MJO812 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, NortheastPAWx said: What do you think about the city being split? Looks like models are saying more in the Bronx/UM than Brooklyn/Queens/LM. Brooklyn and Queens are going to switch over faster than Manhattan but we should get a good thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Later in the day I'd assume I-80 should be alright. Definitely take pictures. nervous that my power may go out back home, I hope that doesn't happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keno19 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 the more and more i look at the duration of this storm, the more i see how quick the storm moves in and out of the area. regardless of warm area moving in, long island will thump and get 13 inches before the changeover. by this time the majority of the precip would have fallen already. so think of it as basically maximizing the mos and maybe only missing 4 inches. I have seen this many times on long island where the storm ran into a dry slot and didn;t matter that the rain/snow line moved north of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The 2z HRRR is close to 15" of snow for all of NENJ/NYC and does not mix or changeover until the very end of the run Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 3 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: What do you think about the city being split? Looks like models are saying more in the Bronx/UM than Brooklyn/Queens/LM. That makes some sense, although I think that the mixing line will probably stay Southeast of there for most of the storm. Back when this track happened more often, the mixing line would often end up between JFK and LGA. I bet you're wishing you were home for this one! Going to be epic in NE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: Brooklyn and Queens are going to switch over faster than Manhattan but we should get a good thump I think 10-14" from 14th Street south and east...14-18" for most of Manhattan/Bronx. 18-24" in Westchester, Rockland, Orange etc. The gradient could be tight with 10" at JFK and 25" at HPN, a distance of only 35 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
middlesea Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 From Upton...they see the further west track...hmmm .SYNOPSIS... Strong low pressure approaches tonight and passes just southeast of Long Island on Tuesday, going into the Gulf of Maine Tuesday night. By Wednesday and Thursday the storm will be moving from coastal northern Maine and into the Canadian Maritimes. High pressure moves through the region Thursday and Friday. Another low pressure system may affect the area Friday night through next weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... ***Dangerous travel conditions for Tuesday morning commute*** ***Blizzard conditions with 1 to 2 ft of snow expected for much of the Western portions of the Tri-State region on Tuesday*** ***Possible Blizzard Conditions early Tuesday morning for Southeastern portions of the Tri-State...before a transition to sleet and rain*** Snow was beginning to break out across the area as of 11 pm. The timing of the onset of precipitation has therefore been