NJwx85 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 I would go 1-3" South of Rt 78, 2-4" for the Rt. 80 corridor and 1-3" for the 84 corridor. I think someone could jackpot around 4-5", but I don't think it will be widespread. If this was Janauary we would be looking at a solid 4-8" snowfall areawide with lollies to 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:11 PM, Snowlover11 said: probably 2-3am start time and yes the morning commute wont be good. Expand If it looks bad a lot of schools in NJ will just call the day, it's the end of winter and they aren't thinking they'll need more snow days. But some here are hinting they could be wrong about that. So 2-4 if it's coming down at 7 am will probably mean cancellation, even if its over by 10 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:13 PM, NJwx85 said: I would go 1-3" South of Rt 78, 2-4" for the Rt. 80 corridor and 1-3" for the 84 corridor. I think someone could jackpot around 4-5", but I don't think it will be widespread. If this was Janauary we would be looking at a solid 4-8" snowfall areawide with lollies to 10". Expand it's March and these storms have a tendency to underperform esp in CNJ, but you can never rule anything out; we had one at the start of March 2015 IIRC that was a serious enough storm, albeit much colder. The one later on the 21st was more typical...3-4 of heavy wet slush with some rain that melted rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 6 inches for parts of the city on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:25 PM, Morris said: 6 inches for parts of the city on the RGEM. Expand Been consistently going up the last 24 hrs. 3-4 inches looks good for the city, I think what helps is that the snow starts at night so by time sun angle is a factor there is a accumilation on the ground and highest rates in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:25 PM, Morris said: 6 inches for parts of the city on the RGEM. Expand It has about one of the most uniform areas of accumulations you'll ever see. 4-5 just about everywhere from Allentown to Montauk between White Plains and PHL. Those 6 inch areas in CNJ are a result of the vort tomorrow evening with those streamers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:31 PM, SnowGoose69 said: It has about one of the most uniform areas of accumulations you'll ever see. 4-5 just about everywhere from Allentown to Montauk between White Plains and PHL. Expand Glad to see it finally went back south. Tomorrow AM commute's gonna suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 GFS still looking good at hr 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 almost .5 QPF falls before 7AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:38 PM, mikem81 said: almost .5 QPF falls before 7AM Expand Looks like the coastal is throwing back QPF. Intrestin gthat the GFS/. RGEM picking up on this but the NAm isnt its usual gung ho self. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:39 PM, nyblizz44 said: Looks like the coastal is throwing back QPF. Intrestin gthat the GFS/. RGEM picking up on this but the NAm isnt its usual gung ho self. Expand Maybe we'll be looking at a 18z NAM QPF Bomb. When it catches on it reallyyy catches on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:39 PM, nyblizz44 said: Looks like the coastal is throwing back QPF. Intrestin gthat the GFS/. RGEM picking up on this but the NAm isnt its usual gung ho self. Expand The Euro seemed bullish on that too. I think the NAM can be disregarded if the other models are that stout on it. The slightly slower movement and decent 500mb pattern could mean a nice stripe of snow with the enhancement coming in from the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 5 inches for the city, instead of 7 on 6z. No big differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:11 PM, Snowlover11 said: probably 2-3am start time and yes the morning commute wont be good. Expand I doubt most main roads will be snow covered. That's not to say that roads won't be slushy, but we're not talking about more than a few heavier bursts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:42 PM, Morris said: 5 inches for the city, instead of 7 on 6z. No big differences. Expand Same amounts just east of NYC out on LI though. Slightly less QPF in city area. The best area of precip wont be locked down until it is falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:42 PM, jm1220 said: The Euro seemed bullish on that too. I think the NAM can be disregarded if the other models are that stout on it. The slightly slower movement and decent 500mb pattern could mean a nice stripe of snow with the enhancement coming in from the ocean. Expand You are right and I think Upton read it correctly early this morning ordering up WWA for 3-5 rather than 2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Solid hit for the metro tomorrow. Nice march storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 3:44 PM, mikem81 said: Same amounts just east of NYC out on LI though. Slightly less QPF in city area. The best area of precip wont be locked down until it is falling. Expand GFS has 0.75" liquid from the city on east, maybe some at the very start is slop/rain. The snow rates should be enough to overcome the warm ground everywhere, so this run should be a good 4-6" locally 7-8". Eastern Suffolk might have to go to a warning, and advisories should go down to the Philly area. Models definitely are ticking south this morning. Unfortunately the heaviest looks to be in the morning during the commute-it'll be a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Will Upton will go from a wwa to a wsw ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Nearly a half foot of snow on 12Z GEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 4:25 PM, Metasequoia said: Nearly a half foot of snow on 12Z GEM. Expand Don't be surprised if MT. Holly or maybe Upton issues WSW this afternoon for areas to be determined -close call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 We should call this storm the "normal storm" as it gets the majority of us to normal. (Sorry jersey guys) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 5:26 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We should call this storm the "normal storm" as it gets the majority of us to normal. (Sorry jersey guys) Expand If I get 4 I'll be right at 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 5:26 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We should call this storm the "normal storm" as it gets the majority of us to normal. (Sorry jersey guys) Expand Thinking this storm gets me to 40". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 5:32 PM, Stormlover74 said: If I get 4 I'll be right at 20" Expand What's normal for you? I'm at 27" With a normal of 26 wanatagh SE Nassau Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 Already above here. Normal is 27 and we're in the low 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 5:35 PM, Brian5671 said: Already above here. Normal is 27 and we're in the low 30's. Expand Hey bud I think normal for us is 30 now. I am 1 away from 30 in Easton. Norwalk I believe is 32 for normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 5:34 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: What's normal for you? I'm at 27" With a normal of 26 wanatagh SE Nassau Expand Around 28. Ewr has done a bit better than me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 9, 2017 Share Posted March 9, 2017 On 3/9/2017 at 5:34 PM, psv88 said: Thinking this storm gets me to 40". Expand Bite me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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