swamplover56 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Rgem is def colder than the nam all I wanted to see. Banding will end up where it may no model is going to pin that down 10 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Guys, please use the banter thread for stuff like your local C-Town and the rotten food it sells. And anything else not this storm related. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, swamplover56 said: Rgem is def colder than the nam all I wanted to see. Banding will end up where it may no model is going to pin that down 10 hours out Yeah no mixing through 12z for anyone north of 195 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, swamplover56 said: Rgem is def colder than the nam all I wanted to see. Banding will end up where it may no model is going to pin that down 10 hours out Pretty bad track though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 RGEM looked like a nice thump of snow before the changeover. Much better than NAM, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Wow the RGEM absolutely crushes NEPA/NWNJ/SENY with VERY heavy banding. 4-6" per hour I would think Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 NAM disagrees with its own parallel model, all other guidance, and initialized the low west of its current position. Regardless of what TWC's double-secret private model (with no verification scores) says, I'm taking the over on 14" for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Also, anything Weather Channel or any weathercaster related, please use the vendor thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 RGEM is much colder than the NAM, though the track is somewhat similar. Definitely a shift west with the low, but definitely colder than the NAM. North central NJ gets in on the subsidence-- lucky them. Best banding appears over NE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: RGEM is much colder than the NAM, though the track is somewhat similar. Definitely a shift west with the low, but definitely colder than the NAM. North central NJ gets in on the subsidence-- lucky them. Best banding appears over NE PA. What do you mean by subsidence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCGreg Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 It is going to be fun to see which models bust and which ones verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, mikeysed said: What do you mean by subsidence? The rgem is showing a monster band in northwest nj and in north east pa, when you have a mega band when your next to it like we are it sucks all the energy out of the area. Lot of modeling is showing this lately but take it with a grain of salt at this point it will prob jump around a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, mikeysed said: What do you mean by subsidence? it's an area of lighter precip caused by sinking air-usually next to a big band of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, swamplover56 said: The rgem is showing a monster band in northwest nj and in north east pa, when you have a mega band when your next to it like we are it sucks all the energy out of the area. Lot of modeling is showing this lately but take it with a grain of salt at this point it will prob jump around a bit. Ah ok thanks for the explanation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The RGEM showed about 14" in the City and more than two feet of snow across parts of the Hudson Valley (>25" at POU). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 RGEM crushes interior... city gets slammed with some mix on the tail end.. can't see for certain tho on the RGEM page, poor resolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 The RGEM is gorgeous North of Rt 80. Looks like it puts the I-78 corridor into some subsidence and mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: The rgem is showing a monster band in northwest nj and in north east pa, when you have a mega band when your next to it like we are it sucks all the energy out of the area. Lot of modeling is showing this lately but take it with a grain of salt at this point it will prob jump around a bit. I also heard in valley areas there will be snow shadowing because an east wind downslopes there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 38 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Thank you, this is what's important right now not the stupid Nam. Some people just like to see pretty charts instead of practicing real meteorology. I really really really like the fact that the low is east of what the models have. Great sign. I still think this thing wants to find the largest temp gradient which is out by the Gulf Stream. There is a reason so many historical tracks are out there and so few tucked into ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The RGEM showed about 14" in the City and more than two feet of snow across parts of the Hudson Valley (>25" at POU). Don, what do you make of the low track? Do you think it's too cold at the surface on the RGEM given a track like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: I also heard in valley areas there will be snow shadowing because an east wind downslopes there It's nearly impossible to predict where local subsidence areas will be until the snow is there. Did you head up to the Poconos? That should be an area up for 20"+ I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2z hrrr looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 0z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 Just now, jm1220 said: It's nearly impossible to predict where local subsidence areas will be until the snow is there. Did you head up to the Poconos? That should be an area up for 20"+ I think. yeah I'm up by Bear Creek in the Southern Poconos, just north of Allentown in Carbon County. Hope I can make it back home tomorrow night because I only got the one day off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 1 minute ago, mimillman said: Don, what do you make of the low track? Do you think it's too cold at the surface on the RGEM given a track like that? The intense dynamics may be leading to that outcome. It seems that the RGEM, 3 km parallel NAM, and at least through the 1z HRRR were in reasonable agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 this cut totals for so me...central jersey looks 8-12 now, coming in line with some of the nam maps and even Goldberg was cutting totals a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 0z RGEM I still like 12-18" in NYC just like I did 14 hours ago. I think that you're going to see a very sharp gradient South of Rt 78 in NJ and East of the Queens/Nassau line, though I still think many on LI will see up to a foot if not slightly more. I'm banking on the insane dynamics over powering the warm air aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 8 minutes ago, Paragon said: yeah I'm up by Bear Creek in the Southern Poconos, just north of Allentown in Carbon County. Hope I can make it back home tomorrow night because I only got the one day off. Later in the day I'd assume I-80 should be alright. Definitely take pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 I think most would gladly take this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 14, 2017 Share Posted March 14, 2017 4 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I still like 12-18" in NYC just like I did 14 hours ago. I think that you're going to see a very sharp gradient South of Rt 78 in NJ and East of the Queens/Nassau line, though I still think many on LI will see up to a foot if not slightly more. I'm banking on the insane dynamics over powering the warm air aloft. What do you think about the city being split? Looks like models are saying more in the Bronx/UM than Brooklyn/Queens/LM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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