increased. The 00Z NAM continues to trend west. The track now takes it over Riverhead and Peconic Bay. No changes to the official forecast yet, as the GFS is usually the preferred solution at this time period and the model is still running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, middlesea said: From Upton...they see the further west track...hmmm .SYNOPSIS... Strong low pressure approaches tonight and passes just southeast of Long Island on Tuesday, going into the Gulf of Maine Tuesday night. By Wednesday and Thursday the storm will be moving from coastal northern Maine and into the Canadian Maritimes. High pressure moves through the region Thursday and Friday. Another low pressure system may affect the area Friday night through next weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... ***Dangerous travel conditions for Tuesday morning commute*** ***Blizzard conditions with 1 to 2 ft of snow expected for much of the Western portions of the Tri-State region on Tuesday*** ***Possible Blizzard Conditions early Tuesday morning for Southeastern portions of the Tri-State...before a transition to sleet and rain*** Snow was beginning to break out across the area as of 11 pm. The timing of the onset of precipitation has therefore been increased. The 00Z NAM continues to trend west. The track now takes it over Riverhead and Peconic Bay. No changes to the official forecast yet, as the GFS is usually the preferred solution at this time period and the model is still running. wow the GFS is still be consulted at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, winterwarlock said: depends where you are Even if you're not seeing heavy snow the intense storm will still be overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: wow the GFS is still be consulted at this point It ticked slightly west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Gfs is unchanged from 18z. Low is in exact same position. Maybe slightly more mixing on LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 snowmaps on GFS held serve....16-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Let's not forget that the King showed a ton of snow for everyone at 12z. Unless you live in far Eastern LI I wouldn't be worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 GFS is 12 + for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Morris, Passaic, Rockland, Putnam County JP on the GFS of 20-24"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The GFS continues to evaporate totals in Long Island but mostly held serve over northern NJ and NYC. HOWEVER, one major difference on the GFS between 18z and 00z. Check out the snow total difference in Washington D.C. and PHL. In PHL, snow totals INCREASED about 5". In D.C., the 18z GFS was 3" and the 00z printed 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 5 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: snowmaps on GFS held serve....16-24 I have to admit I'm extremely surprised by that given the mesoscale trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, mimillman said: The GFS continues to evaporate totals in Long Island but mostly held serve over northern NJ and NYC. HOWEVER, one major difference on the GFS between 18z