NEG NAO Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 The time has come to open a new thread as all models have been on board for a major potential for many runs in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I know this should belong in the vendor thread but since it is specific to this storm I wanted to post it here. From John (Earthlight) https://www.nymetroweather.com/2017/03/10/increasing-potential-significant-snowstorm-next-week/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I know this should belong in the vendor thread but since it is specific to this storm I wanted to post it here. From John (Earthlight)https://www.nymetroweather.com/2017/03/10/increasing-potential-significant-snowstorm-next-week/Didn't say all that much tbh Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, USCG RS said: Didn't say all that much tbh Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk And probably pretty smart, he is just laying out the potential. Did you expect specific details at this range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 No, not at all. I just appreciate more when he goes into specifics. He always has good insight Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N920A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 This run will be better... the NS energy is slower, allowing the SS energy to move farther in front. 18z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Ownage at 90. Further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, Morris said: Ownage at 90. Further east. Don't be fooled. It's not further East, just an illusion. The coastal just takes over faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: Don't be fooled. It's not further East, just an illusion. The coastal just takes over faster. This run is colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 See, the storm still ends up over SNE In nearly the same spot as 12z, it's slower with the track and the coastal takes over much sooner thanks to the improvements at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Again, nearly identical to 12z, just slower and deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Pure porn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 6-10 for NYC on the GFS 12+ for western areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just an amazing run, especially from the city and points West. Track looks like February 25, 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 8 minutes ago, Morris said: Ownage at 90. Further east. I think I might enjoy reading about this stuff more than the actual storm....less backbreaking for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: 6-10 for NYC on the GFS 12+ for western areas Wasn't the GFS the least snowy for the city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Thats an odd track to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 i think the gfs is completely out to lunch. the southern wave is so quick to be absorbed by the PV lobe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 No snowmaps from this point forward. Post them in the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I95 is the 6" line it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: i think the gfs is completely out to lunch. the southern wave is so quick to be absorbed by the PV lobe Ok, be good enough to explain why that doesnt make physical sense. I know the combination of the Euro, EPS and Ukie is very solid so I know the GFS is being stubborn in its lack of comprehension of the info but why wouldnt the southern wave be absorbed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, forkyfork said: No snowmaps from this point forward. Post them in the banter thread. This Just now, Stormlover74 said: I95 is the 6" line it appears. Because of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3/4/2001 is the #7 analog. Honestly, the setup at H5 isn't far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: 3/4/2001 is the #7 analog. Honestly, the setup at H5 isn't far off. That just gave me chills but I am not seeing the sling shot effect of the Miller B at play, which is what destroyed what was supposed to be an HECS for NY back then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, nyblizz44 said: Ok, be good enough to explain why that doesnt make physical sense. I know the combination of the Euro, EPS and Ukie is very solid so I know the GFS is being stubborn in its lack of comprehension of the info but why wouldnt the southern wave be absorbed? UKIE goes over land in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, nesussxwx said: UKIE goes over land in SNE. Yea ukie is nothing like euro, more towards GFS if anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, nyblizz44 said: That just gave me chills but I am not seeing the sling shot effect of the Miller B at play, which is what destroyed what was supposed to be an HECS for NY back then Sure about that, look at the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, nyblizz44 said: That just gave me chills but I am not seeing the sling shot effect of the Miller B at play, which is what destroyed what was supposed to be an HECS for NY back then Hopefully that isn't what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 3/4/2001 is the #7 analog. Honestly, the setup at H5 isn't far off. ::Closes eyes and covers ears:: In all seriousness, there are some similarities there. I'm cautiously optimistic about this one, but I stress "cautiously." Model trends are in our favor, but they've fooled us before and, given this happy medium we must reach between a miss and a full phase, I think the chances for disappointment are higher than the excitement in here lets on. All in all, we should be thrilled that we have such a beastly threat to track this late into the season, but we should keep our expectations tempered appropriately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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