MillvilleWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, Wxhoov said: Haha no its fine! and yeah thats what i was kinda figuring. Just be nice to have alittle something to hold us over till tuesday I think an inch or two is in play for you and Mappy (Most likely an inch). She's right about accumulations being mainly on the grassy and shaded areas. By the afternoon, snow will be melting away again due to the March sun angle, but watch out for potential snow squalls in the PM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, Wxhoov said: Haha no its fine! and yeah thats what i was kinda figuring. Just be nice to have alittle something to hold us over till tuesday I'm not getting my hopes up for anything more than a slushy inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 HRRR lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 HRRR lolThrew in all its chips, LOL.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Threw in all its chips, LOL. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I think the 3K NAM is still in the HRRR camp... Bob's rightful warning re. dodgy temp profiles notwithstanding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 45 minutes ago, gymengineer said: Yeah I did. I'm not talking about whether it's going to snow tomorrow. I was simply affirming your sentence to wait for the 18Z and see if they hold, which would be a good thing. Oh, my bad. Yeah, we are warm, but the dewpoint thoughts have a lot of merit. We can cool really quickly from where we are now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 FWIW, latest NAM is quite a bit more wintry than the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 those 4 inch ground temperatures are taking a beating today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: FWIW, latest NAM is quite a bit more wintry than the 12z run. wetter too. .2 vs barely .1 for me .2 vs a trace for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: FWIW, latest NAM is quite a bit more wintry than the 12z run. Around the 10th of February when everything was warm I scheduled tomorrow off of work to do some outside work at my daughter's house. I mean, hell, I figured then we'd be in the 80's by early March, right? Now this. I don't care, I'll be outside, just not in a suit, but I'll be outside working in it.....sob of a bast***, &$%#@%(&^#^(*&%^$#%$&* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just have to hope temps drop. Temps in the mid 30s at 9z, to 32/33 by 12z when precip is falling. dews right at freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I think this is actually pretty reasonable given temps. Places north along the line hover right at freezing the entire time, with dews dropping into upper 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxhoov Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: I think this is actually pretty reasonable given temps. Places north along the line hover right at freezing the entire time, with dews dropping into upper 20s. Id be surprised if nws dont put up wwa for pa mason dixon counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 1 minute ago, Wxhoov said: Id be surprised if nws dont put up wwa for pa mason dixon counties Snow falling during rush hour -- yeah most likely WWA will go up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, Wxhoov said: Id be surprised if nws dont put up wwa for pa mason dixon counties They didnt seem to have any inclination to with their afternoon discussion. I think models are overdoing this. But thats my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, mappy said: I think this is actually pretty reasonable given temps. Places north along the line hover right at freezing the entire time, with dews dropping into upper 20s. I agree. I don't think I see anything but melting pancakes down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 4 minutes ago, mappy said: I think this is actually pretty reasonable given temps. Places north along the line hover right at freezing the entire time, with dews dropping into upper 20s. Hard to nail something like this down. 2 diff in temps and you go from none to twice that for the M/D line on south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Hard to nail something like this down. 2 diff in temps and you go from none to twice that for the M/D line on south. Well sure. North Korea could fire a nuke too and we would all be ****ed. BUT the map I posted is reasonable, if things happen the way the 4km NAM is suggesting. I didn't think I had to spell that out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, mappy said: Well sure. North Korea could fire a nuke too and we would all be ****ed. BUT the map I posted is reasonable, if things happen the way the 4km NAM is suggesting. I didn't think I had to spell that out I was agreeing with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Despite that pretty HRRR map posted, the HRRR doesnt have BWI below 35F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I was agreeing with you. were you? seemed like you were criticizing my post. If that's the case, then yes! could go really good, or really bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, mappy said: were you? seemed like you were criticizing my post. If that's the case, then yes! could go really good, or really bad. I'm never really critical of anybody's postings. Sorry you thought that. I guess I'm too lazy to be really communicative when typing. What I was saying is yes, while reasonable, if the models are off by just a tiny bit, we might get a surprise, good or bad. Let's hope for the good. At least you have to like the trends (modeled trends that is). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 3 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Despite that pretty HRRR map posted, the HRRR doesnt have BWI below 35F. I've been saying that south of I-70 is going to have a hard time getting any accumulation outside areas like Damascus and Parrs Ridge. Snow will fall IMO, but it'll be a nuisance, especially during the time of it changing over possibly around peak rush hour. That'll be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I'm never really critical of anybody's postings. Sorry you thought that. I guess I'm too lazy to be really communicative when typing. What I was saying is yes, while reasonable, if the models are off by just a tiny bit, we might get a surprise, good or bad. Let's hope for the good. At least you have to like the trends (modeled trends that is). No worries, friend 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I was impressed by how swift you were at cutting down potential sources of dissent. Nah, wasn't like that at all. I misread his post. We are cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: I know. I was (kinda) kidding ha, kinda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 LOL, I just hope model performance for tonight is better than a North Korean missle. If not, we wake up to partly cloudy and low 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 9, 2017 Author Share Posted March 9, 2017 18z RGEM and 3k NAM came in much drier overall than the 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxhoov Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Oh god now the weather channel is naming 4 inch clipper systems lol guys this is now reggie haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 GFS is a bit slower than 12z GFS thru 12 hrs...thats another potential problem...if a changeover waits until sunrise..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 2 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: GFS is a bit slower than 12z GFS thru 12 hrs...thats another potential problem...if a changeover waits until sunrise..... Just stop. Go to banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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