and 00z. Check out the snow total difference in Washington D.C. and PHL. In PHL, snow totals INCREASED about 5". In D.C., the 18z GFS was 3" and the 00z printed 10". It's pouring snow right now in DC, so let's see if that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, mimillman said: The GFS continues to evaporate totals in Long Island but mostly held serve over northern NJ and NYC. HOWEVER, one major difference on the GFS between 18z and 00z. Check out the snow total difference in Washington D.C. and PHL. In PHL, snow totals INCREASED about 5". In D.C., the 18z GFS was 3" and the 00z printed 10". Is that one reason not to buy it? Reading Mid-Atlantic forum, DC is already changing over to sleet after just 2 inches of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: GFS is 12 + for the area Notable hear that the GFS prints out only about 18 inches in Northeast while lots of other models are printing out 24 to 30 in that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, mimillman said: The GFS continues to evaporate totals in Long Island but mostly held serve over northern NJ and NYC. HOWEVER, one major difference on the GFS between 18z and 00z. Check out the snow total difference in Washington D.C. and PHL. In PHL, snow totals INCREASED about 5". In D.C., the 18z GFS was 3" and the 00z printed 10". It doesn't have much sleet. Just snow and rain, so perhaps it's missing the warming at the mid levels that the nam sees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I don't think I've ever been more excited to see which models are going to be right and wrong tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The mesos are very finicky due to their high resolution Always heard use the meso's under 24 hours but as you can see by uptons latest afd they are still giving the gfs lots of credibilty even at this lead point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: GFS is 12 + for the area More like 16+ by the way the radar looks amazing. And it's filling in quick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just going further about meso's since we are at the point of wait and see the 18z rgem had the best dynamics over the city and north central nj and now at oz has it well into northwest jersey There is a ton of moisture coming straight up from the south Where the snow/mix line is one thing but using meso's to pinpoint where the best banding will be and where subsidence will be at 12 hours out is not recommended Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, nyblizz44 said: Notable hear that the GFS prints out only about 18 inches in Northeast while lots of other models are printing out 24 to 30 in that area Look at the areas in jersey that go from under an inch to 20 inches in what 40 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Even on the 00z NAM, this is not pure rain for DC. Snow to sleet to freezing rain. Station ID: KDCA Lat: 38.84 Long: -77.03 Elevation: 4.0 NAM Model Run: 0Z MAR 14, 2017 Forecast Hours: 0hr 3hr 6hr 9hr 12hr 15hr 18hr 21hr 24hr 27hr 30hr Sfc Prs(mb): 1016.5 1013.2 1006.3 999.4 993.5 993.2 993.7 995.5 998.9 1002.8 1003.4 Mean SLP (mb): 1023.7 1020.3 1013.4 1006.4 1000.5 1000.2 1000.7 1002.5 1005.9 1009.9 1010.6 