yoda Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Looks to be going south with Sunday Some yes... but we can't forget that the 06z run was dropping 30" in S PA and had a razor sharp cutoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Talk about a shift on the Para in one run, ha. Verbatim 4-5" for DC...I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 12z Para low track from Chattanooga to Greenville NC isn't the best to say the least...but not the worst, especially this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Hard to put stock in a model 12 hours behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Hard to put stock in a model 12 hours behind. Yeah, I'm trying to figure out why we should care Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Hard to put stock in a model 12 hours behind. it's the next version of the GFS (implementation in June). It's behind, because it doesn't have the same dedicated slot to run on the NCEP supercomputer that the operational run has. It may end up being a crappy solution, but this 12z cycle used the same input data as the operational 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, I'm trying to figure out why we should care It's simple.....if it shows a lot of snow....we care. If not we toss and look for better solutions on other models. Rule #1 in the snow weenie playbook. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 4 minutes ago, high risk said: it's the next version of the GFS (implementation in June). It's behind, because it doesn't have the same dedicated slot to run on the NCEP supercomputer that the operational run has. It may end up being a crappy solution, but this 12z cycle used the same input data as the operational 12z GFS. Yeah I get that but data changes a good bit in 12 hours, and then that is magnified a great deal when you're looking 6 days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Besides, it's not all that different from the 12z gfs other than it is a good bit less snowy, everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 15 minutes ago, yoda said: Some yes... but we can't forget that the 06z run was dropping 30" in S PA and had a razor sharp cutoff Shifting the heavy snow from PA to southern VA in one run is "some"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Yeah I get that but data changes a good bit in 12 hours, and then that is magnified a great deal when you're looking 6 days ahead. I do get your point in that we've moved on past the 12z cycle by the time we are able to see this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Damn..a 1050 high pressing down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Friday wave shifted north at 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Damn..a 1050 high pressing down That what happened in January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 00z GFS at 96 has a 1041 H bulldozing its way into the Northern Plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 50/50 low hanging back more than 18z, probably means it will go further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Yes. It seems to be south of its 18z location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 0z appears south. Cherry on top of this winter if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Z-Cast Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Pretty sig shift south at 120. Looks like central VA jackpot inbound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 suppressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 And weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 It's south for sure...we still get snow though. This will probably windshield wiper through Wed or even Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Still 3-5" for DC Metro.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 No worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Z-Cast Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Could be me but 0z GFS appears to be a tad slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Still a pretty healthy system. We just need the surface low to exit north of Hattaras instead of south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 GGEM out to 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 lol canadian...way south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 It's early for such large shifts south. Not worried about this particular run but another shift and it's a car topper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2-5" areawide 5-10" EZF S/SE Jackpot of 10-14" on the NC/VA border IMHO good spot to be in right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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