Wow Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 This is closer to the GGEM solution.. more phasing with our weekend wave so it's looking more like one big system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:28 PM, bhamwx205 said: less than an inch over all of central and eastern NC Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Expand Western nc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bhamwx205 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:33 PM, franklin NCwx said: Western nc?I sent it to your pm Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Need the plains low to drop down into the southern piece of energy...otherwise we get ColdRain's patented oh-v/lakes low and we liquid snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:26 PM, jshetley said: It will show no snow south of HWY 11 in SC and will be right. The GSP metro itself will see all rain and not much of that. Next week is going to be a disaster with this awful return to January. I'm ready for 70's and 80's and storms. Expand When you say GSP metro are you including Travelers Rest ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odell.moton Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I just went outside for lunch and it feels amazing, no way it snows Sunday Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:36 PM, packbacker said: Need the plains low to drop down into the southern piece of energy...otherwise we get ColdRain's patented oh-v/lakes low and we liquid snow. Expand That wedge is sick tho! Somebody could get som frozen, who cares about the low in Illinois ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Trends are going against us for central NC - looks to be a MA/NE special. NWS forecast for this weekend: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Once again we are so close to nothing or a big storm for NC. We always walk the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:26 PM, jshetley said: It will show no snow south of HWY 11 in SC and will be right. The GSP metro itself will see all rain and not much of that. Next week is going to be a disaster with this awful return to January. I'm ready for 70's and 80's and storms. Expand Their potential map already shows 1-2 inches for most of the upstate, which is surprisingly bullish. Next week's cold will only be a disaster if you don't like cold, and many do, even if you don't. As for your 70s, you've had a whole winter of them, so you don't really have room for complaints there. Are you ever positive... about anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I'll take that graphic any day. For once, the southeast corner of Wake is the sweet spot...usually the NW corner. The way our setups work, it is usually all or nothing. The only way we big a big snow is a low tracking so the south and it swings in a ton of warm air...Therefore, gotta have a nice supply of cold air from the north for it to work out... 10-15 years ago, we would get a lot of clipper systems come through... Those have been few and far between recently...if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:54 PM, ajr said: Trends are going against us for central NC - looks to be a MA/NE special. NWS forecast for this weekend: Expand I would take this in a heartbeat and the big dog on Monday can wash it all away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 6:54 PM, ajr said: Trends are going against us for central NC - looks to be a MA/NE special. NWS forecast for this weekend: Expand Is that snow they expect to accumulate ? Or just the amount of snow falling from the sky ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:04 PM, packbacker said: I would take this in a heartbeat and the big dog on Monday can wash it all away. Expand The fact that you would take that in a heartbeat is sad..........but I'm with you, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:07 PM, griteater said: The fact that you would take that in a heartbeat is sad..........but I'm with you, lol Expand 1-2" event would be the biggest event I have seen in over 2 years...so I am clutching onto anything that will spit out an 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:01 PM, PackGrad05 said: I'll take that graphic any day. For once, the southeast corner of Wake is the sweet spot...usually the NW corner. The way our setups work, it is usually all or nothing. The only way we big a big snow is a low tracking so the south and it swings in a ton of warm air...Therefore, gotta have a nice supply of cold air from the north for it to work out... 10-15 years ago, we would get a lot of clipper systems come through... Those have been few and far between recently...if at all. Expand And the smallest changes can make all the difference. We really don't know until we get to the day it's supposed to hit, and even then sometimes we don't know until it is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I'm trying to figure out whether to go on a Snow Chase this weekend or early next week ? Which is more likely to produce big snows ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Aftn WPC update after 12z runs... WEAKENING SYSTEM REACHING THE WA COAST BY 10/1200Z RAPIDLY DROPPING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE TN VALLEY EARLY SUNDAY AND CAROLINAS LATE SUN 19Z UPDATE: THE 12Z UKMET DOES NOT AMPLIFY AS SHARP THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS BUT CONTINUES TO BE SLOW OVERALL EVEN COMPARED TO THE ECMWF/CMC SOLUTIONS THAT ARE DELAYED IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROF (INCREASING POSITIVE TILT TO NEARLY FLAT) DUE TO INTERACTION/PHASING WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM. STILL WITHIN THE TN VALLEY TO CAROLINAS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE SHOW SIMILAR TIMING AND SLIGHTLY WEAKER INFLECTION COMPARED TO THE INITIALLY FAVORED 12Z GFS. AS SUCH AT LEAST FOR THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE THROUGH THE TN VALLEY/CAROLINAS/S MID-ATLANTIC... A 12Z GFS/ECMWF BLEND SEEMS A MIDDLE GROUND PRESENTATION YET WITH ALL THE MOVING PARTS CONFIDENCE AFTER 11/00Z IS FURTHER DEGRADED TO BELOW AVERAGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I honestly get the feeling we end up with a HECS. Now wheteher that boads well for mby remains to be seen but the foreign guidance is pretty clustered together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:15 PM, Snowless in Carrollton said: I'm trying to figure out whether to go on a Snow Chase this weekend or early next week ? Which is more likely to produce big snows ? Expand Fly out west to the Rockies. Don't wast your time with this amateur BS in the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajr Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:24 PM, NCSNOW said: I honestly get the feeling we end up with a HECS. Now wheteher that boads well for mby remains to be seen but the foreign guidance is pretty clustered together. Expand HECSSE* - Historic East Coast Snowstorm somewhere else :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:24 PM, NCSNOW said: I honestly get the feeling we end up with a HECS. Now wheteher that boads well for mby remains to be seen but the foreign guidance is pretty clustered together. Expand My opinion is that Tues will be more of a mid Atlantic to NE event....with it mostly missing the SE precip wise (but some in the mtns)....we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Allan Huffman put out his first call map. Central NC mainly in dusting to 1/2 inch. SW NC 1/2 inch to 1 inch. Mountains more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:28 PM, griteater said: My opinion is that Tues will be more of a mid Atlantic to NE event....with it mostly missing the SE precip wise (but some in the mtns)....we'll see. Expand I 50/50 on whiffing in NC on precip or getting smashed with qpf. all about timing exact location of phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:29 PM, PackGrad05 said: Allan Huffman put out his first call map. Central NC mainly in dusting to 1/2 inch. SW NC 1/2 inch to 1 inch. Mountains more. Expand One of the few times I've ever found myself thinking his totals might turn out a bit low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:34 PM, Cold Rain said: One of the few times I've ever found myself thinking his totals might turn out a bit low. Expand I was surprised as well, but I'm thinking he is basing it on the trends. Fishel also posted an extensive facebook post and he mentions the event sat/sun looking weaker and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Lots of tweets going out. EPS looks all in for a HECS for the climo favored area that do HECS. Raleigh is not a climo favored HECS location FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Would love to have a model run with the GFS and it's handling of the NS energy and the Euro/CMC with the stronger southern piece. Need the southern pieces stronger...if we are going to see snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:41 PM, PackGrad05 said: I was surprised as well, but I'm thinking he is basing it on the trends. Fishel also posted an extensive facebook post and he mentions the event sat/sun looking weaker and weaker. Expand It always looks weaker and weaker. And then, 36-48 hours out, we see improvement. I'm banking on that happening as part of my assessment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 7:47 PM, Cold Rain said: It always looks weaker and weaker. And then, 36-48 hours out, we see improvement. I'm banking on that happening as part of my assessment. Expand And that brings the rain, you can take that to the bank, while DCA gets 2' next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.