2m agl Tmp (F): 35.0 32.0 31.1 31.7 31.6 31.8 33.2 35.2 32.9 26.3 23.1 2m AGL Dewpt(F): 30.2 28.4 27.8 29.0 27.9 28.3 29.0 30.1 25.0 16.4 13.5 2m agl RH (%): 83 86 87 90 86 87 84 81 72 66 66 10m agl W Dir: 105 53 38 348 345 337 305 299 297 299 288 10m agl Spd(kt): 7 9 15 14 26 16 15 14 16 16 15 3hr Precip (in): 0.00 0.12 0.27 0.37 0.73 0.20 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AccumPrecip(in): 0.00 0.12 0.39 0.77 1.50 1.70 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 Precip H20 (in): 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 Best LI (C): 13.9 9.0 3.2 4.2 5.3 11.6 12.8 13.8 14.6 17.6 17.6 700mb VV(-ub/s): -0.1 11.9 6.1 16.3 16.9 -3.6 -5.4 -2.8 -1.7 -1.0 1.6 Thk1000-500mb(m)5377.6 5396.2 5440.9 5470.9 5453.3 5401.3 5346.9 5291.4 5234.0 5181.3 5135.7 Thk1000-850mb(m)1282.8 1284.6 1298.6 1295.4 1288.5 1284.8 1281.2 1284.4 1275.5 1256.1 1248.7 Thk850-700mb(m):1532.0 1545.5 1559.7 1570.8 1561.8 1536.7 1517.4 1496.1 1477.5 1461.6 1447.6 Heat Index (F): 35 32 31 32 32 32 33 35 33 26 23 1000mb GPH (m): 188 161 106 51 4 3 6 20 47 78 83 975mb GPH (m): 391 362 307 253 206 204 208 224 250 278 281 975mb Temp (C): -1.4 -3.2 -3.1 -2.0 -1.7 -1.5 -1.3 0.4 -1.1 -5.2 -7.0 975mb Dewpt(C): -4.0 -3.5 -3.6 -2.6 -3.4 -2.9 -3.0 -2.3 -5.3 -10.6 -12.1 975mb RH (%): 82 98 96 95 88 90 88 82 73 66 67 975mb Dir: 100 61 43 355 349 343 308 302 301 303 292 975mb Speed(kt): 13 16 24 21 39 26 23 24 28 28 27 950mb GPH (m): 597 567 513 459 412 410 415 432 456 481 483 950mb Temp (C): -3.3 -4.5 -4.2 -3.4 -3.6 -3.2 -3.3 -1.6 -3.2 -7.1 -8.9 950mb Dewpt(C): -5.5 -5.0 -4.4 -3.7 -4.1 -3.8 -4.0 -3.4 -6.2 -11.2 -12.8 950mb RH (%): 85 97 98 98 96 96 95 87 80 73 74 950mb Dir: 107 77 58 10 351 347 312 303 303 306 295 950mb Speed(kt): 14 22 30 24 47 34 28 31 33 32 32 925mb GPH (m): 807 777 723 670 622 621 625 643 667 688 688 925mb Temp (C): -4.8 -4.6 -2.2 -3.8 -5.0 -4.6 -5.0 -3.4 -5.1 -9.1 -10.7 925mb Dewpt(C): -6.1 -5.1 -2.5 -4.1 -5.6 -5.1 -5.5 -4.4 -7.0 -12.0 -13.7 925mb RH (%): 90 96 98 98 96 96 96 92 87 79 79 925mb Dir: 122 99 86 38 356 353 318 305 305 308 299 925mb Speed(kt): 13 25 37 27 54 42 33 36 36 36 36 900mb GPH (m): 1022 992 942 887 837 836 840 859 881 899 898 900mb Temp (C): -6.2 -5.1 -0.1 -2.0 -4.1 -4.4 -5.7 -5.2 -7.2 -11.1 -12.8 900mb Dewpt(C): -6.8 -5.3 -0.2 -2.2 -5.1 -5.4 -6.5 -5.9 -8.0 -12.9 -14.6 900mb RH (%): 96 99 99 99 93 93 94 95 94 87 86 900mb Dir: 140 114 110 79 7 1 333 306 307 310 302 900mb Speed(kt): 14 29 44 30 55 50 37 41 39 38 39 875mb GPH (m): 1243 1214 1169 1112 1060 1058 1060 1079 1100 1114 1112 875mb Temp (C): -5.5 -2.9 3.7 1.1 -1.9 -4.1 -6.4 -7.0 -9.2 -13.1 -14.4 875mb Dewpt(C): -5.5 -3.1 3.5 1.0 -2.5 -4.8 -6.9 -7.9 -9.8 -14.5 -17.0 875mb RH (%): 100 99 99 99 96 95 96 93 95 89 81 875mb Dir: 160 137 133 109 22 3 348 308 310 315 308 875mb Speed(kt): 22 37 53 38 44 41 39 43 41 41 41 850mb GPH (m): 1471 1445 1405 1347 1293 1287 1287 1305 1323 1334 1331 850mb Temp (C): -3.6 -0.5 3.7 3.4 1.5 -3.6 -5.8 -8.2 -11.0 -14.3 -15.1 850mb Dewpt(C): -3.6 -0.6 3.6 3.3 1.4 -3.7 -6.5 -8.6 -11.7 -16.8 -19.4 850mb RH (%): 100 99 99 99 99 99 95 97 94 82 70 850mb Dir: 169 154 143 128 49 8 345 312 314 322 320 850mb Speed(kt): 36 46 58 50 35 34 33 39 42 41 39 825mb GPH (m): 1707 1684 