mackerel_sky Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Somebody look at the 0z paranormal NAM! Congrats CAE and that Burrell snow hole is sick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 25 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: ill take being just north of the heaviest snow totals 60 hrs out every day of the week. love where we are right now. Like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Somebody look at the 0z paranormal NAM! Congrats CAE and that Burrell snow hole is sick! looks good for you to my eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, SN_Lover said: Someone is understanding.... Someone from Roanoke, Virginia.... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Somebody look at the 0z paranormal NAM! Congrats CAE and that Burrell snow hole is sick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 1 minute ago, DopplerWx said: looks good for you to my eye. I need the rain snow line to be in CAE, just so I don't get rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Well that's way worse than the last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, burrel2 said: Someone from Roanoke, Virginia.... lol Guys listen. It is the 84 hr NAM lmao!! The northern stream energy is in a great position for where you would like to see a phase start to happen for our neck of the woods (NC & VA). Problem is unless that southern energy is progged to be strong you would want to see the energy get held back more and induce an earlier phase otherwise the southern stream may keep on trucking. A stronger southern stream could have the potential to go Miller A with the backside northern stream energy going negative and allowing it to turn up the coast. Lots of variables with temps etc.. but its a good start to see the NAM actually has a damn clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 For the newbies on the board these phasing events are incredible to watch. It is like a well oiled machine, in which all the working parts have to come together just right to induce the storm. Pay close attention in a little bit to what the 0Z suite does with the southern energy back in and around Texas. It will be telling. 12z was a start in the rigjt direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Guys listen. It is the 84 hr NAM lmao!! The northern stream energy is in a great position for where you would like to see a phase start to happen for our neck of the woods (NC & VA). Problem is unless that southern energy is progged to be strong you would want to see the energy get held back more and induce an earlier phase otherwise the southern stream may keep on trucking. A stronger southern stream could have the potential to go Miller A with the backside northern stream energy going negative and allowing it to turn up the coast. Lots of variables with temps etc.. but its a good start to see the NAM actually has a damn clue. There's no doubt that you are in a good spot with the way things are trending for the Monday night/Tuesday storm. Eastern NC.... not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 18z DWD ICON was just stray flurries across NC 18z French model looks pretty similar to the NAM at the end of its run (hr60) All we got right now is the powerhouse French/NAM combo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 There's no doubt that you are in a good spot with the way things are trending for the Monday night/Tuesday storm. Eastern NC.... not so much. I can agree with you there lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 I suspect that the NAM is the best we're going to do until 12z tomorrow. Nite, y'all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 There's no doubt that you are in a good spot with the way things are trending for the Monday night/Tuesday storm. Eastern NC.... not so much. Nobody said RDU is in a climo favored area for this setup. And I even said that in my previous postings. READ. Also, putting a guess on a ptype for next week is downright insane after we haven't even gotten through these next two SW's. End rant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Nobody said RDU is in a climo favored area for this setup. And I even said that in my previous postings. READ. Also, putting a guess on a ptype for next week is downright insane after we haven't even gotten through these next two SW's. End rant. You posted a pic of the 84hr NAM with all the 5h vorts circled and a snowy window emoji..... There was no text for me to READ. I can only assume by your snowy window emoji that you were extrapolating lots of snow in your back yard due to the triple phasing potential; when in reality it most likely means rain for your back yard, (but yea, maybe I'm downright insane). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 You posted a pic of the 84hr NAM with all the 5h vorts circled and a snowy window emoji..... There was no text for me to READ. I can only assume by your snowy window emoji that you were extrapolating lots of snow in your back yard due to the triple phasing potential; when in reality it most likely means rain for your back yard, (but yea, maybe I'm downright insane). Maybe read my previous postings instead of going on the attack next time. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 GFS looks to be a little more expansive with the precip field at 57 as it heads over the NC mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Could the ATL somehow cash in with this event? Sure. Find someone there that thinks it will snow and bet them $100 that it won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 near identical to the 18z run, rdu just north of the main precip. still snows and temps look good down to the sc/nc border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 near identical to the 18z run, rdu just north of the main precip. still snows and temps look good down to the sc/nc border. Energy appeared a tad sharper and consolidated around 54-60 hours but may be splitting hairs at this point. Let's see what cmc brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Time for the big players to step into the batters box now (foreignmodels). See if the ukmet can knock it out of the park tonight. Rooting for the big dog, enough of this overrunning first wave mess. If we miss and get a inch of cold rain then so be it and spring can just continue on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 GFS walking closer to the Euro/CMC camp. Sharper trough, more phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Sure. Find someone there that thinks it will snow and bet them $100 that it won't. That's too funny OMG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 GFS walking closer to the Euro/CMC camp. Sharper trough, more phasing. Wow, it is so close man. That 96hr frame at 5h is awesome. Precip fields show why. Got a good feeling about this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Mountains get raked this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 MECS/HECS headed up the coast. Just need it to phase a wee bit earlier for my neck of the woods and the NC mountains. GFS produced the goods tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Wow, it is so close man. That 96hr frame at 5h is awesome. Precip fields show why. Got a good feeling about this one. Big time for southern New England, I would be a little worried in the coastal Mid Atlantic with this look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Good step towards the CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 10, 2017 Author Share Posted March 10, 2017 Need it to phase sooner!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Need it to phase sooner!! No expert here but wouldn't that mean a neg tilt west of the Mississippi? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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