NorthArlington101 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, yoda said: He told us about it... the people who posted it are from our area Hey man, gotta get the virtual snow from somewhere. DGEX is a helluva drug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, mappy said: lol @ folks from NC posting the DGEX in our thread. I didn't think anyone really looked at the RE-GEX very seriously, but that 06Z snow chart was fun to look at all the same! Next, someone will have to post the CRAS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 The NAM has a duck at hr 78 that morphs into a T-Rex at hr 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: I didn't think anyone really looked at the RE-GEX very seriously, but that 06Z snow chart was fun to look at all the same! Next, someone will have to post the CRAS. Saving this post for when it gets close enough that I can post the 48-hr CRAS plot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: The NAM has a duck at hr 78 that morphs into a T-Rex at hr 84. I don't understand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just now, biodhokie said: Saving this post for when it gets close enough that I can post the 48-hr CRAS plot. Ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, biodhokie said: Saving this post for when it gets close enough that I can post the 48-hr CRAS plot. Don't forget about the Korean model. It needs love too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: I don't understand I didn't get it first either...but in looking at the radar simulation of rain/frozen (on TT), the "shape" sort of does look like a duck in the midwest, then a T-Rex as it moves east. Kinda stretching it a bit though. Maybe it's like a meteorological version of a Rorschach test! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Where is the Bob Chill German model found? Anyone have a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: I didn't get it first either...but in looking at the radar simulation of rain/frozen (on TT), the "shape" sort of does look like a duck in the midwest, then a T-Rex as it moves east. Kinda stretching it a bit though. Maybe it's like a meteorological version of a Rorschach test! or more like, what you see when looking at abstract art. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, Scraff said: Where is the Bob Chill German model found? Anyone have a link? http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?mod=dwd_icon&map=na&run=06&lang=en&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?mod=dwd_icon&map=na&run=06&lang=en&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Thank you, sir. You are a gentleman and a scholar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 So, what needs to happen for the Sunday storm to come back north? Weaker block? Stronger storm? Divine intervention? I'm a weather newbie so please use layman's terms. Also, if the models don't start a Northern trend today, can we kiss this storm goodbye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: It has probably been mentioned and I've missed it in the flurry of pages, but the 06z GFS and 00z GGEM look nothing alike. The GGEM digs the northern stream really deep and has an associated 850 low riding up from the Gulf region. The GFS has none of that, and simply tracks an 850 low W to E. One thing I like about this threat though is for a chance a "compromise" solution between the majority camps here (GFS/GGEM/JMA/UKMET/EPS) would work out very well for us. In the past this winter we have had one outlier camp and we needed it to win completely to get snow and when the inevitable compromise happened that left us close but no cigar. The one thing I would have on my wish list today would be to see Dr No get on board. The op euro being insistent that this is less amplified and basically a northern stream system going to our north bothers me a little. If the op euro gets on board I would feel a lot more comfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 40 minutes ago, mappy said: lol @ folks from NC posting the DGEX in our thread. Well, the storm in question could effect both of our regions. I often read what's going on in your forums to get more analysis. Bob Chill posts in the SE forum quite often. I wasn't trolling. The DGEX is often good for fantasy snow and no one had mentioned it here yet. Just spreading the good word. I wasn't trying to be a troll. Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 hour ago, osfan24 said: Honestly, when he said we got hit with two storms and it was epic, I was expecting a lot more than dark purple on that map. Not that it matters at all being a 192 hr forecast AND the DGEX. Some of you have unrealistic expectations for March. If we actually got 18+" from two storms in Mid March that is historic and a 1 in 30 year type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: One thing I like about this threat though is for a chance a "compromise" solution between the majority camps here (GFS/GGEM/JMA/UKMET/EPS) would work out very well for us. In the past this winter we have had one outlier camp and we needed it to win completely to get snow and when the inevitable compromise happened that left us close but no cigar. The one thing I would have on my wish list today would be to see Dr No get on board. The op euro being insistent that this is less amplified and basically a northern stream system going to our north bothers me a little. If the op euro gets on board I would feel a lot more comfortable. Good points. Yes, we may be in a better spot with some kind of compromise, as you call it, between the majority of the models. Maybe an indication that there's more of a consensus rather than totally chasing a unicorn. At this point, we're not rooting for one or two solutions that look good (the outlier camp that you mention). That said, I agree it would be nice for the Euro to come on board more...though having the EPS show the Tuesday possibility is encouraging. Thought I saw someone earlier say that the 00Z Euro was a miss, but perhaps "closer" at least compared to yesterday? I am a bit concerned about the Miller-B redevelopment type look on this and how that could screw us, but it's enough out in time that worrying about such details might not be worth it (yet). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Some of you have unrealistic expectations for March. If we actually got 18+" from two storms in Mid March that is historic and a 1 in 30 year type event. I guess. When someone says epic two storms, I think 3 feet of snow. That map was a lot of 12-18. But yeah, for March, 18 inches of snow even from multiple systems is very significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, packfan98 said: Well, the storm in question could effect both of our regions. I often read what's going on in your forums to get more analysis. Bob Chill posts in the SE forum quite often. I wasn't trolling. The DGEX is often good for fantasy snow and no one had mentioned it here yet. Just spreading the good word. I wasn't trying to be a troll. Good luck everyone! OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, packfan98 said: Well, the storm in question could effect both of our regions. I often read what's going on in your forums to get more analysis. Bob Chill posts in the SE forum quite often. I wasn't trolling. The DGEX is often good for fantasy snow and no one had mentioned it here yet. Just spreading the good word. I wasn't trying to be a troll. Good luck everyone! No, didn't think you were trolling...and there are some really good people in here who give great analysis. I will say, as much as it may be laughed at, that DGEX map was fun to look at all the same! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Some of you have unrealistic expectations for March. If we actually got 18+" from two storms in Mid March that is historic and a 1 in 30 year type event. Indeed. I got around 16" in March 2014 from three events, and for March that was very epic (even historic) for around here. Nobody should be looking for an 18" storm or some kind of 1993 redux or even a repeat of 2014...at least not seriously. A solid 6-10" event would obviously be a soothing balm on an awful winter. Heck, just meeting warning criteria would do it this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Some of you have unrealistic expectations for March. If we actually got 18+" from two storms in Mid March that is historic and a 1 in 30 year type event. I'm hoping for more than 4" would double my total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Heights out west look higher at 93 on GFS, I'm guessing that's not a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 I am going to put this out there. I am already liking this better on the H5 at 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Heights out west look higher at 93 on GFS, I'm guessing that's not a bad thing. GFS following the trends of the building + PNA on the recent EPS runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Sunday nice and suppressed. Looks like ****. Good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Just now, stormtracker said: Sunday nice and suppressed. Looks like ****. Good. So which storm are we looking at now? Tuesday? The next one after that? LOL, we continue to look I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 That 1020 low in Missouri at 126 looks like a beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: So which storm are we looking at now? Tuesday? The next one after that? LOL, we continue to look I suppose. Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 8, 2017 Share Posted March 8, 2017 Not digging as much at 138. If I'm correct we want this to dig even more, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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