1647 1590 1535 1524 1522 1537 1551 1560 1556 825mb Temp (C): -3.5 -0.9 2.5 4.0 3.6 -2.9 -5.3 -8.0 -12.0 -14.8 -16.4 825mb Dewpt(C): -3.5 -1.2 2.3 4.0 3.6 -3.1 -6.0 -8.3 -13.5 -18.4 -20.9 825mb RH (%): 100 98 99 100 100 99 95 98 88 74 68 825mb Dir: 179 168 152 137 73 6 327 304 311 328 325 825mb Speed(kt): 44 49 59 60 35 25 34 35 37 39 38 800mb GPH (m): 1951 1930 1897 1840 1785 1768 1763 1775 1787 1793 1787 800mb Temp (C): -2.7 -1.1 2.8 3.6 2.8 -2.8 -5.7 -9.0 -12.3 -15.1 -16.9 800mb Dewpt(C): -2.7 -1.2 2.7 3.6 2.7 -3.0 -6.7 -9.3 -14.5 -17.5 -21.0 800mb RH (%): 100 99 99 100 100 99 93 97 84 82 71 800mb Dir: 192 180 163 146 83 341 319 299 303 319 325 800mb Speed(kt): 44 49 60 63 38 22 40 34 37 33 33 775mb GPH (m): 2203 2183 2153 2097 2041 2019 2011 2020 2029 2033 2025 775mb Temp (C): -3.0 -1.4 0.9 2.4 0.9 -2.9 -6.7 -10.3 -13.2 -16.0 -18.0 775mb Dewpt(C): -3.4 -1.5 0.7 2.4 0.9 -3.0 -8.3 -10.6 -15.5 -18.3 -20.9 775mb RH (%): 98 99 99 100 100 99 88 98 83 83 78 775mb Dir: 206 193 169 152 92 330 314 300 300 315 326 775mb Speed(kt): 43 51 61 63 37 24 41 37 38 33 28 750mb GPH (m): 2462 2444 2416 2363 2304 2279 2267 2273 2278 2279 2269 750mb Temp (C): -4.2 -1.9 -0.7 2.6 -0.3 -3.2 -6.9 -10.9 -13.9 -16.6 -19.7 750mb Dewpt(C): -5.1 -2.1 -1.0 2.6 -0.3 -3.5 -9.9 -11.2 -16.1 -19.3 -22.1 750mb RH (%): 94 99 98 100 100 98 79 98 84 80 81 750mb Dir: 219 203 176 164 100 315 307 299 298 310 316 750mb Speed(kt): 42 54 56 59 34 25 41 38 34 29 26 725mb GPH (m): 2728 2713 2686 2636 2575 2547 2532 2533 2535 2533 2520 725mb Temp (C): -5.5 -3.0 -1.9 0.6 -1.3 -3.9 -7.2 -11.8 -14.3 -17.1 -20.6 725mb Dewpt(C): -6.7 -3.1 -2.2 0.6 -1.3 -4.6 -12.2 -12.9 -16.8 -19.5 -23.2 725mb RH (%): 91 99 98 100 100 95 68 92 81 82 80 725mb Dir: 228 212 183 181 111 309 300 295 287 298 303 725mb Speed(kt): 45 56 53 56 30 25 41 38 30 25 24 700mb GPH (m): 3003 2991 2965 2918 2855 2824 2805 2801 2800 2796 2779 700mb Temp (C): -6.9 -3.9 -3.0 -0.8 -2.3 -4.6 -8.0 -12.8 -16.0 -18.3 -21.9 700mb Dewpt(C): -8.5 -4.1 -3.2 -0.9 -2.3 -5.4 -12.1 -16.0 -19.2 -19.2 -23.9 700mb RH (%): 88 99 98 99 100 94 72 77 77 93 84 700mb Dir: 231 218 192 193 127 291 292 289 276 274 288 700mb Speed(kt): 48 56 52 58 22 25 39 38 30 23 22 675mb GPH (m): 3286 3277 3252 3208 3143 3110 3087 3078 3073 3067 3046 675mb Temp (C): -8.2 -5.7 -4.3 -2.4 -3.1 -5.4 -8.9 -13.6 -17.0 -19.0 -22.3 675mb Dewpt(C): -11.1 -5.8 -4.6 -2.7 -3.2 -6.7 -11.9 -22.4 -26.8 -29.7 -29.0 675mb RH (%): 80 99 98 98 99 91 79 48 43 39 55 675mb Dir: 231 223 202 201 153 272 280 278 264 257 262 675mb Speed(kt): 51 54 48 56 17 29 37 39 34 28 25 650mb GPH (m): 3578 3572 3549 3506 3442 3406 3379 3364 3356 3347 3323 650mb Temp (C): -9.8 -7.9 -5.9 -4.2 -4.2 -6.6 -10.0 -14.7 -18.2 -20.3 -22.9 650mb Dewpt(C): -14.7 -8.0 -6.4 -4.6 -4.5 -8.3 -15.4 -27.6 -37.0 -42.3 -38.3 650mb RH (%): 68 99 97 97 97 88 64 33 18 13 24 650mb Dir: 230 229 213 205 211 263 271 268 258 251 249 650mb Speed(kt): 56 50 46 53 17 34 38 42 38 31 29 625mb GPH (m): 3880 3876 3855 3814 3750 3711 3680 3660 3648 3636 3610 625mb Temp (C): -11.0 -10.1 -8.1 -6.1 -6.0 -8.4 -11.4 -16.2 -19.5 -21.3 -23.7 625mb Dewpt(C): -19.6 -10.2 -8.8 -6.7 -6.6 -11.0 -25.7 -26.9 -46.0 -46.9 -51.5 625mb RH (%): 49 100 95 96 95 81 30 40 8 9 7 625mb Dir: 230 233 219 207 