franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Don't get your hopes up too much. It's been snowing up the mountain for most of the day and it's not accumulating anywhere except for car hoods and grass, and even that only started happening about an hour ago. 2" may fall from the sky but a trace is all you're probably going to get on the ground. The ground temps are just scorching. Lol... same here. Gonna have to scrap some off the truck to throw snowballs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, griteater said: So sneaky Mack - for you I'm still going with trace flakes up to 1/2 inch in your locale....we shall see You vs Isohomey! Death match Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said: Lol... same here. Gonna have to scrap some off the truck to throw snowballs. Rates haven't been that good though have they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Current NC temps for those of you keeping score Temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Shoot we just have drizzle here in the lee of the blue ridge at 38.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: Rates haven't been that good though have they? They've been good here for about 3 or 4 hours now and we've had bursts all day. I assume your ground temps are warmer than ours. Yours will start in the cooler part of the day however I doubt it'll make a difference unless it begins to cool rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, griteater said: Rates haven't been that good though have they? No, can't get that hard sustained burst to coat the ground. Meager rates with a warm ground is a losing battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 8 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Don't get your hopes up too much. It's been snowing up the mountain for most of the day and it's not accumulating anywhere except for car hoods and grass, and even that only started happening about an hour ago. 2" may fall from the sky but a trace is all you're probably going to get on the ground. The ground temps are just scorching. If rates are like the HRRR depicting, it will be way heavier than the mountains have seen, but whether it's rain or snow, is the bigger question here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: If rates are like the HRRR depicting, it will be way heavier than the mountains have seen, but whether it's rain or snow, is the bigger question here Your ground temps are way warmer than the mountains too so what you gain in rates will only have to make up in cooling the ground. And even so, rates or not, the models are still spitting out higher accumulations up the hill. Not trying to poo poo on the party, just giving a realistic assessment of what is happening right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Your ground temps are way warmer than the mountains too so what you gain in rates will only have to make up in cooling the ground. And even so, rates or not, the models are still spitting out higher accumulations up the hill. Not trying to poo poo on the party, just giving a realistic assessment of what is happening right now. I'm staying in Maggie Valley tonight to get some laps up on Cat in the morning, and you are spot on with your assessment. Its 25 outside and struggling to accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, J.C. said: I'm staying in Maggie Valley tonight to get some laps up on Cat in the morning, and you are spot on with your assessment. Its 25 outside and struggling to accumulate. Just not enough time to cool the soil from the 60° temps we've had the last 2 weeks. It might eventually begin to stick but the bulk of what's falling is being used to actually try and cool the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Just not enough time to cool the soil from the 60° temps we've had the last 2 weeks. It might eventually begin to stick but the bulk of what's falling is being used to actually try and cool the ground. Yep, and it isn't even trying to stick to the roads at this point, which is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 We might have had 4 inches fall but the ground is bare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Losing atleast half and heaviest QPF to rain! Par for the course! I'd rather be in Wake county! This blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 So this is what it's like to live in SC? Winter storm warning and no snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Just now, franklin NCwx said: So this is what it's like to live in SC? Winter storm warning and no snow on the ground. only those that live south of I-85 in the Upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said: So this is what it's like to live in SC? Winter storm warning and no snow on the ground. The upstate anyways, lol. Don't forget all the whiners in Wake County, NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Am I missing something or does the precip look to exit southwest NC within the hour? Is there supposed to be some re-developing? #confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: Am I missing something or does the precip look to exit southwest NC within the hour? Is there supposed to be some re-developing? #confused yes, precip will begin to develop over the next 3-4 hrs or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 3 minutes ago, neatlburbwthrguy said: Am I missing something or does the precip look to exit southwest NC within the hour? Is there supposed to be some re-developing? #confused There should be some redevelopment but im afraid this is a big bust for most if not all warning and advisory areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 2 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: yes, precip will begin to develop over the next 3-4 hrs or so. Cool. I'm in Sapphire NC. At this point I'd be happy with 1-2 inches from the 3-4 predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Up here in Saluda NC about 3/4 of an inch with moderate snow... temps have dropped from 34.4 to 32.6 in about half an hour... ground is covered but not the roads, yet...Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Was 32 over 23 at PGV so we got plenty of cold here but unless that main area of lift is 50-75 miles further north as it comes towards the coast it will be wasted.....HRRR has snow over MBY for 6 hrs with no accumulation and a total of .05" of QPF....not sure why the models lull the heavier band as it moves east either seems like it should maintain at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 The NAM and HRRR show the best precip of this whole system developing along the NC/SC border and thru the upstate in the 2-6AM timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 4 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Was 32 over 23 at PGV so we got plenty of cold here but unless that main area of lift is 50-75 miles further north as it comes towards the coast it will be wasted.....HRRR has snow over MBY for 6 hrs with no accumulation and a total of .05" of QPF....not sure why the models lull the heavier band as it moves east either seems like it should maintain at the very least. The NAM has the warm advection overrunning staying mainly in SC....it's like it's moving on a WNW to ESE trajectory thru SC as opposed to hooking to the NE....500mb wave just didn't sharpen for us enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 You can see the impulse coming in on this loop... http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=goes-west_goes-east/geir304&width=640&height=480 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 Looks like Greenville-Spartanburg NWS is targeting the NC/SC border area(s) as the place where all the action will go down. They are increasing totals there and scaling DOWN the totals in the WARNING AREA(s). This means that I may fare a little better, however, i feel bad for my friends up in the high country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 1 minute ago, Rankin5150 said: Looks like Greenville-Spartanburg NWS is targeting the NC/SC border area(s) as the place where all the action will go down. They are increasing totals there and scaling DOWN the totals in the WARNING AREA(s). This means that I may fare a little better, however, i feel bad for my friends up in the high country. I'm 11 miles north of nc/sc border in Sapphire how does it look for me? I'm staying up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 I highly doubt anyone outside of elevation gets more than an grassy inch or 2 out of this. But if that band can get going towards Charlotte maybe they can be some surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 12, 2017 Share Posted March 12, 2017 yep, doesn't look good for Asheville, the radar doesn't look impressive, need something to enhance the snowfall but I don't know if there is anything to do that. I think this one is done with maybe a half inch if we're lucky, heck it snowed harder yesterday afternoon when it wasn't suppose to snow that it looks like it will snow all night, its coming down heavier right now but radar west of here looks like it won't last all night. guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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