02z HRRR still has 12"+ throughout the city, maybe 15-16" on the Hudson. NAM- GFS looks decent, and GGEM with a nuke. Hopefully we get some nice table scraps on the Island. It should be an obscene morning and early afternoon along I-287 and up towards Albany and through the Poconos. I have never ever felt this uncertain about back home. Like I said earlier it's all about the front end thump. We ripped them rained during feb 14. I think you had 5 and I had 7 5 miles north meanwhile the far north shore had 14. Hopefully not a repeat. But I fully expect it to puke sleet while it's still snowing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 btw guys.....what did the 00z UKIE show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: huh? how can two sites on the same model be so off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: how can two sites on the same model be so off? this is how...4-6" for nassau's south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 No idea what to say about NYC with this storm given the model divergence. 02z HRRR still has 12"+ throughout the city, maybe 15-16" on the Hudson. NAM- GFS looks decent, and GGEM with a nuke. Hopefully we get some nice table scraps on the Island. It should be an obscene morning and early afternoon along I-287 and up towards Albany and through the Poconos. I would tend to agree with the colder more amped solutions. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 how can two sites on the same model be so off?Different algorithms Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sportybx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I hope this pushes east some . I work for NYChA Elevator division. I was told today no matter what happens you find your way out to Brooklyn. We are emergency service and city workers you have no choice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, USCG RS said: I would tend to agree with the colder more amped solutions. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk With the dynamics being so great I would agree, but I don't like the placement of the 700 mb low for East of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 03z HRRR continues to show very impressive amounts for northern NJ. 18-19 inches of snow for the NYC suburbs with little mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 16 minutes ago, KeithB said: You can use any outlet for the radar. Something like accuweather.com, etc.... If you are going to get 4-5 hours of sleep...yea, get that sleep now and wake up by 7am I just set my alarm for 3 am - 2 hours is all I can miss - gotta see the heavy stuff and measure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, USCG RS said: I would tend to agree with the colder more amped solutions. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk The HRRR is plenty amped as well, it takes the low about over the twin forks. The mix line is heading north pretty steadily past ACY now, yet the model has snow for all of LI until 10am, and a few hours of mix after before ending around 2pm. Hopefully dynamics can overcome the advancing mix line soon (although its still over areas that are expecting little snow anyway) and make it slow down at least. I think the NAM was overdone, but it's hard to discount it totally this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, RU848789 said: I just set my alarm for 3 am - 2 hours is all I can miss - gotta see the heavy stuff and measure... I think you are around RU, my educated, radar based guess you are snowing heavily by 3am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: I just set my alarm for 3 am - 2 hours is all I can miss - gotta see the heavy stuff and measure... Thank you for measuring I use yours as my official tally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, RU848789 said: I just set my alarm for 3 am - 2 hours is all I can miss - gotta see the heavy stuff and measure... That's not a bad plan. I can't fall asleep before seeing the EURO. Just no shot at it. So..instead of fighting it, I'll stay up until 2:30, and get up by 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 7 minutes ago, Metsfan said: With the dynamics being so great I would agree, but I don't like the placement of the 700 mb low for East of NYC. I agree-Manhattan seems to be okay on most short range guidance (well over 12"), but it goes down to about 9-12" for me to less than 6" by Riverhead and east. This front end we're seeing now has to thump down, slow the mix line as much as possible and pile up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I agree-Manhattan seems to be okay on most short range guidance (well over 12"), but it goes down to about 9-12" for me to less than 6" by Riverhead and east. This front end we're seeing now has to thump down, slow the mix line as much as possible and pile up. Well, I'm in Hoboken - across the river from NYC - and it is still not snowing, the temperature is above freezing, and the reporting station never updates (seriously). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 21 minutes ago, KeithB said: btw guys.....what did the 00z UKIE show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Well, I'm in Hoboken - across the river from NYC - and it is still not snowing, the temperature is above freezing, and the reporting station never updates (seriously).God you have to be the biggest Debbie downer. I'm in jersey city (prolly less 1/2 mile away) and it's snowing, albeit lightly but heavy enough where I can see a reduction in visibility just by looking out a window. Also, there's a light coating on the ground already on most surfaces. Don't know what you're looking atSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, mranger48 said: God you have to be the biggest Debbie downer. I'm in jersey city (prolly less 1/2 mile away) and it's snowing, albeit lightly but heavy enough where I can see a reduction in visibility just by looking out a window. Also, there's a light coating on the ground already on most surfaces. Don't know what you're looking at Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I'm looking out my window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, NYCGreg said: Well, I'm in Hoboken - across the river from NYC - and it is still not snowing, the temperature is above freezing, and the reporting station never updates (seriously). I'm in Battery Park City and it's snowing here (lightly). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Goodnight you guys. See you all tomorrow morning when the real show starts. I'm setting my alarm at 6:50 to wake up for the impending storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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