252 259 266 260 258 248 245 625mb Speed(kt): 60 50 43 48 22 36 38 46 40 35 34 600mb GPH (m): 4192 4189 4170 4133 4068 4027 3991 3966 3950 3937 3907 600mb Temp (C): -11.9 -12.4 -10.7 -8.2 -8.3 -10.4 -13.3 -17.7 -20.4 -21.2 -24.6 600mb Dewpt(C): -27.5 -12.5 -11.7 -9.1 -9.3 -13.8 -28.9 -27.7 -58.9 -52.0 -50.2 600mb RH (%): 27 99 93 93 92 76 26 42 2 5 8 600mb Dir: 231 235 220 206 260 252 263 256 259 246 245 600mb Speed(kt): 63 54 40 44 33 38 39 50 41 41 40 575mb GPH (m): 4517 4512 4496 4462 4397 4353 4314 4283 4264 4250 4216 575mb Temp (C): -12.9 -14.9 -12.7 -10.4 -10.8 -12.5 -15.6 -19.0 -21.6 -22.6 -25.3 575mb Dewpt(C): -44.3 -15.5 -14.0 -11.4 -12.0 -16.4 -29.5 -32.9 -50.5 -48.4 -48.5 575mb RH (%): 6 95 90 93 91 72 30 29 6 8 10 575mb Dir: 231 237 223 204 263 244 258 253 258 245 243 575mb Speed(kt): 64 60 42 41 34 40 41 54 43 47 44 550mb GPH (m): 4854 4847 4834 4803 4738 4691 4648 4613 4591 4575 4538 550mb Temp (C): -15.4 -16.8 -15.1 -12.7 -13.0 -15.0 -17.9 -20.5 -23.0 -25.1 -26.9 550mb Dewpt(C): -43.7 -17.8 -16.6 -13.8 -14.5 -19.6 -29.1 -36.5 -51.8 -49.6 -51.4 550mb RH (%): 7 92 89 91 89 69 38 23 6 9 9 550mb Dir: 233 236 228 208 262 236 253 250 253 246 242 550mb Speed(kt): 63 65 47 40 31 41 43 55 48 48 47 525mb GPH (m): 5204 5196 5185 5157 5090 5041 4994 4956 4930 4911 4872 525mb Temp (C): -18.1 -18.9 -17.7 -15.3 -15.2 -17.6 -20.3 -22.4 -25.3 -27.5 -29.1 525mb Dewpt(C): -42.5 -20.6 -19.6 -16.4 -16.9 -22.8 -28.4 -35.6 -52.4 -52.1 -51.9 525mb RH (%): 11 87 85 91 87 64 49 30 7 9 10 525mb Dir: 235 234 230 211 250 230 246 248 249 245 241 525mb Speed(kt): 63 68 52 41 26 42 45 54 51 49 50 500mb GPH (m): 5566 5557 5547 5522 5458 5404 5353 5312 5281 5260 5218 500mb Temp (C): -20.7 -21.1 -20.3 -18.3 -17.2 -20.1 -22.4 -24.9 -28.0 -29.7 -31.4 500mb Dewpt(C): -41.4 -23.4 -22.7 -19.6 -19.2 -26.5 -29.0 -33.1 -54.1 -56.6 -50.7 500mb RH (%): 15 82 82 89 84 57 56 48 7 6 14 500mb Dir: 236 232 228 211 221 226 239 247 247 243 241 500mb Speed(kt): 63 70 55 42 24 44 44 52 54 52 53 475mb GPH (m): 5942 5933 5925 5903 5840 5781 5728 5682 5648 5623 5579 475mb Temp (C): -23.3 -23.6 -22.6 -21.0 -19.7 -23.4 -24.3 -27.7 -30.2 -32.1 -33.9 475mb Dewpt(C): -42.8 -25.8 -25.1 -22.5 -21.6 -33.1 -34.3 -36.7 -57.5 -56.0 -52.8 475mb RH (%): 16 82 81 88 86 41 40 43 6 8 14 475mb Dir: 237 230 223 210 207 223 236 245 245 241 241 475mb Speed(kt): 63 70 58 43 30 46 41 51 58 57 54 450mb GPH (m): 6336 6327 6320 6300 6240 6174 6120 6069 6030 6003 5956 450mb Temp (C): -25.5 -25.9 -24.7 -23.8 -22.4 -27.2 -27.5 -30.7 -32.6 -34.4 -36.1 450mb Dewpt(C): -43.1 -28.4 -27.1 -25.3 -23.9 -38.1 -40.8 -41.6 -52.5 -51.6 -54.0 450mb RH (%): 19 80 81 87 88 36 28 35 13 17 16 450mb Dir: 237 228 220 205 195 227 234 244 244 239 242 450mb Speed(kt): 63 71 63 52 31 48 41 50 62 64 56 425mb GPH (m): 6749 6739 6735 6716 6657 6583 6528 6472 6431 6401 6351 425mb Temp (C): -28.4 -27.9 -27.2 -27.4 -25.3 -30.7 -31.1 -34.0 -35.3 -36.8 -38.0 425mb Dewpt(C): -38.2 -30.7 -29.8 -29.3 -27.1 -42.9 -44.8 -47.1 -51.9 -51.4 -55.7 425mb RH (%): 40 78 79 84 85 30 26 27 18 22 15 425mb Dir: 238 228 217 208 194 224 233 243 244 239 243 425mb Speed(kt): 63 77 66 54 36 51 41 50 66 69 57 400mb GPH (m): 7180 7172 7168 7147 7094 7009 6954 6893 6850 6817 6766 400mb Temp (C): -31.5 -30.3 -30.2 -31.5 -28.7 -33.6 -34.7 -37.1 -38.2 -39.4 -39.6 400mb Dewpt(C): -35.9 -33.3 -33.0 -34.2 -31.4 -47.0 -46.4 -52.6 -53.4 -53.5 -59.6 400mb RH (%): 65 76 78 77 78 26 31 20 20 23 11 400mb Dir: 237 227 215 209 202 215 233 242 243 239 243 400mb Speed(kt): 64 87 67 54 42 56 43 51 67 72 59 375mb GPH (m): 7633 7628 7623 7600 7551 7459 7400 7335 7290 7256 7206 375mb Temp (C): -34.5 -33.2 -33.9 -34.9 -32.8 -36.1 -38.3 -39.8 -41.0 -41.9 -41.0 375mb Dewpt(C): -38.4 -36.4 -36.9 -38.0 -36.1 -53.2 -49.1 -59.1 -56.5 -56.7 -63.2 375mb RH (%): 69 74 75 74 72 17 33 12 19 20 8 375mb Dir: 234 226 211 201 210 203 236 242 243 239 243 375mb Speed(kt): 66 97 69 61 49 67 45 55 68 74 61 350mb GPH (m): 8112 8109 8103 8079 8033 7935 7871 7804 7757 7720 7674 350mb Temp (C): -37.9 -36.7 -36.6 -37.2 -37.1 -38.4 -41.7 -41.9 -42.8 -43.9 -42.2 350mb Dewpt(C): -41.6 -40.0 -39.7 -40.5 -40.9 -56.8 -52.8 -64.0 -60.5 -61.1 -65.0 350mb RH (%): 69 72 73 73 69 14 31 8 14 15 8 350mb Dir: 234 227 205 200 212 197 238 242 243 239 244 350mb Speed(kt): 75 99 79 76 57 74 46 60 70 74 63 325mb GPH (m): 8618 8617 8613 8587 8540 8441 8370 8304 8255 8216 8173 325mb Temp (C): -41.7 -41.2 -40.1 -40.4 -41.5 -41.6 -44.6 -43.7 -44.2 -45.0 -43.6 325mb Dewpt(C): -45.3 -44.5 -43.3 -43.8 -45.4 -61.5 -59.7 -68.2 -64.3 -65.6 -67.1 325mb RH (%): 69 71 72 71 67 11 19 6 10 10 7 325mb Dir: 237 227 207 199 208 195 236 241 243 239 245 325mb Speed(kt): 82 101 91 86 68 78 49 63 72 73 63 300mb GPH (m): 9156 9156 9154 9128 9077 8980 8903 8840 8790 8750 8709 300mb Temp (C): -45.7 -45.8 -44.7 -44.7 -46.4 -45.3 -46.9 -45.8 -45.4 -45.8 -44.9 300mb Dewpt(C): -49.3 -49.3 -47.9 -48.1 -50.3 -63.9 -66.8 -68.5 -66.9 -69.4 -69.7 300mb RH (%): 68 69 71 70 65 12 10 7 8 6 5 300mb Dir: 241 229 212 205 206 195 232 238 242 240 246 300mb Speed(kt): 97 103 95 92 78 81 47 62 69 69 61 275mb GPH (m): 9731 9729 9730 9705 9649 9556 9476 9415 9368 9328 9289 275mb Temp (C): -49.9 -50.5 -49.7 -50.4 -51.6 -48.8 -49.1 -48.1 -46.7 -46.2 -45.7 275mb Dewpt(C): -53.8 -54.3 -53.2 -53.7 -55.5 -66.4 -68.5 -70.0 -69.9 -74.4 -71.5 275mb RH (%): 65 66 68 69 65 13 10 7 7 3 5 275mb Dir: 246 231 220 211 206 196 223 231 240 240 246 275mb Speed(kt): 113 108 101 98 83 84 47 60 63 64 57 250mb GPH (m): 10347 10343 10346 10317 10259 10176 10098 10040 9998 9960 9923 250mb Temp (C): -54.5 -55.1 -55.3 -56.6 -56.4 -52.4 -50.9 -50.2 -48.0 -46.7 -46.2 250mb Dewpt(C): -58.6 -59.1 -58.8 -60.1 -61.0 -69.1 -69.5 -74.0 -75.7 -82.3 -78.3 250mb RH (%): 62 63 66 66 58 13 11 5 3 1 2 250mb Dir: 246 233 225 215 206 198 215 225 232 239 244 250mb Speed(kt): 125 117 115 103 82 84 53 65 59 59 54 225mb GPH (m): 11013 11008 11008 10975 10921 10851 10780 10725 10690 10657 10621 225mb Temp (C): -59.7 -60.3 -61.3 -61.4 -59.3 -55.2 -52.5 -50.8 -49.3 -47.5 -46.8 225mb Dewpt(C): -63.8 -64.1 -64.7 -64.1 -66.2 -71.1 -69.9 -76.6 -79.0 -84.6 -98.4 225mb RH (%): 61 63 65 72 43 14 12 4 2 1 0 225mb Dir: 244 233 228 218 203 204 215 230 231 238 244 225mb Speed(kt): 141 134 123 104 84 79 60 74 67 59 54 200mb GPH (m): 11738 11731 11728 11698 11657 11600 11539 11491 11460 11432 11399 200mb Temp (C): -65.2 -65.4 -66.1 -64.8 -59.2 -55.7 -52.9 -51.1 -50.4 -48.9 -48.1 200mb Dewpt(C): -68.0 -68.7 -67.9 -67.4 -70.4 -73.3 -74.7 -81.9 -86.0 -84.6 -115.6 200mb RH (%): 70 66 80 72 25 11 7 2 1 1 0 200mb Dir: 247 238 232 220 211 216 224 240 241 241 245 200mb Speed(kt): 154 146 120 104 96 77 64 74 73 61 55 175mb GPH (m): 12548 12542 12536 12512 12495 12450 12399 12357 12328 12305 12276 175mb Temp (C): -65.6 -64.9 -65.2 -64.0 -58.6 -55.7 -53.8 -52.2 -51.5 -50.6 -49.3 175mb Dewpt(C): -71.0 -71.0 -71.4 -72.0 -73.5 -77.1 -82.0 -87.2 -86.3 -94.6 -116.6 175mb RH (%): 50 46 45 36 15 7 3 1 1 0 0 175mb Dir: 252 246 238 230 225 226 233 240 246 245 245 175mb Speed(kt): 133 127 119 112 90 74 67 65 65 59 55 150mb GPH (m): 13490 13486 13484 13463 13461 13428 13384 13349 13326 13306 13283 150mb Temp (C): -63.3 -63.3 -62.1 -61.1 -59.5 -57.4 -55.8 -54.0 -52.5 -51.8 -50.5 150mb Dewpt(C): -76.7 -76.7 -77.3 -82.6 -83.9 -89.2 -89.5 -118.5 -76.5 -76.0 -74.9 150mb RH (%): 17 17 14 6 4 1 1 0 0 0 5 150mb Dir: 255 252 248 240 230 228 233 237 238 244 242 150mb Speed(kt): 109 110 108 99 82 71 62 67 63 58 56 125mb GPH (m): 14612 14607 14610 14595 14595 14571 14539 14516 14501 14485 14468 125mb Temp (C): -62.2 -62.6 -62.1 -61.1 -61.3 -60.0 -57.5 -55.3 -53.4 -52.7 -51.9 125mb Dewpt(C): -86.1 -87.9 -90.1 -93.9 -100.1 -98.6 -90.7 -88.7 -118.2 -76.6 -76.0 125mb RH (%): 4 3 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 125mb Dir: 255 253 247 240 231 229 232 241 245 247 248 125mb Speed(kt): 92 93 87 86 83 80 73 58 55 53 53 100mb GPH (m): 15991 15985 15988 15979 15978 15963 15946 15929 15926 15918 15904 100mb Temp (C): -61.5 -61.4 -61.3 -60.7 -60.9 -59.6 -57.7 -58.0 -56.7 -55.2 -54.8 100mb Dewpt(C): -89.5 -89.5 -89.4 -89.5 -91.7 -92.4 -91.0 -91.3 -90.3 -89.1 -89.0 100mb RH (%): 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100mb Dir: 261 258 250 246 244 242 244 243 245 248 248 100mb Speed(kt): 74 69 69 73 77 75 61 50 42 42 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More 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jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Dover DE radar looks amazing. This is what the coast has to cash in overnight and bring dynamics in to keep the mix line out as long as possible. There could be some nice totals quickly if the snow shield stays the way it is now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 9 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Let's not forget that the King showed a ton of snow for everyone at 12z. Unless you live in far Eastern LI I wouldn't be worried. That's true....but that run was 12 hours ago when the data ingested had slight differences than what it will be ingesting on the 00z run. I'm very interested to see the output.. These models running now, may not bne as good as the EURO, but they have the advantage of having a 12 hour more recent " view" of things, and cannot be taken lightly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Since 1969 in NYC when I experienced the Lindsay Snowstorm and everything up until now I have noticed this: Huge snowstorms and their Original prognosticated potential for a given area usually deliver rather than disappoint. I believe this storm will deliver to the original promised locations and surprise others too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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