ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2017 Author Share Posted March 8, 2017 It is interesting to note how far west the trough axis still is when the precip is departing....that's a red flag for precip hanging back or possibly trending into a meatier storm if the sfc reflection can be captured by the shortwave if it verifies slightly deeper than modeled right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah this is starting to look pretty decent for a lot of SNE...Looks like NAM is the outlier so far nudging south at 12z. How many times have we seen this, i feel like it's been a lot of storms this year. The NAM is the farthest north outlier by far, then all of a sudden it shifts way south or east while the rest of the guidance comes north or west and it becomes the southern outlier just like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Not a big fan of the IVT look on the GFS, Flakes in the air here at best would be my call for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 ah haha ... man, so much beady eyed obsession over 3.1" of snow - wow ... I swear, if I didn't know any better, you'all literally willed this thing to happen - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Good H7-H5 lift on the GFS in SNE. I like seeing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: ah haha ... man, so much beady eyed obsession over 3.1" of snow - wow ... I swear, if I didn't know any better, you'all literally willed this thing to happen - Hey, if it's going to be frigid this weekend..might as well have snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ah haha ... man, so much beady eyed obsession over 3.1" of snow - wow ... I swear, if I didn't know any better, you'all literally willed this thing to happen - I'm convinced DIT willed this one. The Collective forcing is strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I'm convinced DIT willed this one. The Collective forcing is strong. Something for you to watch is an Arctic INVT, those can be insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hey, if it's going to be frigid this weekend..might as well have snow. eh, i'm all for it.. if it gets warm now it's just trying to lube up the misery potential for April... I just think it's funny how this thread reflects the dearth of reasons to celebrate. You have years when it snows 3" while we're waitin' and no one remembers jack. This year? ha! 3" ... 20 pages! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 8, 2017 Author Share Posted March 8, 2017 GGEM is well north too like its cousin RGEM. Even gets SE NH into the advisory snows....it actually has a nice weenie hang-back of IVT snows for E MA and SE NH and S ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I'm convinced DIT willed this one. The Collective forcing is strong. Don't need to will pattern recognition. We sacrificed Sunday for this one. Lay down 3-6" with higher lolli's for record cold this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Don't need to will pattern recognition. We sacrificed Sunday for this one. Lay down 3-6" with higher lolli's for record cold this weekend Man its going to be pure Arctic looking with that cold fresh snow and ground blizzards, holy heck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Man its going to be pure Arctic looking with that cold fresh snow and ground blizzards, holy heck Wonder if Tip will still discuss higher sun angle offsetting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 I'm not ruling out slop. At least that's the GFS depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I'm not ruling out slop. At least that's the GFS depiction. I don't think it will be as verbatim. Maybe it starts out that way, but should cool off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 The amount of cold air behind the clipper and with the clipper should be sufficient enough to cool the column dynamically and then cause any mix to start off the day to turn over to all snow and heavy snow at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 32 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not a big fan of the IVT look on the GFS, Flakes in the air here at best would be my call for this area. Wouldn't invest in the GFS for an IVT. NAM and especially RGEM will be far more instructive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Wouldn't invest in the GFS for an IVT. NAM and especially RGEM will be far more instructive. And i would wait until friday to invest at all in one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: And i would wait until friday to invest at all in one. Well, I suppose the question is--to what extent? To me a strong signal exists --so I expect one. But as for the details in NNE--yea wait until Friday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Well, I suppose the question is--to what extent? To me a strong signal exists --so I expect one. But as for the details in NNE--yea wait until Friday... Yeah, There looks like there will be one somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 UKMET remains unchanged. Its been the only model that has not been flopping around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 When January ended I needed 50" to win the office snow pool (we had 45.2" season to date). Now it's looking like I'm going to be left in the dust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 say uncle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: say uncle It seems to like the idea of the coastal getting things done. The RGEM and GFS really do not. The NAM has waffled from run to run and the Euro seemed to bite on it on the 00Z. The RGEM/GFS like the initial overrunning and thats about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 That's a nice bump North and increase in Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: say uncle That is a good 3-5 inch storm south of the Pike, as long as it doesn't melt Friday afternoon it should make for a pretty cold Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: That is a good 3-5 inch storm south of the Pike, as long as it doesn't melt Friday afternoon it should make for a pretty cold Saturday morning. pretty cold? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just now, Spanks45 said: That is a good 3-5 inch storm south of the Pike, as long as it doesn't melt Friday afternoon it should make for a pretty cold Saturday morning. Why would it melt with temps below 32? It snows until early afternoon in your area. And then squalls in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: It seems to like the idea of the coastal getting things done. The RGEM and GFS really do not. The NAM has waffled from run to run and the Euro seemed to bite on it on the 00Z. The RGEM/GFS like the initial overrunning and thats about it. That idea has been on and off in the ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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