jm1220 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 14 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: HRRR snows about a 50 mile wide band over rockland and Orange County, for hours before anyone else gets in on the action... obviously not as intense but resembles a lake effect band The overrunning band is going to shoot over NYC, the coastal development should shift it SE by the commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 except for Long Island precip is over by noonish... pretty uniform 4-5" totals for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Many people appear to be looking past tomorrow's snow to Tuesday's potential HECS, but here's the latest HRRR. This should make most of us happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 9 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: Many people appear to be looking past tomorrow's snow to Tuesday's potential HECS, but here's the latest HRRR. This should make most of us happy. Nice. That was a troll post I do believe from that guy who said it "seems to have cut back". It's a short-term model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 12 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: Many people appear to be looking past tomorrow's snow to Tuesday's potential HECS, but here's the latest HRRR. This should make most of us happy. Looks reasonable. Pretty general 3-5" area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 5 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: Nice. That was a troll post I do believe from that guy who said it "seems to have cut back". It's a short-term model If you are talking about me, that was not meant to be a troll post. I had read the amounts were down either here or accuweather. Anyway it was deleted. Just seemed people were not enthused about this event, now it appears a lot of people are looking at next week. Really did not mean to come off trollish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Nam still at odds with other models. Has almost nothing before 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 24 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam still at odds with other models. Has almost nothing before 12z Nam hasn't been handling this storm well. It tends to do better with the larger scale miller a/b type events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 49 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: If you are talking about me, that was not meant to be a troll post. I had read the amounts were down either here or accuweather. Anyway it was deleted. Just seemed people were not enthused about this event, now it appears a lot of people are looking at next week. Really did not mean to come off trollish. No, not you. 3 hours ago, WEATHERBUFF said: It seems to have cut back totals for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Just now, BombsAway1288 said: No, not you. Ok got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 0 gfs another solid run nnj and lhv. Someone may crank out 6 or so inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Models seem to be trending back towards mehh in NYC for the event. The city needs the heavy rates to start accumulating on more than cold surfaces after today's warmth in the 60s, and it might take a while to even stick on grass. Should still be a good few hours, but this is moving quick, and light-moderate won't do it on pavement, particularly if a good amount falls after daybreak. I think the city still sees 2", but IMO amounts to 4" or so that looked possible at 12z likely aren't happening. IMBY I'm hoping a little distance away from the city gets me to 3". The north/east suburbs are still good for 3-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 The radar looks fairly meh currently. I still like my forecast of 2-4" with isolated higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Currently 40/17 here.. Dry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 The radar looks fairly meh currently. I still like my forecast of 2-4" with isolated higher amounts. radar isnt suppose to look "good" for another 2-3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 You do realize that it only goes out to 18 there is more snow after that I did'nt notice but I'm glad to hear it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 radar isnt suppose to look "good" for another 2-3 hours. Still looks awful, in fact, really really really awful and the temp hasn't dropped much. Pumping the breaks... i noticed that upton mentioned in their afd that each storm this year kept matching their 90th percentile forecasts. I wonder if that had an influence on their seemingly (now) high totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Im still dropping after a high of 59 today. currently 42. it was 46 at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Currently 36/17 Flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Still looks awful, in fact, really really really awful and the temp hasn't dropped much. Pumping the breaks... i noticed that upton mentioned in their afd that each storm this year kept matching their 90th percentile forecasts. I wonder if that had an influence on their seemingly (now) high totals chill, HRRR's got you covered - it's a bit delayed but should be snowing most places by 7 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 chill, HRRR's got you covered - it's a bit delayed but should be snowing most places by 7 am It's fine with me I'll get paid to hang out for a bit. I do think this is trending tworss the lower side of the 3-5" at least though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 flurries in yonkers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 ok i lied, had flurries for 2 minutes. now nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Radar is really struggling. Let's see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 And just like that, radar looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 The initial overrunning area was north of where most models had it at 24 hours out, but at the same time they are really lengthening the time the coastal induced snows setup now. The coast here will likely see almost no rain with this now with the later arrival. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 flurries(again) 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 3.2" OTG moderate snow falling, not a bit of snow on paved surfaces... ground way to warm apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 it just doesnt wanna start lol flurries for literally 30 secs.. just as a good echo reaches yonkers it slides ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 10, 2017 Share Posted March 10, 2017 Nothing yet, I'm soooo glad I don't have to drive in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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