snowlover91 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Here is why the 00z NAM ticked up in QPF. Around hour 48 you can see the energy consolidating in the Midwest and it's a little sharper than the 18z run. See circled areas and notice the improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 4k NAM looks a tad slower, but still good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 That was an interesting run ... and anytime FAY is your bullseye, you've gotta wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 4km NAM... Check please!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 People are forgetting the consolidation of our wave as I posted above is only 48 hours out... yes 48 hours. This is getting in range of the NAM and the mesoscale models are usually much better inside 48 hours with phasing and wave interactions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:46 AM, griteater said: Yeah it was slightly sharper with the wave rolling through NC....NAM is the least of our worries, ha Expand Wouldn't mind seeing a NAM run with the 50/50 just weakens a hair and lifts north at hour 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:51 AM, burrel2 said: 4km NAM... Check please!!! Expand And the 850s look great as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 4k nam looks outstanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 What's the 4K nam say about Monday/Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:52 AM, snowlover91 said: People are forgetting the consolidation of our wave as I posted above is only 48 hours out... yes 48 hours. This is getting in range of the NAM and the mesoscale models are usually much better inside 48 hours with phasing and wave interactions. Expand That and just about every winter event the blocking will weaken a little allowing more of a north push inside 48. Total wishcast but grasping... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:54 AM, PackGrad05 said: What's the 4K nam say about Monday/Tuesday? Expand only goes out to 60hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 The weekend snow never had a chance here. It always showed the heaviest precip between 2 and 3 am. Obviously, that is totally impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:54 AM, packbacker said: That and just about every winter event the blocking will weaken a little allowing more of a north push inside 48. Total wishcast but grasping... Expand Well inside 60 is usually when the north and stronger trend happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:52 AM, JoshM said: And the 850s look great as well. Expand Yeah, little more wiggle room than January event! Hug the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Last 5 runs of the NAM for 12z Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:54 AM, packbacker said: That and just about every winter event the blocking will weaken a little allowing more of a north push inside 48. Total wishcast but grasping... Expand Wrong, JB Jr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Surface temps look great on the hi-res NAM.... I'm officially all-in on this threat. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:57 AM, SN_Lover said: Expand Now I want to go to Chilis for a triple dipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:56 AM, griteater said: Last 5 runs of the NAM for 12z Sunday Expand If nothing...it's been consistent. Of course so has the Euro during that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:58 AM, mackerel_sky said: Wrong, JB Jr. Expand Would be funny if come Saturday we are sweating the rain/snow line. No way that will be the problem with all 3 globals showing a whiff inside day 3.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:57 AM, SN_Lover said: Expand Do you live in the northeast? Because that's not bringing any snow to Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 3:01 AM, burrel2 said: Do you live in the northeast? Because that's not bringing any snow to Raleigh. Expand Young weenie, the force is strong in you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:57 AM, SN_Lover said: Expand Go ahead and put a big circle over North Carolina with the words "No Snow" in it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:57 AM, SN_Lover said: Expand That has the makings of something awesome in the later panels as we get closer to the event. Big difference with the energy in the Plains. Very diggy. Maybe not so much for southeast but for MA and NE. Need the southern stream energy to hang back more if folks south of me want to get in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 3:02 AM, griteater said: Go ahead and put a big circle over North Carolina with the words "No Snow" in it Expand Not entirely... Southern wave needs to be stronger to force a Miller A track which would do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Could the ATL somehow cash in with this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 3:03 AM, Buddy1987 said: That has the makings of something awesome in the later panels as we get closer to the event. Big difference with the energy in the Plains. Very diggy. Expand Congrats NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 3:03 AM, Buddy1987 said: That has the makings of something awesome in the later panels as we get closer to the event. Big difference with the energy in the Plains. Very diggy. Expand Someone is understanding.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 On 3/10/2017 at 2:37 AM, DopplerWx said: nam looks fairly similar to 18z, no huge qpf totals but the heaviest snow bands are just a few counties south of wake. Expand That's good since the jackpot ends up being NW of what the models show 99% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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